DFS WNBA Playbook & Optimal Lineups: May 27
Steve Pimental provides the best DFS plays and optimal lineups for Sunday's three-game WNBA slate.
Our WNBA DFS motto, until further notice, is “ridin’ the Storm out.” The Storm lead the league with 88.0 points per game, and they have allowed the second most opponent’s points per game. As luck would have it, their opponent Sunday is the only team that has allowed more points, the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces should get their starting backcourt back from Europe for this game, and while that probably won’t do much to help their defense, it could do wonders for their struggling offense.
While the last game in Sunday’s three-game slate should have plenty of scoring, the game before that could be high-scoring as well. The Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury rank second and fourth in points and third and fourth in opponent’s points this season. The Sparks would get a boost if Candice Parker can make her season debut, but even if she can’t, L.A. has proven they can score with anybody.
The first game of the slate is the one I am actively looking to avoid. The Mystics are actually third in the WNBA in scoring this season, but I think that has far more to do with facing the Aces once and the Indiana Fever twice than anything else. They have a significantly more difficult task in hosting the defending champion Minnesota Lynx Sunday. Even if I didn’t hate this matchup for Washington, it is pretty difficult to trust any Mystics when Elena Delle Donne and Kristi Toliver are the only Mystics averaging more than 22.3 minutes per game.
The thing that really stood out when researching this slate is how poor the midpriced options are. I’m sure someone like Sue Bird or Sancho Lyttle is going to come out of nowhere to have a huge game, but I have a hard time paying for them when they haven’t done a whole lot so far this season. That means we have to find some cheap punt plays so that we can pay up for the players we can really feel confident in.
|Player||FanDuel Price||DraftKings Price||Comments|
|Jewell Loyd, G, SEA||$ 7,900||$ 11,000||Loyd has scored 29 points in each of her last two games, and she is averaging 22.7 points, 6.3 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.7 turnovers per game this season. With Moriah Jefferson out, the Aces don't have anyone who can stay with Loyd defensively.|
|Kayla McBride, G, LV||$ 4,300||$ 7,000||Can someone explain to me why Kayla McBride costs less than Kelsey Plum on FanDuel? McBride averaged 15.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.1 steals per game in 2017 and while she may not take as many shots with the additions of A'ja Wilson and Tamera Young, she should get higher-quality looks, which helps limit her downside.|
|Kelsey Plum, G, LV||$ 4,500||$ 6,500||Plum was a popular preseason pick for Most Improved Player, and as such, she figures to be highly owned Sunday. That being said, I have been on record multiple times stating Stars head coach Vickie Johnson did a poor job putting Plum in a position to succeed last season. If she really is better than last season, this will be your only chance to get her at a discount.|
|Breanna Stewart, F, SEA||$ 8,600||$ 12,600||Elena Delle Donne had 23 points and 11 rebounds against the Aces Tuesday, and I expect similar production from Breanna Stewart Sunday. A'ja Wilson may be able to guard Stewart eventually, but that is asking an awful lot of a rookie playing her third WNBA game.|
|A'Ja Wilson, F, LV||$ 7,000||$ 8,800||With McBride and Plum back with the team, teams have to at least think twice before double-teaming A'ja Wilson. Wilson is averaging 15.0 points, 9.0, 1.5 blocks and 2.0 steals per game on 31 percent shooting, and that could very well represent her floor.|
|Nneka Ogwumike, F, LA||$ 8,000||$ 13,300||Nneka is the cheapest out of the elite forwards on FanDuel, and she is the most expensive player on DraftKings.|
|Sylvia Fowles, F, MIN||$ 8,500||$ 12,000||Fowles is the opposite of Nneka Ogwumike, though Breanna Stewart does cost $100 more on FanDuel. I think Fowles is worth the price on FD, and far to cheap on DK.|
|DeWanna Bonner, G, PHO||$ 6,500||$ 7,800||Bonner is averaging 38.1 FPPG on FanDuel despite shooting 2-16 on threes this season. Of the players in Sunday's slate, only Breanna Stewart, Sylvia Fowles, Nneka Ogwumike and Jewel Loyd have more FPPG. Bonner is a 30.1 percent career three-point shooter.|
|Tianna Hawkins, F, WAS||$ 4,500||$ 5,200||Hawkins played just 16 minutes in the season-opener, but she played at least 24 in the two subsequent games. She has also taken at least seven shots in every game, which is encouraging.|
|Riquna Williams, G, LA||$ 3,700||$ 3,600||Williams has scored at least 12.75 fantasy points on DraftKings in every game this season despite playing 17 minutes or fewer in each. If that is her floor, sign me up. She's going to get hot and score 20 points one of these days.|
|Odyssey Sims, G, LA||$ 6,400||$ 9,300||You could make an argument Odyssey Sims has been the most consistent player in the WNBA this season. She has scored 28.6, 25.9 and 29.9 fantasy points on FanDuel.|
|Jordin Canada, G, SEA||$ 3,600||$ 4,000||Jordin Canada hasn't been quite as consistent as Riquna Williams, but she has played 20+ minutes in two of Seattle's three games this season.|
|Nia Coffey, F, LV||$ 4,300||$ 3,800||Hopefully, now that they have their starting guards, the Aces will take Carolyn Swords out of the starting lineup and replace her with Nia Coffey. Even if that doesn't happen, Coffey has played at least 24 minutes in both games this season, and that probably won't change. She is averaging 12.5 points and 5.0 rebounds in those games.|