DFS PGA Playbook - The Players Championship
Published: May 11, 2016
Fresh off a great week in Charlotte at the Wells Fargo, it's time to prepare you for the Players Championship! This tournament is widely regarded as the tour's fifth major. It is played yearly at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida and known best for its famed island green on the 17th hole. This hole has shattered the dreams of many PGA Tour pros but it is almost one of the most exciting holes to watch all year long. But there is a lot more to this course than just an gimmicky island green, so lets get to it ...
Accuracy is the name of the game. This track is not particularly long at only 7,215 yards but even when these pros think they have hit a good shot, they can’t be too sure. These players have to know how to get themselves out of trouble which means scrambling becomes key to success this weekend. TPC Sawgrass was designed by Pete Dye and if you've every played one of his courses, you know it can be quite a humbling experience. Luck has a big role at the Players because depending on where you land the ball on these slopes, they can be your best friend or your worst enemey. The greens are big and these players will attack them but they are also known to be very fast.
When you look at course history, players who are known as good course managers have had the most success. We're looking for all around solid players from tee-to-green with excellent GIR skills. Players must avoid hazards and disastrous situations, so length off the tee is not as important as landing your ball in the fairway. This is a difficult course and no tour player is completely safe from missing the cut. There are 144 golfers in the field and the Top 70 including ties will see weekend action.
I just wanted to take a moment to remind all of my readers that the players listed in my playbook are the golfers that I personally recommend using this weekend. All of the 10K plus golfers on DraftKings have the capability to win this tournament but you have to draw the line somewhere because you obviously cannot use all of them. I am not going to say that you're an idiot for playing Jason Day, Adam Scott or Dustin Johnson this week because all of them have the ability to win. After doing my research, the players I've listed are the only ones that I'm building my lineups around. Just because I did not list a guy like Jordan Spieth in the playbook, does not mean I am completely fading him this weekend. Lets take a look at Jordan Spieth who we all know is an amazing golfer. He has a solid track record at TPC Sawgrass but he has not swung a club competitively since his epic collapse on the back nine at Augusta. I'm fading him and I recommended you do the same, at least until we've seen him tee it up again. I have personally chosen to ride Rory, Rickie and Sergio this weekend and we will see how it all shakes out.
Finally, lets say hello to our spiritual guide through this DFS PGA season, Paige. She could not be more happy after having a great week down in Charlotte at the Wells Fargo. We can only hope that her smile will bring us all good luck as we take on another challenging week of PGA DFS.
As always, I wish you all the best of luck and make sure you follow me on Twitter @Drew_Phelps83. Please feel free to tweet me throughout the weekend about the tournament. Lets all win big!
DFS PGA PLAYBOOK:
PLAYER | ACES | DRAFTKINGS | BREAKDOWN |
Rory McIlory | $6,150 | $11,700 | 8th, 6th, 8th in Last 3 Trips to TPC Sawgrass. Top 10s in Last 3 Starts (T4 Last Week). It will be hard to fade him |
Rickie Fowler | $6,000 | $10,600 | Defending Champ & A Runner Up in 6 Starts. Ignoring the Masters, hasn't finished below T20 since Jan. (5 Top 10s) |
Sergio Garcia | $5,550 | $9,900 | All Time Earnings Leader & 12/12 Cuts Made Here. Top 10s in Last 3 Trips with 6 Overall. 2008 Champ. |
Hideki Matsuyama | $5,700 | $9,700 | Top 25s in 2 starts here. PERFECT FIT for this course. Terrific Tee-To-Green Players. 3 Top 11s in last 4 Starts. |
Henrik Stenson | $5,850 | $9,500 | MC Last Week was a blessing because People will be off him. 2009 Champ, 7 Top 25s in 10 Starts. 2nd in Ball Striking |
