CS:GO DFS Playbook: Flashpoint 3 – 5.20.2021 (2-Match)

Heroic (Ranked 3rd in World) @ G2 (Ranked 5th in World)

Betting Odds: Heroic -185/G2 +140

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -115/Under -115

*This is a best of three upper-bracket quarter-final match for Flashpoint 3.

*Heroic For Event: refrezh 1.52 Rating, sjuush 1.47, stavn 1.42, TeSeS 1.32, cadiaN 0.96.

*Heroic For Last Month (10 Maps): TeSeS 1.27 Rating, refrezh 1.24, sjuush 1.22, stavn 1.20, cadiaN 1.09.

*G2 For Event: NiKo 1.33, nexa 1.11, AmaNEk 1.10, huNter 1.05, JaCkz 1.03.

*G2 For Last Month (27 Maps): NiKo 1.21 Rating, huNter 1.10, nexa 0.98, AmaNEk 0.97, JaCkz 0.96.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played a recent head-to-head match with their new core players. However, they did face off with their old cores for a total of five times in 2020 with ALL five matches going three maps, and G2 winning three of the five matches played.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Dust2 for Heroic and Overpass for G2. I think we see Nuke (could see Vertigo also) for Heroic and Mirage for G2.

*G2 on Mirage (13 Maps): huNter 1.15 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.08 IMP, 85.1 ADR. NiKo 1.04, nexa 1.00, AmaNEk 0.99, JaCkz 0.95. On Nuke (6 Maps): NiKo 1.21 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.40 IMP, 87.7 ADR. huNter 1.15, AmaNEk 1.08, nexa 1.02, JaCkz 0.96.

*Heroic on Nuke (8 Maps): TeSeS 1.33 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.25 IMP, 89.8 ADR. refrezh 1.26, stavn 1.18, sjuush 1.08, cadiaN 1.04. On Mirage (9 Maps): stavn 1.27 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.14 IMP, 86.8 ADR. refrezh 1.24, cadiaN 1.17, sjuush 1.11, TeSeS 0.98.

Analysis: I am on Heroic here and I just arguably think they are the best team in the world at the moment. They play well together, and this core is so strong. I think G2 will have trouble finding openings and lurks. Not to mention, the AWP play here should well be in favor of Heroic with cadiaN. History could likely repeat itself with the three-map affairs, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see Heroic win 2-0.

 

FunPlus Phoenix (Ranked 17th in World) @ NiP (Ranked 15th in World)

Betting Odds: NiP -140/FPX +110

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -120

*This is a best of three upper-bracket quarter-final match for Flashpoint 3.

*FPX For Event: zehN 1.37 Rating, Maden 1.33, emi 1.14, Farlig 1.10, STYKO 0.85.

*FPX For Last Month (11 Maps): zehN 1.29 Rating, Maden 1.19, STYKO 1.10, Farlig 1.05, emi 1.00.

*NiP For Event: REZ 1.31 Rating, hampus 1.07, device 1.06, Plopski 1.06, ztr 0.92

*NiP For Last Month (3 Maps): See above.

H2H DATA:

*These two squads have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Mirage for FPX and Vertigo for NiP. I think we see Inferno for FPX and Overpass for NiP.

*FPX on Inferno (8 Maps): emi (3 Maps): 1.14 Rating, 0.64 KPR, 1.05 IMP, 69.3 ADR. Maden 1.12, zehN 1.07, STYKO 1.02, Farlig 0.92. On Overpass (2 Maps): Farlig 1.61 Rating, 1.02 KPR, 1.79 IMP, 97.4 ADR. Maden 1.10, STYKO 0.95, zehN 0.89.

*NiP on Overpass (5 Maps): device 1.27 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 86.5 ADR. hampus 1.09, Plopski 1.09, REZ 1.04, ztr 0.99. On Inferno (9 Maps): REZ 1.13 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 83.8 ADR. device 1.09, Plopski 1.06, hampus 0.93, ztr 0.78.

Analysis: I think I like FPX here. They are on a four-match win streak and you can see that the books really are not too confident in this NiP team just yet as they are just a very so slight favorite in this match. I think FPX are the leverage here as many will gravitate to NiP to get in device. I am rolling FPX.

 

*TOP STACKS: Heroic, FPX

*TOP CPT PLAYS: All of Heroic, zehN, Maden, Farlig, device, NiKo

*TOP FLEX: STYKO, hampus, Plopski, huNter, AmaNEk, emi, REZ