PGA DFS Playbook - The Memorial Tournament
Drew Phelps explores every Fairway, reads every Green and uses his DFS Golf experience to put together a winning DFS Playbook for the Memorial Tournament.
Despite the early start on Sunday, that was one fantastic finish to the Workday Charity Open with Collin Morikawa winning his second career event. This young phenom went toe to toe with one of the best players in the world Justin Thomas. He has more wins than missed cuts since going pro last June. I am really curious to see his ownership level this weekend and whether people will fade him thinking the ownership level will be out of control or everyone just jumps into the mix.
We spoke at least about this strange portion of the PGA Tour schedule with two straight tournaments on the same course. The course was set up differently last weekend than a typical Memorial event for the Workday Charity Open. The course was lengthened to 7,456 yards which is a little above average for length on the PGA Tour these days. The major difference this week compared to last is that the field is smaller and tougher. The likes of Rory McIlory, Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau, Webb Simpson, Tony Finau, Daniel Berger, Paul Casey and more will be added to the field. Oh and some guy named Tiger Woods will make his debut following the Coronavirus hiatus. When you look through last week’s final leaderboard, you see a wide variety of players from bombers to ball strikers to course managers. Just proves once again that you can attack and beat this course in a number of different ways from the risk/reward style to a more patient approach. The greens will be faster this week as it normally is for the Memorial.
After what I saw last week and going through the leaderboard a little closer I have adjusted my key stats just a little bit. I’m going to continue to target Strokes Gained: Approach especially when I see #1 and #2 on the PGA Tour in that category are Collin Morikawa and Justin Thomas. I spoke about the greens being on the smaller and faster side, so I’m going to add Strokes Gained: Putting into my mix this week. I’m going to eliminate Proximity and add Greens in Regulation. I will definitely keep Scrambling after what I saw last weekend. Par 4 Efficiency 450-500 yards is still vital because nothing changed about there being seven Par 4s stretching out 447 yards or further.
When the PGA Tour changed the rules to adjust the cut line from Top 70 to Top 65 plus ties, it has shown to have a bigger impact on the DFS Golf game than I think anyone expected. That move on Friday from two under to one under was devastating to the tune of less than three percent of Millionaire Maker lineups got all six players through the cut line. We should get a reprieve this weekend with only 133 in the field.
For the second straight week, the weather does not look great in Dublin, Ohio. They are calling for scattered showers on Thursday and more rain in the morning on Friday. While I’m not going to completely push playing nothing but Thursday morning tee times, I will lean towards those players when I’m in a tiebreaker situation between two golfers.
KEY STATS TO TARGET: Strokes Gained: Approach, Strokes Gained: Putting, Scrambling, Greens in Regulation, and Par 4 Efficiency 450-500
ONE & DONE PICK OF THE WEEK: Patrick Cantlay
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