Oh boy, oh boy, it's finally here, The Masters. As you will hear hundreds of times over the weekend and it could not be more true, "A tradition unlike any other." The Super Bowl of the Golf world has arrived and we've got one million dollars on the line on Draft Kings. We've got so much to discuss before setting your lineups, so let’s get to it.
First, you must know that basically any player $8,000 and up has a legitimate chance to win the Masters. My job is to provide you with the golfers I feel have the best combination of price, ownership and level of play to help you bring home big money this weekend. It was extremely difficult to narrow down my playbook to these select few, especially from the top tier. I would not fault you if you played any player $9,000 plus.
I must address the absence of Dustin Johnson from my playbook and it is not because I don’t love the guy and the way he’s playing right now. The man is lighting the world on fire and everyone that even follows golf casually knows this fact. We will have a lot of new public players entering tournaments this weekend and a huge majority of them will put him in their lineups. If you really want to put him in your lineups, go for it, I can’t fault you but just know you will be with the majority this weekend and that’s not how you take down a tournament like the Millionaire Maker. If you are going to throw him in your lineup, you have to make sure the rest of your lineup is filled with contrarian plays.
BREAKING NEWS: Dustin Johnson took a fall at his rental home in Augusta and is now QUESTIONABLE to participate in the Masters. I personally only had him in 1 lineup like I spoke about in my article, but I am looking to pivot.
Now, let’s get into the DFS Strategy when it comes to The Masters and playing in such a huge public tournament like the Millionaire Maker on Draft Kings. They have allotted 122,613 entries for the tournament and as I mentioned, a good portion of them will be first time DFS PGA players. There are only 95 players in this field which means differentiating yourself will be at a premium. You cannot be afraid to leave money on the table when setting your lineups. One of the biggest problems that many DFS players have is feeling that you must spend all your salary cap. There is a much better chance that you'll have a duplicate lineup if you zero out your cap than if you leave money on the table. You'll notice that all my Optimals will not use the full salary cap.
Time to shift our focus over to Augusta National. There is no need to go into detail here because it's one of the most well-known courses in the world. It is a Par 72 that measures out to 7,435 yards. This course is very difficult and true test of a golfer's game. There are very long Par 4’s, and reachable Par 5’s. The greens are always the fastest on tour and hard for these players to stick because of the shave edges. Since the course was lengthened in 2010, only 300 yard bombers have won or even finished in the Top 10 but there are exceptions to every rule namely Matt Kuchar, Brandt Snedeker, and last year’s winner Danny Willett. When looking over the course history, good GIR numbers has proven to be more beneficial to players than putting at Augusta but that's not to say that putting is not important.
Augusta National is a second shot course. We want players with great proximity numbers from outside 175 and 200 yards out. That means targeting great long iron players (great ball strikers). Most outstanding long iron players happen to also be at the top when it comes to GIR. These players put themselves into birdie making opportunities rather than missing greens and must scramble their way to a par.
Course history is vitally important when it comes to The Masters even if it is just one previous trip like for the past two winners, Danny Willett and Jordan Spieth. This trend bodes well for players like Matthew Fitzpatrick, Daniel Berger, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Emiliano Grillo, and Bryson DeChambeau, who all finished T21 or better last year in their debuts at Augusta.
Finally, the weather will once again play a big factor in determining this weekend’s winner at Augusta. The wind wreaked havoc in 2016 with just a few players finishing under par for the weekend and that trend looks to continue in 2017. They are calling for cool and blustery conditions on Thursday and Friday but Mother Nature does settle down over the weekend with sunshine and relative warmth.
The Masters is truly a one of a kind event that every fan of the sport looks forward too. Growing up, there were few things I enjoyed more than watching Sunday at Augusta with my Dad. It's the first major of the golf season and it feels like the unofficial start of Spring. I know personally, watching the Masters means that it is time to dust off the clubs from the basement and get out on the range to work out the rust in my already dirty swing. Not sure how much I’ll be able to get out this year with my first child due in late July but I’ll do my best.
