Updated with weekend Optimals 

 

I know everyone is pumped up for the PGA Championship this week at Quail Hollow but me, I’m depressed.  That’s right, I’m upset because it’s the last major championship of the season.  Of course, I love having another chance at million dollars on Draft Kings but it also means we don’t have another major until April when we head back to Augusta. 

Quail Hollow is the regular host of the Wells Fargo Championship but it shifted courses for one-year due to the upcoming PGA.  After a long overhaul in prep for this evening, it will play as a par 71 that stretches out 7,600 yards.  As far as the length, only the 11th hole was lengthened 36 yards. Players must be able to score on the only three par 5’s to put themselves into position to contend over the weekend.  Quail Hollow features six holes in which players have a better than average chance at making a birdie.  All of the Par 5’s are reachable in two and two of the Par 4’s are actually drivable for the long hitters.  We’ve also got three 200 plus yard Par 3s, one of which is 250 yards.  We’ve seen Rory McIlory take home titles at this course twice being that he’s one of the best drivers of the golf ball on the PGA Tour.  Total Driving will be a key stat this weekend.

This course does not just play to the bombers because short game will be key as well.  Scrambling will play a big role in who takes home the Wanamaker Trophy.  The biggest change that happened in the renovation was the rough and what will they do about the length.  As of right now, it is not very long but with the impending rain showers, it is possible they are going to let it grow into place instead of doing a late cut.  If they do cut it down, play your bombers but if they leave it long, you may want to mix good ball strikers who are proficient from outside 200 yards.  We also want smart players with great course management skills because the guys who do their homework will now where on this course they can miss and still score.  As always, putting should be looked at but this course is not known for the most challenging greens.

The weather will be difficult to judge this weekend as it looks like scattered showers throughout Thursday and Friday.  As of Tuesday evening when I’m writing this, I’d prefer to play more afternoon tee times on Thursday to get out early on Friday but this is subject to change.  No matter what, these players will have to deal with wet conditions.

GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND!

 

WEEKEND OPTIMALS

GPP #1

Rickie Fowler - $9300
Jon Rahm - $9100
Justin Thomas - $8700
Tony Finau - $7800
Patrick Reed - $7700
Bud Cauley - $7300

 

GPP #2

Dustin Johnson - $9500
Brooks Koepka - $9200
Jason Day - $8900
Tommy Fleetwood - $7900
Byeong-Hun An - $7200
Sung Kang - $7000

 

DFS PGA PLAYBOOK:

PLAYERDRAFT KINGSFANDUELBREAKDOWN
Rory McIlory$11,800$10,300WARNING: HE WILL BE CRAZY HIGHLY OWNED!  2 Time Champ at Quail Hollow. Top 5s in last 2 Starts.
Rickie Fowler$10,700$9,500Won at Quail Hollow in 2012 & finished T4 last year.  Tour Leader in SG:Putting.  5 Top 10s in last 7 Starts Worldwide.
Hideki Matsuyama$10,500$8,800We all saw what he did at Firestone last week. His Tee-to-Green Game is on point, fit him in your lineups
Sergio Garcia$9,400$8,800You know what you're getting with Sergio. Plenty of Experience and Always in Contention. He'll be underowned
Brooks Koepka$9,200$8,600People will be scared off being his 1st trip to Quail Hollow but U.S. Open Winner, T6 at The Open & T17 at WGC.
Adam Scott$8,600$8,400Seems JUST off his perfect game but still 17th in SG:TG & 10th in Adjusted Scoring. His game fits most all courses
Phil Mickelson$8,500$7,500It's hard to NOT put him in at this price & his track record of 11 Top 12 Finishes at Quail Hollow. 2nd in All Time Earnings 
Marc Leishman$8,100$6,700Continues to be one of the most balanced players on Tour. 13th All Round, 5th in Adjusted Scoring. 9 Top 20s with T6 at The Open
Alexander Noren$7,900$7,7005 Top 15 Finishes Worldwide since his 10th at the Players. He's got 5 Victories in the last 13 Months.
Paul Casey$7,800$7,6002 Top 5s in his last 3 Starts.  5 Top 10s in last 9.  He's just always around and too good of a price to pass up
Daniel Berger$7,700$7,100There is NOTHING not to love about this kid, all throughout his bag.  2/2 at Quail Hollow with a T17 last year.
Charley Hoffman$7,600$6,500CAREER season with 6 Top 10s (Back to Back Top 5s). He just keeps doing it, so why fight it, play him at a GREAT price
Tony Finau$7,000$7,000He may sneak up and win the whole thing. Bomber, Tee-To-Green Proficient & 4th in GIR from off Fairway. GREAT value
Kevin Chappell$7,000$6,000Tee-to-Green Proficient with Top 15s the last two weeks. He hasn't missed a cut at Quail since 2012 with 2 Top 20s. 
Russell Knox$6,900$5,200Mostly a GUT call here based on his recent play.  He's hot coming off of an extremely balanced T5 at the WGC. 
Zach Johnson$6,800$6,6002nd place at Firestone was his 3rd Straight Top 15 Finish.  He has played 38 competitive rounds at Quail Hollow
Luke List $6,800$4,900One of the longest hitters on Tour is also 18th in GIR & 2nd in GIR off the fairway. 3rd in PAR 5 SCORING (1st in Eagles)
Francesco Molinari$6,800$5,900One of the BEST Tee-To-Green players in the game coming off of a T24 last week.  Finished T17 in his only visit here last year.
Hao Tong Li$6,800$5,8003rd Place finish at The Open was his 4th Top 5 this year.  16th on Euro Tour in Putts per GIR & 15th in 3 Putt Avoidance
Bud Cauley$6,600$5,1005 Top 10s this season with a T12 in his last start at the John Deere. 30th in SG:TG, 45th in Adjusted Scoring & Knows this course
Gary Woodland$6,700$6,3008 Straight Pay Days, 6/6 Cuts Made at Quail Hollow including Top 25s in his last 3 Appearances.

