Flawed power hitters sometimes fill the fantasy landscape. Hunter Renfroe not only fits this bill, but resides in a very crowded outfield in San Diego. Renfroe did launch 26 home runs in only 117 games last year with 53 runs, 68 RBI, two stolen bases and a .248/.302/.504 slash line. He recorded a .256 isolated power, walked in 6.8 percent of his plate appearances and owned a 24.7 strikeout rate. His ability to generate fly balls, a high pull side rate and hard hit percentage spike to 47.2 percent last year, makes him intriguing as a player with 30 home run upside.

However, how many at-bats will Renfroe accrue next year along with how much regression occurs will determine his outcomes. For good measure, Renfroe also reduced his swinging strike percentage by 1.5 percent. Over the last two years, he’s hit 52 home runs in 856 at-bats (one every 16.46) with the 16th-best isolated power (.245) among hitters with at least 900 plate appearances. Renfroe’s 19.3 home run per fly ball...