Josh Bell arrived to the majors with strong metrics within his discipline with fantasy owners hoping his power would develop. In 2016, Bell blasted 26 home runs, but with a .255/.334/.466 slash line. While the power enhanced his appeal, it felt like Bell could hit for a better average. Last year, Bell slightly improved in the category, but the power cratered to only 12 home runs in 148 games.

Bell produced ground balls almost half of his at-bats in 2018 capping his power and frustrating his owners. This depressed his preseason price tag in drafts and auctions, which means his owners could be reaping the rewards from his hot start. Through 38 games, Bell’s already launched 10 home runs in 142 at-bats with 35 RBI and a robust .324/.395/.655 slash. Accounting for Bell’s inflated BABIP, his average will migrate to the mean, but, how much along with the power surge will decide his final outcome.

Before delving into his expected statistics, according to Fangraphs, Bell’s...