DRAFT KINGS OPTIMALS:

DRAFT KINGS CASHPRICE
Rickie Fowler$10,700
Brooks Koepka$9,200
Phil Mickelson$8,500
Daniel Berger$7,700
Kevin Chappell$7,000
Zach Johnson $6,800
  
DRAFT KINGS GPPPRICE
Rickie Fowler$10,700
Sergio Garcia$9,400
Adam Scott$8,600
Kevin Chappell$7,000
Francesco Molinari$6,800
Hao-Tong Li$6,800

FANDUEL OPTIMALS:

FANDUEL CASHPRICE
Rory McIlory$10,300
Rickie Fowler$9,500
Phil Mickelson$7,500
Daniel Berger$7,100
Marc Leishman$6,700
Zach Johnson$6,600
Gary Woodland$6,300
Kevin Chappell$6,000
  
FANDUEL GPPPRICE
Rory McIlory$10,300
Rickie Fowler$9,500
Hideki Matsuyama$8,800
Alexander Noren$7,700
Marc Leishman$6,700
Kevin Chappell$6,000
Russell Knox$5,200
Bud Cauley$5,100

ONE & DONE PLAY:

ONE AND DONE PLAYFINISH
SBS - Jimmy WalkerT9
Sony - Charles Howell IIIT8
Career - Bill HaasT17
Farmers - Brandt SnedekerT9
Waste - Brendan SteeleT16
Pebble - Phil Mickelson65th
Genesis - J.B HolmesT34
Honda - Graeme McDowellT14
Mexico - Alexander NorenT55
Valspar - Ryan MooreT18
Palmer - Zach JohnsonT66
Match - Sergio GarciaOut of Sweet 16
Puerto - David HearnT17
Shell - Lee WestwoodMC
Masters - Justin Rose2nd
RBC - Kevin KisnerT11
Valero - Charley HoffmanT40
Wells Fargo - Adam ScottT36
Players - Martin KaymerT69
Nelson - Dustin JohnsonT13
D & D - Pat PerezMC
Memorial - Emiliano GrilloT40
St. Jude - Russell HenleyMC
U.S. Open - Jason DayMC
Travelers - Kyle StanleyT57
Quicken - Justin ThomasMC
Greenbrier - Webb SimpsonT14
John Deere - Johnson WagnerMC
Open Champ - Brooks KoepkaT6
RBC Canadian - Adam HadwinMC
Bridgestone - Kevin ChappellT13
PGA CHAMP - Rickie Fowler???