WARNING NEW GAME ALERT:
Draft Kings has introduced a new golf game on their site. You can now play just the weekend rounds after the cuts are made on Friday evening. The cut at the Masters happens after the conclusion of the second round which leaves us with the low 50 scores, plus ties, and plus any golfer within 10 strokes of the lead. I will provide new optimals for the Draft Kings weekend slate on Friday evening at the end of the second round. There will be a very small window from Friday evening to early Saturday morning to get your lineups in, so keep your eye on FantasyAlarm.com for my optimals.
Good luck to everyone entering the Millionaire Maker on Draft Kings and remember the Golden Eagle event on Fanduel which is just $4 to enter for a chance at $100,000. If you win, I do expect a cut, remember I got a baby on the way.
DFS PGA PLAYBOOK:
PLAYER | DRAFT KINGS | FANDUEL | BREAKDOWN |
Jordan Spieth | $11,500 | $10,600 | Coming in with a chip on his shoulder after last year's collapse on the back 9. T2-Win-T2 in his last 3 trips to Augusta, his game fits PERFECTLY here. |
Rory McIlory | $10,600 | $10,400 | He's going for that Career Grand Slam once again and there is NO REASON that he can't do it this week. Love the price on DK but will be popular. |
Hideki Matsuyama | $9,900 | $9,700 | Not playing well currently and hopefully that lowers his ownership. Top 10s in his last 2 Trips to Augusta because his game fits GREAT on this course. Tee-to-Green specialist. |
Rickie Fowler | $9,300 | $9,200 | Crushed my soul last year at Augusta with a huge number on Thursday but he's playing well coming in with a T3 in Houston & a win at the Honda. The winds in the forecast scare me with him. |
Justin Rose | $9,200 | $9,500 | 11/11 cuts made at the Masters with 4 Top 10s and another 5 Top 25s (T2 best finish in 2015). I love the Euros this week with the winds in the forecast. Great ball strikers is what you want to tame Augusta. |
Phil Mickelson | $8,900 | $9,100 | "I always love coming here … it's probably my favorite place on Earth" Lefty said earlier today. 25th trip to Augusta with 3 Wins and another 8 Top 5 finishes. |
Jon Rahm | $8,600 | $9,300 | Debuts don't matter to this guy, he's that damn good. If it weren't for DJ, he'd be the hottest player on Tour as a Rookie. Won the Farmers & hasn't finished lower than T16 since. Lost in the finals to DJ at the Match Play. He will be popular at that price on DK. |
Louis Oosthuizen | $8,100 | $8,500 | Another forgotten DFS Golf Option but lost in a playoff here in 2013 and has Top 20 finishes in his last 2 trips to Augusta. Should be low ownership here. |
Brandt Snedeker | $8,000 | $7,800 | T3 back in 2008 is his best finish at the Masters but has Top 20s in 4 of his last 6 trips. 5 Top 20s in 8 starts in 2017. Always a nice safe option. |
Paul Casey | $7,800 | $8,300 | In 11 trips to Augusta, he's got 6 Top 20s (T6 in 2015 and T4 in 2016). Got through pool play at the Match Play and has 3 Top 20s in last 4 events. |
Tyrrell Hatton | $7,600 | $7,600 | This Euro has made a lot of noise this season. Made all 5 cuts and hasn't finished below T13 in ANY EVENT (3 Top 5s)! He will be VERY popular though. |
Matt Fitzpatrick | $7,400 | $6,700 | Finished T7 in his debut last year (67 final round) & led the field in GIR. He's got Top 20s in his last 3 PGA Tour starts. LOVE his price on FD. |
