Minnesota outfielder Max Kepler erupted for a monster 2019 season. In 2018, he hit 20 home runs and drove in 58 runners across 156 games. All in all, it was a decent season, but it pales in comparison to what he did in 2019. In 134 games last year, he hit 36 home runs, scored 98 times, drove in 90 runners and posted a ridiculous .267 ISO, which was the 17th-best mark in baseball last year. He was one of just 22 players to hit at least 36 home runs last season, but what is the outlook for 2020? Is the power legit, or is regression coming?

With the shortened Major League Baseball season, he’s not getting to 36 home runs again. It’s no fault of his own, but in terms of regression, we are going to look at it in terms of his batted ball profile and such. How can we explain this massive jump in home runs? He hit 16 more home runs than 2018 in 22 fewer games! Let’s figure out why.

His average exit velocity remained right in line from the past two seasons, but his launch angle did...