Patrick Reed | $5,450 | $8,700 | 7 Straight Cuts Made (4 Top 10s). T24 Last Year. He is BUILT for this course cause of his Scrambling & Short Game |
Branden Grace | $5,450 | $8,600 | 2/2 Cuts Made Here. Winner at Harbour Town & T9 in San Antonio in last start. 11th in SG:TG & Adjusted Scoring. |
Zach Johnson | $5,400 | $8,300 | 10/11 Cuts Made Here. 2 Top 10s & 7 Top 26s (2nd Place). If he plays his game of straight shooting, he'll make noise |
Matt Kuchar | $5,250 | $8,100 | 2012 Champ Here (4 Top 20s). 3 Top 10s & Another 4 Top 25s this season. Tight Courses play right into his hands. |
Jimmy Walker | $5,300 | $8,000 | CONTRARIAN PLAY. 4/6 Cuts Made Here (6th High Finish). Up & Down Season but a 6th at Doral. GPP Play |
Chris Kirk | $5,000 | $7,800 | Top 25s in 4 of last 5 Starts (2 Top 5s). T13s at TPC Sawgrass in Back to Back trips. Lead going into Sunday last year. |
Kevin Na | $5,000 | $7,800 | 3 Top 10s here since 2010. T4 Last Start at Harbour Town. 12th in SG:TG. Experience & Mindset for this course |
Russell Knox | $4,850 | $7,600 | 2/2 Cuts Made Here (T17 High Finish). 2nd at Harbour Town. Straight Shooter & Green Hitter. Playing well right now |
Marc Leishman | $4,800 | $7,300 | 4/6 Cuts Made Here (1 Top 10). Solid player from Tee to Green & has the ability to pop at anytime. |
Martin Kaymer | $4,800 | $7,200 | 7/7 Cuts Made Here. Won WIRE-TO-WIRE in 2014 with Top 20s in 2011 & 2012. Great Value for Cash & GPPs |
Russell Henley | $4,600 | $7,100 | 2/3 Cuts Made Here (17th & 24th). He has the combo we're looking for Driving Accuracy & GIR, also a GREAT Putter. |
Luke Donald | $4,700 | $6,900 | 3 Top 10s Here (6th in 2012). T2 & T13 in his Recent Starts. Short Game still REALLY Strong with his 8th in Scrambling |
Francesco Molinari | $4,550 | $6,700 | 2 Cuts Made Here BUT Top 10s (T6 in 2014). 2 Top 20s in Last 4 Starts on Tour. Love the Upside Here. |
Emiliano Grillo | $4,600 | $6,700 | 1 Top 5 (A Win) 11/13 Cuts Made this year. 8th in Driving Accuracy & 33rd in GIR. He's got NICE Upside Here |
Matt Fitzpatrick | $4,500 | $6,600 | 1st Timer at Sawgrass but this young stud has the game to do damage on crush this course. 7th at the Masters. |
David Hearn | $4,400 | $6,100 | 4/4 Cuts Made Here (T6 High Finish). 2 Top 20s in Recent Play, T41 in Greens Hit & T2 in Proximity to the Hole. |
Alex Cejka | $4,000 | $5,900 | 5/7 Cuts Made Here (9th High Finish). He plays smart & gets the ball on the green in regulation. GPP Flier |
Jerry Kelly | $3,950 | $5,700 | 11/20 Cuts Made Here (4th & 6th High Finishes). 10/11 Cuts Made This Year. Nice Bargain GPP Flier |
DRAFT KINGS OPTIMALS:
DRAFT KINGS CASH | PRICE |
Rickie Fowler | $10,600 |
Sergio Garcia | $9,900 |
Zach Johnson | $8,300 |
Kevin Na | $7,800 |
Martin Kaymer | $7,200 |
David Hearn | $6,100 |
DRAFT KINGS GPP | PRICE |
Rory McIlory | $11,700 |
Hideki Matsuyama | $9,700 |
Patrick Reed | $8,700 |
Jimmy Walker | $8,000 |
David Hearn | $6,100 |
Jerry Kelly | $5,700 |
FANTASY ACES OPTIMALS:
ACES CASH | PRICE |
Sergio Garcia | $5,550 |
Zach Johnson | $5,400 |
Kevin Na | $5,000 |
Russell Knox | $4,850 |
Martin Kaymer | $4,800 |
David Hearn | $4,400 |
ACES GPP | PRICE |
Rickie Fowler | $6,000 |
Henrik Stenson | $5,850 |
Sergio Garcia | $5,550 |
Russell Henley | $4,600 |
Alex Cejka | $4,000 |
Jerry Kelly | $3,950 |
ONE AND DONE OPTIMALS:
ONE AND DONE PLAY | FINISH |
Hyaundai: Patrick Reed | 2nd - $688,000 |
Sony: Harris English | T56 - $12,818 |
CareerBuilder: Bill Haas | T9 - $162,400 |
Farmers: Nick Watney | Missed Cut |
Phoenix: Ryan Moore | T11 - $149,500 |
Pebble: J.B. Holmes | T11 - $143,500 |
Northern Trust: K.J. Choi | T5 - $258,400 |
Honda: Luke Donald | T61 - $13,115 |
WGC-Cadillac: Dustin Johnson | T14 - $120,000 |
Valspar: Kevin Na | T22 - $52,959.09 |
Arnold Palmer: Francisco Molinari | T9 - $170,100 |
Puerto Rico: Scott Brown | T5 - $109,500 |
Shell Open: Charley Hoffman | T33 - $36,720.00 |
The Masters: Phil Mickelson | Missed Cut |
RBC Heritage: Matt Kuchar | T9 - $147,500 |
Valero: Billy Horschel | T4 - $233,740 |
Zurich: Justin Rose | Missed Cut |
Wells Fargo: Gary Woodland | T24 - $62,232.50 |
Players: Sergio Garcia | ??? |