BIG (World rank: #8) vs. Wisla Krakow (World rank: #49)
Moneyline Odds: BIG (-220) | Wisla Krakow (+175)
Map Handicap: BIG -1.5 (+135) | Wisla Krakow +1.5 (-165)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+130) | Under 2.5 (-155)
- This is a best-of-three series for the Spring Sweet Spring 2 Playoffs Quarterfinals
- BIG - Rating at event: N/A (Playoffs Invite)
- BIG - Rating past three months: XANTARES 1.12 | syrsoN 1.08 | tabseN 1.05 | k1to 0.99 | tiziaN 0.92
- Wisla Krakow - Rating at event: Goofy 1.28 | Markos 1.22 | jedqr 1.16 | ponczek 1.12 | SZPERO 1.09
- Wisla Krakow - Rating past three months: Goofy 1.15 | Markos 1.20 | jedqr 1.11 | ponczek 0.98 | SZPERO 1.01
H2H Data
- These rosters have never faced each other. These teams will actually face off again later in the day as part of ESEA Premier Season 37 Europe.
Projected Maps
Wisla Krakow removes Dust2
BIG removes Train
Wisla Krakow picks Mirage
BIG picks Vertigo
Wisla Krakow removes Nuke
BIG removes Overpass
Inferno is left over
BIG - Key stats on Mirage past three months (11 maps): 7-4 W/L record, 50.0% pistol round win percent, 75.0% round win percent after getting first kill, 33.1% round win percent after receiving first death
BIG - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (11 maps): XANTARES +56 K/D Diff, 1.22 Rating | syrsoN +31 K/D Diff, 1.13 Rating | k1to +1 K/D Diff, 1.06 Rating
BIG - Key stats on Vertigo past three months (9 maps): 6-3 W/L record, 55.6% pistol round win percent, 75.2% round win percent after getting first kill, 30.3% round win percent after receiving first death
BIG - Notable performers on Vertigo past three months (9 maps): syrsoN +40 K/D Diff, 1.23 Rating | XANTARES +30 K/D Diff, 1.21 Rating
Wisla Krakow - Key stats on Mirage with Markos (6 maps): 6-0 W/L record, 66.7% pistol round win percent, 80.0% round win percent after getting first kill, 41.2% round win percent after receiving first death
Wisla Krakow - Notable performers on Mirage with Markos (6 maps): Goofy +52 K/D Diff, 1.49 Rating | jedqr +47 K/D Diff, 1.39 Rating | Markos +42 K/D Diff, 1.25 Rating
Wisla Krakow - Key stats on Vertigo with Markos (2 maps): 2-0 W/L record, 75.0% pistol round win percent, 76.9% round win percent after getting first kill, 31.4% round win percent after receiving first death
Wisla Krakow - Notable performers on Vertigo with Markos (2 maps): Markos +10 K/D Diff, 1.30 Rating | jedqr +12 K/D Diff, 1.30 Rating | Goofy +9 K/D Diff, 1.29 Rating
Analysis
I am expecting BIG to win, although this match-up does have potential to be closer than the odds might suggest. Wisla Krakow have continued to stay hot since adding Markos in early May 2021, having won 23 of their 31 maps played since. BIG may seem to have cooled off a bit since winning the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final back in April 2021, but their losses since then include NiP, mousesports, Vitality, and Heroic, so they have been facing plenty of tough opponents. Markos has been on fire with the AWP in his hands and could be a good value play, although I think this is the type of match-up that syrsoN looks forward to, and I definitely favor the BIG AWPer for DFS. I would not completely fade Wisla Krakow, and I might mix some Markos & Goofy into some lineups, but in general I would focus on BIG for my lineups. SyrsoN & XANTARES look to be the best plays, although I think k1to is a solid option given that we are likely to see Mirage, which is a map he has looked good on. TabseN always has potential to top frag, and tiziaN is the weakest option by far.
