CS:GO DFS Playbook – BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2021 (2-Match)

NaVi (Ranked 2nd in World) @ MIBR (Ranked 37th in World)

Betting Odds: NaVi -520/MIBR +375

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +140/Under -190

*This is a best of three Group C upper-bracket semi-final match for the BLAST Premier Spring Groups Event.

*NaVi Over the Last Month of Play (14 Maps): s1mple 1.41 Rating, Boombl4 1.10, Perfecto 1.09, Electronic 1.07, flamie 0.99.

*NaVi Over the Last Three Months of Play (40 Maps): s1mple 1.37 Rating, electronic 1.13, Perfecto 1.04, Boombl4 0.96, flamie 0.95.

*MIBR Over the Last Month of Play (11 Maps): boltz 1.05 Rating, chelo 1.05, shz 1.05, yel 0.94, danoco 0.86.

*MIBR Over the Last Three Months of Play (21 Maps): boltz 1.19 Rating, shz 1.16, chelo 1.15, yel 1.10, danoco 0.86.

H2H Data:

*With MIBR being a brand-new roster, these two teams have not had a H2H match recently.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Nuke for MIBR and Vertigo for NaVi. MIBR likely go with Inferno here, while I think we see NaVi go with Dust2.

*NaVi on Dust2 (5 Maps): s1mpl3 1.40 Rating, 0.93 KPR, 1.56 IMP, 96.7 ADR. Electronic 1.13, Perfecto 0.98, Boombl4 0.95, flamie 0.89. On Inferno (11 Maps): s1mple 1.38 Rating, 0.90 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 85.9 ADR. Electronic 1.19, Boombl4 0.97, Perfect 0.95, flamie 0.93.

*MIBR on Inferno (5 Maps): boltz 1.13 Rating, 0.69 KPR, 1.08 IMP, 80.9 ADR. Chelo 1.09, shz 1.09, yel 0.99, danoco 0.74. On Dust2 (3 Maps): boltz 1.40 Rating, 0.89 KPR, 1.32 IMP, 93.8 ADR. Yel 1.25, chelo 1.20, danoco 1.14, shz 1.10.

Analysis: Obviously everyone, including the books are thinking this is a slam-dunk 2-0 sweep here for NaVi, and that very well could happen, but this MIBR team gets over-looked a ton because they came from the lower-tier, but they shocked quite a few folks at CS_Summit 7 Event when they beat FaZe in the second match and then proceeded to take both Heroic and Cloud9 the full 3-map distance before falling 1-2 in both matches. NaVi has been good though and are fresh off a Grand Final win in the BLAST Premier Global Final 2020 against Astralis. Championship hang-over? We will see.

 

FaZe (Ranked 19th in World) @ Liquid (Ranked 5th in World)

Betting Odds: Liquid -260/FaZe +195

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -105/Under -130

*This is a best of three Group C upper-bracket semi-final match in the BLAST Premier Spring Groups Event.

*FaZe Over the Last Month of Play (8 Maps): Twist (3 Maps) 1.14 Rating, rain 1.05, coldzera 1.05, broky 1.00, olof 0.93.

*FaZe Over the Last Three Months of Play (20 Maps): broky 1.02 Rating, 0.68 KPR, 0.92. IMP, 68.6 ADR. Twist 0.99, coldzera 0.98, rain 0.97, olof 0.88.

*Liquid Over the Last Month of Play (8 Maps): NAF 1.26 Rating, EliGe 1.07, Grim 1.04, FalleN 1.03, Stewie2K 0.94.

*Liquid Over the Last Three Months of Play (34 Maps): NAF 1.12 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 1.02 IMP, 77.3 ADR. EliGe 1.08, Grim 1.05, FalleN 1.03, Stewie2K 0.94.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have not played each other in the last 12 months, and both have new faces on their team, as well in Twist (Used to play for Liquid) and FalleN.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Vertigo for FaZe and Train for Liquid. FaZe continues to play Mirage as their first map choice, while Liquid is going with Dust2.

Liquid on Dust2 (5 Maps): FalleN (1 Map) 1.38 Rating, 0.67 KPR, 1.57 IMP, 78.5 ADR. NAF 1.30, EliGe 1.25, Grim 1.22, Stewie2K 1.04. On Mirage (3 Maps): Grim 1.06 Rating, 0.74 KPR 1.07 IMP, 78.5 ADR. EliGE 1.03, Stewie2k 1.03, NAF 1.00. (FalleN yet to play Mirage with Liquid)

*FaZe on Mirage (5 Maps): broky 0.85 Rating, 0.56 KPR, 0.82 IMP, 57.8 ADR. Coldzera 0.83, rain 0.82, olof 0.76, Twistzz 0.66. On Dust2 (5 Maps) broky 1.17 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.00 IMP, 79.5 ADR. Coldzera 1.06, rain 1.01, Twistzz 0.99, olof 0.76.

Analysis: Even with the addition of Twistzz, this is just still not a very good FaZe team. Liquid is a very good team on the other hand, and I expect them to take care of business pretty easily in this match. Liquid 2-0 coming.

 

*TOP STACKS: Liquid, NaVi

*TOP CONTRARIAN STACK: MIBR

*TOP CPT PLAYS: s1mple, NAF, EliGE, boltz, Grim

*TOP VALUES: electronic, FalleN, Boombl4, shz, broky, chelo, stewie2k