Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins

Total: 41.5

Washington -1.5

 

Gameplay Predictions

  • Washington has allowed the third fewest passing yards this year (1,235) while Dallas has allowed the ninth fewest (1,493).

  • Washington has allowed the third fewest rushing yards (347) while Dallas has allowed the sixth fewest (392).

  • Ezekiel Elliott comes into this game second in the league in rushing yards with 586. He’s 37 yards behind Todd Gurley .

  • These two quarterbacks in Dak Prescott and Alex Smith aren’t known for airing it out. Prescott is averaging 6.7 yards per throw while Smith averages a modest seven.

  • Elliott himself has two more rushing yards than the entire Washington Redskins offense has this season.

  • Dallas’ leading receiver is Cole Beasley with 26 receptions, 294 yards and two touchdowns.

  • The Redskins get Chris Thompson back this week. Thompson missed last week’s game but is still the Redskins top pass catcher this season.

  • Alex Smith and Dak Prescott have thrown 13 touchdowns this season combined. There are seven quarterbacks in the league that have thrown at least 13 touchdowns this season themselves.

  • Dallas is coming off a week in which they scored 40 points against the Jacksonville Jaguars. A team that a lot of people around football considers to have the best defense in the game.

  • Washington is 2-1 at home this year with wins against Carolina and Green Bay; two teams largely considered playoff contenders.

Pregame Props

1) The last non-kneeling, offensive play of the 1st Quarter is a passing play? YES 2.5 / NO 2.5

NO. It’s hard for me to agree with this statement knowing how run heavy they both are. Dallas ranks 27th in pass attempts and Washington is 29th.

2) Adrian Peterson (WAS) rushes for more total yards than Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) in the 1st Quarter? YES 3.3 / NO 2.2

NO. I’m having a hard time believing the second leading rusher in football will be outclassed by an old man -- at least in terms of football years he’s an old man -- so I’m going no. You could be contrarian and use Peterson and take advantage of the multiplier being favored towards Elliott, however.

3) Which teams scores more points in the 1st Quarter? DAL 2.5 / WAS 2.5

WAS. I’m leaning towards Vegas and going with Washington who’s favored in this one. I expect them to get a lead early and hold it throughout most of the game.

4) The first offensive play of the 1st quarter gains three or more yards? YES 2.2 / NO 3.1

YES. It’s hard to believe any hand off that Ezekiel Elliott gets isn’t going for big yard and if Washington happens to touch it first, Adrian Peterson is averaging over four yards per carry too. I’m with WinView and going with the “safer” option in yes.

5) D. Prescott (DAL) completes a pass of 12 or more yards on DAL opening Drive? YES 3.4 / NO 2.1

NO. We’ve noted up above that Prescott’s average throw travels just under seven yards per. That doesn’t bode well in this situation at all.

6) J. Reed (WAS) records a receptions on WAS opening drive? YES 3.5 / NO 2.0

YES. It’s hard to believe Washington’s best pass catcher won’t be involved heavily here, but we’ve said that almost every week and he’s still been outpaced by Chris Thompson ..a running back. Reed is needed for this offense to move the ball and I think it gets done here. We have a big 3.5x multiplier if we go yes, so it’s worth the risk.