Fnatic (World rank: #29) vs. Fiend (World rank: #28)
Moneyline Odds: Fnatic (+130) | Fiend (-160)
Map Handicap: Fnatic +1.5 (-220) | Fiend -1.5 (+175)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+115) | Under 2.5 (-145)
- This is a best-of-three series for the Spring Sweet Spring 2 Playoffs Quarterfinals
- Fnatic - Rating at event: N/A (Playoffs Invite)
- Fnatic - Rating past three months: Brollan 1.09 | Jackinho 1.03 | KRIMZ 0.98 | JW 0.84 | Golden 0.73
- Fiend - Rating at event: dream3r 1.44 | h4rn 1.36 | REDSTAR 1.25 | v1c7oR 1.20 | bubble 1.03
- Fiend - Rating past three months: dream3r 1.15 | h4rn 1.20 | REDSTAR 1.17 | v1c7oR 1.08 | bubble 0.98
H2H Data
- These rosters have never faced each other
Projected Maps
Fiend removes Vertigo
Fnatic removes Nuke
Fiend picks Mirage
Fnatic picks Train
Fiend removes Inferno
Fnatic removes Dust2
Overpass is left over
Fnatic - Key stats on Mirage past three months (3 maps): 1-2 W/L record, 66.7% pistol round win percent, 67.7% round win percent after getting first kill, 28.3% round win percent after receiving first death
Fnatic - Notable performers on Mirage past three months (3 maps): Brollan +2 K/D Diff, 1.13 Rating | Jackinho +3 K/D Diff, 1.07 Rating
Fnatic - Key stats on Train past three months (7 maps): 3-4 W/L record, 42.9% pistol round win percent, 70.7% round win percent after getting first kill, 27.3% round win percent after receiving first death
Fnatic - Notable performers on Train past three months (7 maps): Jackinho +3 K/D Diff, 1.05 Rating
Fiend - Key stats on Mirage with h4rn (9 maps): 8-1 W/L record, 61.1% pistol round win percent, 89.7% round win percent after getting first kill, 29.2% round win percent after receiving first death
Fiend - Notable performers on Mirage with h4rn (9 maps): dream3r +74 K/D Diff, 1.46 Rating | REDSTAR +62 K/D Diff, 1.39 Rating | h4rn +62 K/D Diff, 1.32 Rating
Fiend - Key stats on Train with h4rn (2 maps): 2-0 W/L record, 50.0% pistol round win percent, 93.5% round win percent after getting first kill, 33.3% round win percent after receiving first death
Fiend - Notable performers on Train with h4rn (2 maps): v1c7oR +26 K/D Diff, 1.78 Rating | REDSTAR +16 K/D Diff, 1.57 Rating | dream3r +23 K/D Diff, 1.54 Rating | bubble +17 K/D Diff, 1.42 Rating | h4rn +11 K/D Diff, 1.29 Rating
Analysis
Yes, you read those odds correctly; Fnatic are underdogs in this series. Fnatic still has not made any changes to their roster recently, despite only winning 7 out of 25 maps played in the past three months. On the other hand, Fiend added h4rn to their lineup in May 2021 and have not looked back since. They have won 22 of their 25 maps played with this lineup, including 2-0 against SKADE, and 2-0 against Endpoint twice. I think we see Mirage & Train as the first two maps. Mirage has been a dominant map for Fiend, and they should be the favorites there. As for Train, Fiend would be starting on the CT side if Fnatic pick it, so you are guaranteed 15 CT Train rounds, which is excellent from a DFS perspective. Fiend should be the favorites in the series, but it would not surprise me to see one of Brollan, KRIMZ, or Jackinho to have a strong performance even in a loss. Still, Fiend has to be the main focus for DFS, and they are all really cheap which is nice. My favorite play in this spot is REDSTAR and my least favorite is bubble, but anyone on this Fiend roster could pop off on Tuesday.
*Favorite Stacks: BIG, Fiend
*Favorite Captain Plays: syrsoN, XANTARES, tabseN, REDSTAR, dream3r
*Favorite Value Plays: k1to, Markos, Goofy, h4rn, v1c7oR, Jackinho, KRIMZ, Brollan