SuperDraft Playbook & Example Lineups - Week 3
Steve Pimental takes us through his NFL SuperDraft Playbook & Example Lineups for Week 3
We now have two weeks of SuperDraft entries in the books, and I feel like some bits of strategy are starting to coalesce in my brain. My cash lineup scored 154.11 points to cash relatively comfortably, even if it wasn’t exactly an impressive output. Everyone in my lineup scored at least 10.14 fantasy points, and Tom Brady led the way with 35.76. Of course, that doesn’t mean that all of my picks were just okay. Andy Dalton was 5.2% owned and finished with 38.95 fantasy points, while Jacoby Brissett delivered three touchdowns with a 1.95X multiplier.
I think that’s going to be part of my strategy for the foreseeable future, targeting quarterbacks with a high multiplier and hoping I get 300 passing yards and 2-3 touchdowns. With the state of the game today, any quarterback can have a big day, even if he isn’t particularly good.
I feel like for running backs, I’m just going to take the guys who are obviously better than their multiplier indicates. In Week 3, that’s mostly going to be veterans I liked in the preseason who haven’t exactly delivered yet. Sometimes it pays to be stubborn in your evaluation of a player.
If you haven’t tried SuperDraft yet, however, you should stop being stubborn. In addition to offering a fun new twist on DFS, SuperDraft has plenty of opportunities to win in Week 3, including double-ups, a $10,000 Field Goal Contest and a $125,000 Red Zone contest. If you have any questions for your SuperDraft lineup leading up to lineup lock, be sure to ask them in the FantasyAlarm Chat, and I will answer personally.
Dak Prescott X1.2 - Prescott is already averaging 33.4 fppg, and now he gets to host the terrible Dolphins. I’m a little concerned Dallas will score five touchdowns and four of them will be runs by Ezekiel Elliot, but there’s also a strong possibility Prescott continues his hot start.
Kirk Cousins X1.75 - I don’t think Kirk Cousins is good, but he’s got two great receivers and a home tilt against Oakland. There’s no reason his multiplier should be higher than Mason Rudolph ’s or Teddy Bridgewater ’s.
Kyler Murray X1.65 - Murray is averaging 20.6 fppg, which isn’t terrible considering how inept Arizona has been in the red zone. If he starts running like we expected and/or relying on David Johnson in the passing game, his ceiling is awfully high.
Tom Brady X1.3 - This is probably your last chance to play Brady before he is valued as an elite quarterback as he should be.
LeSean McCoy X1.9, Damien Williams X2 and Darwin Thompson X2 - McCoy and Williams both picked up injuries in Week 2, but I want whoever is healthy from this team. The Chiefs have picked up right where they left off a season ago, and they can’t keep scoring all of their touchdowns through the air.
Matt Breida X1.5 - Breida had the second-most rushing yards in Week 2, with 121 on 12 carries, but he saw the touchdowns go to Jeff Wilson and Raheem Mostert . Breida may not have the most touchdown upside, but he’s a good player with a high multiplier.
David Johnson X1.4 - I’m willing to chalk up Johnson’s lack of touches in Week 2 to a wrist injury that kept him out for about a quarter. He’s too good to stay down for much longer.
Kerryon Johnson X1.65 - As I said, I’m stubborn. I still think Johnson is good, and I’m not concerned that he’s in a timeshare along with just about every other running back in the league. I’m convinced his breakout game is coming.
Rashaad Penny X2 - Penny had 10 carries for 60 yards Sunday compared to 15 carries for 61 yards for Chris Carson . If Chris Carson fumbles again, Penny could be in a line for a bunch of touches, and he’s already been productive with the few he has gotten.
Carlos Hyde X1.7 - Hyde has at least 83 rushing yards in both games this season, and while he hasn’t gotten in the end zone yet, it’s only a matter of time. He’s clearly the lead back in Houston but his multiplier is higher than Duke Johnson ’s.
Keenan Allen X1.15 - Allen will likely be in all of my cash lineups, as he has at least eight receptions, 10 targets and 98 yards in both games this season.
DeAndre Hopkins X1.25 - I defy you to tell me one good reason he has any multiplier at all, let alone one that is so high.
Emmanuel Sanders X1.45 - It’s difficult to overstate how good Emmanuel Sanders looked in Week 2. He now has at least 17.10 fantasy points in both games this season, and I like his chances of repeating with a very high multiplier.
Marvin Jones X1.75 - Jones is really good at going and getting deep balls, and while he hasn’t had much of a chance to demonstrate it yet, that won’t always be the case. Jones is a risk, but I think he’s got a very high ceiling.
Mecole Hardman X2 - I suspect Demarcus Robinson will be much, much more highly owned in Week 3, but I think Hardman is at least as likely as Robinson to go off. Hardman had 83 receiving yards in Week 2, and I think he could easily do that again and add a touchdown.
Calvin Ridley X1.55 - Maybe Ridley is just someone who is going to consistently find the end zone. He has two touchdowns already this season after scoring 10 last season. Even if he doesn’t score in Week 3, he is averaging 84.5 receiving yards so far, and that seems pretty safe.
Vance McDonald X1.7 - I think McDonald was a bit overrated coming into the season, and I am skeptical Ben Roethlisberger ’s injury helps anyone on Pittsburgh’s offense. That being said, he had seven targets Sunday and caught two touchdowns. I doubt many guys behind him on the tight end list have that kind of upside.
Will Dissly X1.85 - That being said, Will Dissly does have that kind of upside, having scored two touchdowns of his own in Week 2. Neither Tyler Lockett nor D.K. Metcalf has a track record of consistency in the NFL, so it’s not difficult to imagine Dissly carving out a weekly role for himself in this offense.
Jared Cook X1.65 - Cook was second on his team in targets in Week 2, and I don’t think anyone would be particularly surprised if Teddy Bridgewater relies on his tight end more than Drew Brees did. That being said, I certainly don’t trust him for cash lineups.
Zach Ertz X1.3 - Ertz’s ceiling is probably lower with Alshon Jeffrey and DeSean Jackson injured, but I think his floor is higher, too. He led the league in targets in Week 2, and I suspect he’ll be near the top of the leaderboard in Week 3 as well.
Steve’s Week 3 Cash Lineup
QB - Tom Brady - 1.3x
RB - Carlos Hyde - 1.7x
RB - Frank Gore - 1.9x
WR - DeAndre Hopkins - 1.25x
WR - Emmanuel Sanders - 1.45x
WR - Keenan Allen - 1.15x
TE - Zach Ertz - 1.3x
UTIL - Calvin Ridley - 1.55x