Labeling a player as a "must-avoid" seems like painting with a broad brush. Just like suggesting recency bias affects players differently. Disappointments from 2019 like Rhys Hoskins , Khris Davis and Edwin Díaz own much different average draft positions (ADP) as a result while others get a pass. Why? Well, recency bias proves to be a fickle factor determining draft capital. Especially when a player owns an outlier career year which resonates in fantasy player’s minds. For instance, a player who launched 59 home runs in 2017 with a robust .281/.376/.631 slash line. Yes, Giancarlo Stanton , here’s looking at you.

Playing in a ballpark constructed to enhance his prodigious power potential, Stanton’s turned in a nice season for the Yankees but not like the one he owned in Miami. Injuries, sometimes freak ones, contribute to his missed games in the past but it needs to be baked into any projection or outlook on him for 2020. Before explaining the summation of this article, first,...