NFL DFS Strategy: Plus Value Plays

As you may know, I play all the daily fantasy sites and each site has a different feel to it.  Understanding the nuances of each system will provide you an opportunity to win.  For, there are a couple of very important things you should recognize as strategy items that will make you more successful. 

First, getting free money makes sense and has been running great promotions to give you that free money just for signing up.  They even have a great promotion right now where new accounts get $20 the same day for a minimum of a $10 deposit.  This means you can get $30 and play in their $25 Kickoff Contest.

Next, you should look at roster configuration. lineups have 10 players: QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, FLEX, K, DT. 

Next, you always need to know your scoring system.  In this case, the scoring system makes this easy since uses standard PPR scoring on the offensive side of the ball.  On the defensive side, it is standard except they reward you handsomely for minimizing the points against but don't punish you too hard should they allow too many points.  This means you can go with defenses that win the turnover battle and offer strong chances for defensive touchdowns without worrying about how many points they give up..

And finally, always look at a site’s pricing to find anything which might give you an edge.  Here are some things to note about salaries.

  • The salaries range from $17000 to $4000.  This kind of a spread allows you to identify the best players of the week and find values at the bottom
  • Tight Ends are ranked much lower with the top Tight End being in the $10,000 range and bargains available at that position for both the Tight End and Flex positions.
  • The lower end of wide receivers can find values as well.
  • The difference in value at quarterback is small enough that taking the best quarterback makes sense.

Some Top Value Plays

Each week, for the rest of the season, I will provide you with my Top 5-to-10 value picks.  Using them should help you roster more of the expected top plays in your lineups.  We will rarely have quarterbacks here because the risk is way too great when you can find values at the other positions and, for sure, at the FLEX.

Rashad Jennings – RB – NYG - $8000

The Cleveland Browns have given up 1437 yards on the ground this year, allowed 317 points to opponents and, in a PPR league like, give up the fourth most points allowed to running backs at 28.8 points per game.  The promising thing is the trend for Jennings in the last three games.  He has had 11, 15, and 21 carries in the last three which has accounted for 6.9, 13.9 and 23.9 points in the Rosters scoring system.  He is primed to get a lot of work on the ground and in the short passing game. 

Tyler Boyd – WR – CIN - $7100

With the loss of A.J. Green in Cincinnati, this is the chance for uber-talented Tyler Boyd to step up to the plate and eat.  He is now Andy Dalton’s favorite target and scored his first touchdown this week.  Boyd should see double-digit targets. If Jimmy Smith cannot go again this week, it gets even better for the young wideout.

Rishard Matthews – WR - $8700

Matthews has been playing great of late.  In the last four games, he has 22 catches for 286 yards and four scores.  The Bears give up an ENORMOUS 40 points to the wide receiver position each week in a PPR.  He and Delanie Walker should have great days so Marcus Mariota could be a target for you too. 

Delanie Walker – TE – TEN - $7400

I play two tight ends in at least one lineup on each week because their prices are considerable lower than other position players.  For my Tight End spot this week, it is a no doubter for this guy.  Walker is a bargain at $7400. The Bears generally do a good job versus the tight end, but Walker is used so much in the slot and lined up wide that he is more like a wide receiver sometimes.  Bank on Walker this week.

C.J. Fiedorowicz – TE – HOU $4000

Usually when selecting bargains, especially at tight end, you use tight ends who play the bottom 10 teams versus tight ends.  This is not the case here.  Taking CJ is based on price and recent usage patterns.  He had 14.2 points last week and averages 11.8 points per game in his last three.  The massive savings here is what is interesting to me.

So, give a chance and using these small tips, you will be winning in short order.