Anytime I see Arnold Palmer out on a golf course, it brings a smile to my face.  "The King" is still one of the most popular golfers in the history of the game and one of the sports' first true superstars of the television era.  The working class hero from Latrobe, Pennsylvania became a house hold name in 1958 when he won his first of four Masters titles.  The legend finished his professional career with seven majors including one U.S. Open and two British Opens.  He never did complete the career grand slam finishing second in the PGA Championship three times.  I apologize for the history lesson but I felt there was need as we head into the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill.

This is an invitational which means only a select group of golfers were asked to participate.  We will have a total of 120 golfers in the field this week which is not as small as the WGC (66) from two weeks back but smaller than your average PGA Tour event.  Stars and scrubs should be the name of the game this week especially in your GPP tournaments.  Now, lets take a closer look at the course ...

I have a personal list of golf courses that our on my bucket list and this would be the first one on the PGA Tour schedule.  Bay Hill Golf & Lodge is a par 72 that reaches out 7,419 yards.  The track went through a redesign in 2010 and another one to the greens in 2016 to help out with the muddy spots around the course.  One of the first things I take a look at for this course is the average fairways hit which usually lands around the 65 percent mark.  If you look at the players in the Top 10, they are usually right around that mark or even better.  There are exceptions to every rule especially when you look at Tiger Woods (8-time winner of this event) history, he usually ranked at the bottom in fairways hit but he can't be compared to anyone else.  There is a thick rough around this course which means the smart players will club down off the tee to hit the fairways.  Driving distance is nice but not something you have to target on this course.  As these players attack these small and firm greens for birdies, you'll want players who have good proximity numbers as well as being a good scramblers and putters.  You'll be able to tell rather quickly whether your golfer has his "A" game as the first three holes at Bay Hill are considered the toughest opening three holes on the Tour.  

The weather will be a factor this weekend.  We have a good threat of rain and thunderstorms in the forecast throughout the tournament weekend.  It looks like things will get even worse on Saturday and Sunday as the temperatures drop from the mid-80s into the upper 70s.  You have to hope that your golfers to get off to good start before the weather turns bad.

Finally, we have to say hello to our friend and guide throughout this Fantasy Golf season, Paige.  Once again, if you have not checked our her instagram page, you are truly missing out (@_paige.renee).  Paige encourages us all to get our game faces on for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. 

My loyal readers know that it has been a tough road over the past few weeks but I really appreciate your dedication and support.  I put my blood, sweat and tears into these playbooks and I'm living and dying right alongside you every week.  If you want to chat with me throughout the weekend, feel free to comment below but I am much more active and responsive on Twitter (@Drew_Phelps83).  Also, I have to thank the Fantasy Alarm's fearless leader Jeff Mans and his partner Tommy G from SiriusXM Daily Fantasy Sports for giving me a weekly spot on Wednesdays to break down the upcoming tournament.  Their show airs weeknights from 5-6pm eastern.

GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND!             

DFS PGA PLAYBOOK:

PLAYERACESDRAFTKINGSBREAKDOWN
Rory McIlory6,20012,000All About his Putting. Best Driver in the World. T11 Last Year. Rounding into Masters form
Henrik Stenson5,90011,100Last 4 Trips: T15, T8, T5, & 2nd. 11th Last Week. T4 in GIR & T1 in Par 5 Scoring
Justin Rose5,80010,5003 Top 10s in 11 Trips. 2nd in 2013. 4/5 Cuts Made this Season with 2 Top 6s. Up & Down History Here.
Ryan Moore5,2509,8003rd Last week. 4 Top 10s in 7 Starts this Season. He's got a 4th & 12th at Bay Hill. The putter is working
Matt Kuchar5,6009,400Contrarian Play after last week's disappointment. He has a game that fits here. 8/8 Cuts Made this Season
Kevin Kisner5,7008,900Hits Fairways, Greens & Putts, fits this place great. Struggling coming in makes him CONTRARIAN!
Harris English5,1508,4003/4 Cuts Made at Bay Hill (High of 14th). Favorite Contrarian Play after Last Week's Missed Cut
Zach Johnson5,4508,300TOO GOOD TO BE PRICE HERE! Finished 9th & 11th in his Last 4 Trips to Bay Hill. Huge Weekend Upside
Charles Howell III5,0508,000T5 Last Week (3rd Top 10 in 12 Starts This Season). 13/15 Cuts Made at Bay Hill (6 Top 25s)
Matt Jones4,6007,900Contrarian because of recent play (2 missed cuts in a row). 3rd here in 2015, 14th in 2014. 
Jason Kokrak4,6507,900T6 in 2015, 4th in 2014 but hasn't broken par in the 4th Round. T2 at Riviera. Will be POPULAR
Gary Woodland4,8507,700Top 25s in Last 2 Trips to Bay Hill. He has made 10 Consecutive Cuts on Tour. Nice Value
William McGirt4,8507,700Success at Bay Hill with a T8 in 2013. Playing Well with a T8 at the Honda (3rd Top 10 this Season)
David Lingmerth4,8007,600He has NEVER missed the cut here (13th high finish in 2015). Love him in Cash
Matt Every4,6007,500BACK TO BACK CHAMPION but will be CRAZY high owned because of that. 
Scott Brown4,5007,400Top 10s in 2 Starts on the Floirda Swing. Led SGP & All Around Last Week. 13th at Bay Hill in 2013.
Francisco Molinari4,5007,2003/3 Cuts Made in Last 3 Trips to Bay Hill with 2 Top 20s. Contrarian because of his recent play
Ian Poulter4,4007,1005 Consecutive Top 25s at Bay Hill (3rd & 12th). Hits Fairways & Hits Nice Long Irons
Ben Martin4,4007,0005th in 2015 at Bay Hill.  Love Florida Golf with his straight shooting & great long iron play. 6/9 Cuts Made this Season
George McNeill4,3507,0006/6 Cuts Made Here since 2008. T14 in 2014 & T35 in 2015. T11 Last Week at Valspar.
Andrew Loupe3,9506,900Risk/Reward Play. He has the game but need to make the cut, if he does, could score BIG!
Hudson Swafford3,9006,300T11 Last Year but not great numbers overall & should be lower owned. Florida guy loves it here
Mark Hubbard4,0006,100He makes cuts (12/13) with his putter but sucks on the weekend. Cash Option (Won't help in GPPs) 
Chad Campbell4,2506,000He makes cuts at Bay Hill but is not playing well coming in. Worth a Flier in a GPP

DRAFT KINGS OPTIMALS:

DRAFT KINGS CASHPRICE
Henrik Stenson11,100
Harris English8,400
Charles Howell III8,000
David Lingmerth7,600
Francisco Molinari7,200
George McNeill7,000

 

DRAFT KINGS GPPPRICE
Justin Rose10,500
Matt Kuchar9,400
Kevin Kisner8,900
Francisco Molinari7,200
Ben Martin7,000
Andrew Loupe6,900

FANTASY ACES OPTIMALS:

ACES CASHPRICE
Henrik Stenson5,900
Harris English5,150
Charles Howell III5,050
David Lingmerth4,800
Ian Poulter4,400
George McNeill4,350

 

ACES GPP PRICE
Rory McIlory6,200
Henrik Stenson5,900
Zach Johnson5,450
Francisco Molinari4,500
Andrew Loupe3,950
Hudson Swafford3,900

ONE-AND-DONE OPTIMALS:

ONE AND DONE PLAYFINISH
Hyaundai: Patrick Reed2nd - $688,000
Sony: Harris EnglishT56 - $12,818
CareerBuilder: Bill HaasT9 - $162,400
Farmers: Nick WatneyMissed Cut
Phoenix: Ryan MooreT11 - $149,500
Pebble: J.B. HolmesT11 - $143,500
Northern Trust: K.J. ChoiT5 - $258,400
Honda: Luke DonaldT61 - $13,115
WGC-Cadillac: Dustin Johnson T14 - $120,000
Valspar: Kevin Na  T22 - $52,959.09
Arnold Palmer: Francisco Molinari   ???