Philadelphia 76ers-Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under: 225.5

Spread: PHI -3

Game 4

Game three of this series wasn’t too much different than game two headlined by the continuation of the Hawks shooting issues, especially from long-range. Atlanta shot 26.1 percent from the arc and until they shoot better and put a hand in Philly’s face in the paint on defense, they can get themselves back in this series, but it’s not looking good right now. The 76ers will be without Danny Green for the rest of the series after he hurt his Calf. Furkan Korkmaz picked up the slack by hitting shots and scoring 14 points. 

Injuries:

*Joel Embiid-Questionable

*Danny Green-Out

*Cam Reddish-Out

*De’Andre Hunter-Out

Player Breakdown: 

Joel Embiid- We have zero reason to believe that Embiid will sit for this game and he continues to dominate the Hawks in the lane. We’ve even seen Dwight Howard score in double figures against Atlanta. Clint Capela hasn’t been able to stop Embiid and even though Embiid has taken a few falls this series, he remains on the court. He’s posted two multi-block games out of three in this match up. He’s been one rebound shy twice of posting three double-doubles in three games this series. Embiid doesn’t even need to take a lot of three-pointers because the Hawks pose zero threat in the lane. The only way Embiid will get his minutes truly monitored is if the Sixers are up 20 points throughout the game. 

Trae Young- Because everyone else on the team has been very streaky, expect Young to take more shots in this game in order for Atlanta to avoid going down 3-1. If the Hawks can shoot a bit better, expect him to post a double-double tonight. He was close to posting three-straight double-digit-dime games. He’s not getting good shots especially because of the length that Ben Simmons has. A lot of Young’s passes have been tipped, shots have been re-directed, but if he’s unable to get 20-plus shots up tonight, the Hawks won’t win this game. Young has also posted three multi-steal games in his last four. He’ll continue to play deep into contests and it’s going to be on him to keep the Hawks in this game. 

Tobias Harris- Harris continues to stay consistent, as he’s scored 22 points in both of his last 2 contests. Harris is making it look easy because the Hawks aren’t challenging him when he drives the lane. Not a single hand in his face! Why? No clue, and they refuse to adjust. Knock him around a little bit so he reverts back to the arc a bit more. If the Hawks will let him have continuous running one-hander’s, he’s going to continue to go to that move. Harris has grabbed at least eight boards in four of his last five outings. He’s exceeded his assists average for the season of 3.6 in his last 2 games. Harris has shot nearly 58 percent from the field in each of his last 3 games. Continue rolling with him. 

John Collins- This is now two straight games that Collins has taken double-digit shots and, he’s one of the few Hawks who realizes when the shots aren’t falling from distance, take a few steps in side. Collins hit 10-14 shots last game and even though he gets in a bit of foul trouble, he has still played mid-30’s minutes throughout the series and he’s exceeded 20 points scoring in 2 of 3 games this season. Collins has more post moves than Clint Capela. Capela will mainly score off of lobs, but Collins can hit shots from mid-range and when posting in the low-block and he’ll have to create a bit more as the Hawks main paint attacker (besides Young). Collins has shot over 71 percent in 2 games out of 3 this series. 

Clint Capela- Capela has grabbed at least 10 rebounds in all but 1 playoff game this year. He’s coming off of a 16-rebound game and a hobbled Embiid should allow him to continue cashing in the boards. Capela has also scored in double figures in five of his last six games but the problem is that he doesn’t have many moves in the post. Seeing his price drop a little in DFS is encouraging because the Hawks are going to have to beat the Sixers with speed and a more up-tempo style of offense tonight could catch the Sixers out of position and Capela can benefit big time with more receiving more ally-oops on transition. If the Hawks aren’t going to hit their shots playing slow, they must change the tempo. Capela has grabbed steals and blocks in three of his last four games. 

Utah Jazz-Los Angeles Clippers

Over/Under: 223.5

Spread: LAC -5

Game 4

The Clippers perform best when their Back’s are against the wall and that is exactly what happened in the third game of this series. Kawhi Leonard was outstanding scoring 34 points and grabbing 12 rebounds to lead the Clippers. Donovan Mitchell injured his Ankle in this game, but still dropped 30 points and doesn’t have an injury designation heading into tonight. Rudy Gobert continues to have his way on both sides of the ball because the Clippers continue to go small thus we can continue starting him with confidence that he will secure a double-double. Mike Conley remains on the sidelines for Utah.

Injuries:

*Mike Conley-Out

*Serge Ibaka-Out

Player Breakdown:

Kawhi Leonard- If the Clippers are going to fight back once again, Leonard will have to carry them for the most part. Leonard has shot at least 47 percent from the floor and he most recently shot over 58 percent from the field in Game 3. Leonard has exceeded 20 points in each game. He’s dished five dimes and grabbed two steals in both of his last two games. Leonard has also grabbed at least 10 boards in 2 of his last 4 games. Expect him to take around 20 shots and we never have to worry about his playing time. He’s a safe option to pay up for tonight as we should continue to see a more aggressive Leonard in the post on both sides of the ball.

Donovan Mitchell- Mitchell will get a ton of shots and his Ankle shouldn’t limit him at all. Mitchell has scored at least 30 points in each of his last five games. Mitchell should shoot at least 25 shots tonight. Mitchell has grabbed steals in six of his last seven games and he’s grabbed five or more rebounds in two his last four games.  Mitchell has shot 51.7 percent from the field or better in 3 of his last 4 games. With Conley out, Mitchell should be able to dish four to six dimes tonight as well as he'll handle to rock for a decent portion of this game.

Paul George- Yes, we saw George’s rebounding drop a bit, but he did have his highest scoring game of the playoffs and he shot 50 percent from the floor in Game 3. He scored 31 points and still dished 5 dimes. George saw a lot of open looks last game and if Leonard is exploding on offense like he did last game, expect the Jazz defense to prioritize defending Leonard over George. When Leonard would attack the lane, George was constantly open at the arc and George hit six three-pointers’ last game. George has grabbed 10 or more boards in 3 of his last 5 contests. Like Leonard, George is a strong defender and if he can drop he turnovers a bit, we can be looking for an even bigger DFS return. George will continue to see better looks in game four as the Clippers would be stupid to abandon having Leonard continuously attack the paint. 

Rudy Gobert- There’s zero reason to think that Gobert won’t record another double-double. He’s obviously a strong defender and the Clippers really don’t challenge him with height at all. Marcus Morris can only do so much and Ivica Zubac hasn’t been playing full minutes. Gobert grabbed 20 boards two games ago and he’s blocked multiple shots in all but one game in the playoffs. Gobert has grabbed steals in the lane in his last two games as well. Even though Gobert doesn’t take many field goals, he’s scored in double figures in every single playoff game. Expect Gobert to once again play 30 minutes tonight and should grab 10-13 boards. He doesn’t have many post moves, but again, the Clippers lack size with Serge Ibaka out of the lineup.

Joe Ingles- With Conley out again, Ingles should be expected to grab more shots and even have more time with the ball. Ingles has taken 10 or more shots in every game this series and he should easily see 30 minutes again in this game. Ingles scored 19 points in both of his last 2 games and shot over 54 percent from the field in both. He has grabbed steals and dished four or more dimes in four of his last five contests. Expect a lot of DFS players to be on him once again as a value play. Ingles should be able to help out with assists as well as he's dished at least four in four of his last five games. Ingles has also grabbed four or more boards in four of his last five contests.

 

 

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