Welcome back to the Week 9 edition of the Fantasy Alarm Monkey Knife Fight NFL props. Last time I authored this article, Liverpool were still unbeaten, and the Chiefs had just won the Super Bowl. There are a lot of interesting Monkey Knife Fight props this week, so let’s get right to it.

Prop 1: More or Less (Pays 3-to-1)

New England Patriots at New York Jets

I think the Cam Newton part of this is easier, so I will address that first. Cam has topped 175 passing yards once in six games, in Week 2 against Seattle. N’Keal Harry still hasn’t practiced, and while that may not be a big loss, I don’t have much faith in Jakobi Meyers, Damiere Byrd or Isaiah Ford . I know the Jets defense isn’t good, but I think part of the reason for that is the offense puts them in bad situations. Even if the Jets had the worst defense in the league, I don’t know that I would trust Cam and his receivers to take advantage.

I really want to take the over on Darnold. Jamison Crowder got in limited practice Friday while Breshad Perriman practiced in full. Sam Darnold still probably has the worst receiving corps in the league outside of the Patriots, but considering Crowder, Perriman and Denzel Mims still haven’t all played in the same game together, this could be the best group he has had all season. That being said, only the Dolphins and Raiders have a worse DVOA against the run than the Patriots. I think both teams will try to run the ball until they absolutely have no choice, and barring some fluky turnovers, I don’t think either team will run away and hide. Darnold hasn’t topped 230 passing yards in a game this season, and I can’t bring myself to pick him to do it now.

Prop 2: Rapidfire (Pays 3.5-to-1)

Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills

Russell Wilson has at least 260 passing yards in six of his seven games this season. Josh Allen has topped 263 passing yards in just one of his last four games. We know how bad Seattle’s pass defense is, but it’s not like Buffalo’s is that much better. If you take the Allen side, I think you’re counting on Seattle to get up big and for Allen to throw a bunch in the fourth quarter. That is certainly possible, but I don’t think it’s super likely.

Stefon Diggs has 15 more receiving yards than D.K. Metcalf this season, though he did it in one extra game. Metcalf has been remarkably consistent for receiving yards, with at least 90 in six of his seven games. Diggs has fewer than 50 receiving yards in three of his last four, and while he will probably do better than that against Seattle’s porous defense, I’ll take the guy with the higher floor considering they both have awfully high ceilings.

Prop 3: Touchdown Dance (Over 2.5 TDs Pays 2-to-1)

Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans

Any touchdown prop involving this game has to involve Derrick Henry , who has eight touchdowns in his last five games. Chicago’s run defense has not been nearly as scary as its pass defense and in addition to getting the goal line carries, Henry is capable of breaking a long run at any time.

Brown and Jonnu Smith both have five receiving touchdowns, but Brown has only played five games. Like Henry, Brown is a big play and a red zone threat.

Jimmy Graham actually leads the Bears with four touchdowns, but I cannot bring myself to choose him. Robinson is averaging half a touchdown per game over the last two seasons (and his entire career), and that is plenty for our purposes with Henry and Brown both averaging a touchdown per game.

Prop 4: More or Less Longshot (Pays 20-to-1)

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

I have no idea if Jake Luton is good, but I am pretty confident Gardner Minshew isn’t, and Minshew topped 235.5 passing yards in five of his seven games this season. That included 301 yards against Houston in Week 5. Luton has a strong arm and a couple of receivers who can get downfield in a hurry, so I like his chances. One of those targets is Chark, and I don’t think think Houston’s pass defense is good enough to keep Luton from getting Chark the ball. As for Robinson, I cannot be rational about him because I am an Illinois State grad, but only five teams are worse in DVOA against the run than the Texans.

On the other side of the ball, the Fuller prop may be the riskiest, but he could top 63.5 receiving yards on one play. That being said, he’s been under than number in four of his seven games this season, including against Jacksonville. Deshaun Watson has reached 300 passing yards in four straight games, including 359 against Jacksonville. It is hard to imagine he will backslide against the Jaguars coming off a bye.