Matt Kuchar | $7,400 | $8,700 | Missed cut last week will scare people off of him but made the cut in 7 straight trips to Augusta which yielded 5 Top 25 finishes. DON'T like the price on FD though. |
Daniel Berger | $7,300 | $6,400 | Finished T10 in his debut at the Masters last year. Finished 5th at the Shell Houston (2nd in SG:TG there). The prices are really good for the talent he brings. |
Lee Westwood | $7,200 | $7,100 | BURNED ME last week but can't deny this numbers at Augusta. 6 Top 11 finishes here since 2010 (T2 Last Year). 13 Top 25s Worldwide over the last 12-months |
Bill Haas | $7,200 | $7,100 | One of the most forgotten players in DFS Golf (Low Ownership). Top 25s in his last 4 Masters appearances. Finished 3rd at the Match Play 2 Weeks ago. |
Marc Leishman | $7,100 | $6,500 | Very well rounded game and plays the WIND well. Won at Bay Hill already this year. Finished T4 in 2013 as he played alongside eventual winner and countryman Adam Scott. |
Hudson Swafford | $7,000 | $5,000 | Last 3 winners at Augusta all won earlier that same year, Swafford won the CareerBuilder, also T10 & T6 in last 2 starts. Local Boy played at U of Georgia. Love FD Price! |
Ross Fisher | $6,900 | $6,300 | 4 Top 5s and a T6 Worldwide since September (including his last 2 starts). He has a T15 here in 2011. PIVOT from Kisner/Hadwin/Fleetwood on DK, don't like the FD price |
Jhonattan Vegas | $6,700 | $5,300 | 12 straight cuts made heading into Augusta (4 of his last 5 have been Top 20s). 26th in GIR & T35 in SG:TG. One of my few plays without a lot of experience. |
Soren Kjeldsen | $6,500 | $5,600 | Finished T7 last year (T6 in GIR). Made the Quarters of the Match Play. Excellent putter sitting 34th in SG:Putting. Low End GPP flier. |
Fred Couples | $6,300 | $4,900 | Everyone LOVES Fred Couples, especially at the Masters. Healthy, Won in 92', 18 Top 20 finishes (Consecutively between 2010-2014). He just love it here. |
DRAFT KINGS OPTIMALS:
DRAFT KINGS CASH | PRICE |
Rory McIlory | $10,600 |
Justin Rose | $9,200 |
Paul Casey | $7,800 |
Matt Kuchar | $7,400 |
Lee Westwood | $7,200 |
Bill Haas | $7,200 |
DRAFT KINGS GPP | PRICE |
Jordan Spieth | $11,500 |
Jon Rahm | $8,600 |
Louis Oosthuizen | $8,100 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | $7,400 |
Lee Westwood | $7,200 |
Hudson Swafford | $7,000 |
FANDUEL OPTIMALS:
FANDUEL CASH | ROUNDS | PRICE |
Fred Couples | 1 & 2 | $4,900 |
Jhonattan Vegas | 1 & 2 | $5,300 |
Daniel Berger | 1 & 2 | $6,400 |
Brandt Snedeker | 1 & 2 | $7,800 |
Rory McIlory | 3 & 4 | $10,400 |
Justin Rose | 3 & 4 | $9,500 |
Paul Casey | 3 & 4 | $8,300 |
Bill Haas | 3 & 4 | $7,100 |
FANDUEL GPP | ROUNDS | PRICE |
Fred Couples | 1 & 2 | $4,900 |
Hudson Swafford | 1 & 2 | $5,000 |
Jhonattan Vegas | 1 & 2 | $5,300 |
Soren Kjeldsen | 1 & 2 | $5,600 |
Dustin Johnson | 3 & 4 | $11,000 |
Jordan Spieth | 3 & 4 | $10,600 |
Rory McIlory | 3 & 4 | $10,400 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | 3 & 4 | $6,700 |
ONE & DONE PLAYS:
ONE AND DONE PLAY | FINISH |
SBS - Jimmy Walker | T9 |
Sony - Charles Howell III | T8 |
Career - Bill Haas | T17 |
Farmers - Brandt Snedeker | T9 |
Waste - Brendan Steele | T16 |
Pebble - Phil Mickelson | 65th |
Genesis - J.B Holmes | T34 |
Honda - Graeme McDowell | T14 |
Mexico - Alexander Noren | T55 |
Valspar - Ryan Moore | T18 |
Arnold Palmer - Zach Johnson | T66 |
Match - Sergio Garcia | Out of Sweet 16 |
Puerto - David Hearn | T17 |
Shell - Lee Westwood | MC |
Masters - Justin Rose | ? |