CS:GO DFS Showdown Playbook – BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2021

 

BIG (Ranked 4th in World) @ Astralis (Ranked 1st in World)

Betting Odds: Astralis -325/BIG +230

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +135/Under -180

*This is a best of three Group A consolidation final match for the BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2021 Event

*Astralis For Event: device 1.24 Rating, dupreeh 1.20, Magisk 1.11, gla1ve 0.99, Xyp9x 0.95.

*BIG For Event: syrsoN 1.13 Rating, tabseN 1.09, XANTARES 1.06, k1to 0.94, tiziaN 0.93.

*Astralis Over the Last Three Months of Play: device 1.23 Rating, dupreeh 1.12, Magisk 1.07, Xyp9x 1.03, gla1ve 1.01.

*BIG Over the Last Three Months of Play: syrsoN 1.15 Rating, XANTARES 1.10, tabseN 1.04, tiziaN 1.00, k1to 0.95.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have played twice in 2020 with both teams splitting a 2-0 sweep. BIG swept Astralis in the most recent meeting at the IEM Global Challenge 2020 Event with results of 16-10 on Dust2, and 22-19 on Vertigo. Astralis swept BIG in the match prior to the one above at the BLAST Premier Fall 2020 Finals with a 16-6 ending on Dust2 and a 16-14 result on Nuke.

*BIG vs Astralis (4 Maps): syrsoN +13 K-D Diff, 1.17 K-D, 1.13 Rating.

*Astralis vs BIG (4 Maps): device +20 K-D Diff, 1.29 K-D, 1.19 Rating. Dupreeh +20 K-D Diff, 1.27 K-D, 1.23 Rating. Magisk +1 K-D Diff, 1.01 K-D, 1.08 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Train for BIG and Mirage for Astralis. I believe we see Dust2 as it has appeared in both prior matches and it is the typical first map selected by BIG 40% of the time lately. For Astralis is the hang-up. They have gone with Inferno a ton lately, but also could see them going with Nuke, the other map they were able to quite easily beat BIG on in prior matches. Since I believe Astralis has been the best on Inferno, leaning that way, but wouldn’t be shocked to see them go Nuke in hopes that Inferno is the decider map.

*BIG on Dust2 (16 Maps): syrsoN 1.26 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 85.5 ADR. XANTARES 1.02, k1to 1.00, tabseN 0.97. tiziaN 0.93. On Inferno (13 Maps): syrsoN 1.10 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 1.16 IMP, 69.5 ADR. XANTARES 1.08, tiziaN 1.01, tabseN 0.88, k1to 0.98.

*Astralis on Inferno (20 Maps): device 1.24 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.26 IMP, 86.2 ADR. Dupreeh 1.12, Magisk 1.07, Xyp9x 1.00. gla1ve 0.96. On Dust2 (15 Maps); device 1.25 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 81.5 ADR. Dupreeh 1.19, Xyp9x 1.10, gla1ve 1.10, Magisk 1.08.

Analysis: Once again its really hard for me to think that Astralis loses this match here today. They played lights out yesterday in a sweep over OG, while BIG were swept by NiP. I feel the maps are pretty strong here for Astralis and their map pool is just a bit wider in success rate compared to BIG’s. I think we see a 2-0 sweep here with Astralis taking care of business.

DK Fantasy Points L2 Head-to-Head Matches:

*Astralis (Average DK FPs) – device 71.5, dupreeh 73.75, Magisk 62.5, Xyp9x 44.75, gla1ve 54.25.

*BIG (Average DK FPs) – syrsoN 65.25, XANTARES 47.5, tabseN 48, tiziaN 42, k1to 47.75.

 

DK Fantast Points L5 Matches Overall:

*Astralis (Average DK FPs L5): device 63.9, dupreeh 69.7, Magisk 57.8, gla1ve 52.3, Xyp9x 55.6

*BIG (Average DK FPs L5): syrsoN 69.2, XANTARES 62.9, tabseN 59.1, tiziaN 49.5, k1to 52.5.

 

*TOP STACK: Astralis

*TOP CPT PLAYS: device, dupreeh, syrsoN, Magisk

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: XANTARES, tabseN, gla1ve, k1to