CS:GO DFS Playbook – CS_Summit 7 1.29.2021 (3-Match)

NiP (Ranked 18th in World) @ Dignitas (Ranked 29th in World)

Betting Odds: NiP -135/Dignitas +105

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -125

*This is a best of three last chance stage match with the loser being eliminated from the CS_Summit 7 Event.

*NiP For the Event: Plopski 1.06 Rating, REZ 1.01, hampus 0.92, twist 0.76, nawwk 0.76.

*DIG For the Event: HEAP 1.14 Rating, hallzerk 1.07, f0rest 1.06, H4RR3 0.98, friberg 0.95.

*NiP Over the Last Three Months of Play: REZ 1.11 Rating, hampus 1.05, Plopski 0.98, nawwk 0.97, 0.82.

*DIG Over the Last Three Months of Play: hallzerk 1.08 Rating, HEAP 1.04, f0rest 1.03, H4RR3 0.96, friberg 0.95.

H2H Data:

*These two teams faced-off back in the ESL One: Road to Rio – Euro Event back in April of 2020 with NiP winning convincingly on Vertigo at 16-4, and Train 16-9.

*Top Performers for NiP: REZ +15 K-D Diff, 1.32 Rating, 85.8 ADR. Plopski +12 K-D Diff, 1.34 Rating, 85.9 ADR. Nawwk +12 K-D Diff, 1.26 Rating, 66.0 ADR.

*Top Performers for DIG: No positive stat-lines but hallzerk was the closest at -5 K-D Diff and 0.93 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Dust2 for NiP and Mirage for DIG. NiP has been utilizing Overpass quite a bit lately, and I would imagine DIG goes back to Train even though they lost it yesterday.

*NiP on Overpass (4 Maps): REZ 1.40 Rating, 0.92 KPR, 1.66 IMP, 101.4 ADR. Plopski 1.14, hampus 0.90, nawwk 0.77, twist 0.70. On Train (4 Maps): REZ 1.10 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.18 IMP, 85.0 ADR. Hampus 1.04, Plopski 0.97, twist 0.91, nawwk 0.86.

*DIG on Train (6 Maps): hallzerk 1.12 Rating, 0.72 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 68.6 ADR. F0rest 1.09, H4RR3 1.07, HEAP 1.03, friberg 0.92. On Overpass (7 Maps): H4RR3 1.18 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.23 IMP, 86.9 ADR. F0rest 1.05, HEAP 0.96, hallzerk 0.87, friberg 0.86.

Analysis: I like Dignitas in this match. They barely were out-lasted by OG yesterday and I think they played extremely well, and likely should have won that match. NiP played a close match against C9, a team that I think isn’t full there yet either, and NiP blew it on the third map, which just so happened to be Train, DIG’s best map so far this Event. I think Dignitas wins this match and wouldn’t be shocked to see it in a 2-0 sweep.

 

MIBR (Ranked 43rd in World) @ Cloud9 (Ranked 19th in World)

Betting Odds: Cloud9 -130/MIBR +105

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -125

*This is a best of three last chance stage match with the loser being eliminated for the CS_Summit 7 Event.

*MIBR For the Event: Chelo 1.08 Rating, shz 1.03, boltz 1.00, yel 0.97, danoco 0.84.

*Cloud9 For the Event: floppy 1.11 Rating, mezii 1.02, es3tag 1.01, Xeppaa 0.99, ALEX 0.98.

*MIBR Over the Last Three Months of Play: boltz 1.19 Rating, chelo 1.18, shz 1.16, yel 1.14, danoco 0.97.

*Cloud9 Over the Last Three Months of Play: Xeppaa 1.08 Rating, floppy 1.03, es3tag 1.03, ALEX 0.99, mezii 0.97.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have no faced each other recently.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Nuke for MIBR and Mirage for Cloud9. I believe we see MIBR go with Inferno and I think Cloud9 likely goes with a secondary map since Nuke won’t be there in Overpass.

*MIBR on Inferno (4 Maps): boltz 1.17 Rating, 0.72 KPR, 1.17 IMP, 81.4 ADR. Chelo 1.13, shz 1.13, yel 1.02, danoco 0.79. On Overpass (1 Map): shz 1.61 Rating, 0.97 KPR, 1.76 IMP, 110.4 ADR. Boltz 1.11, chelo 0.98, yel 0.90, danoco 0.84.

*Cloud9 on Overpass (3 Maps): es3tag 1.13 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.18 IMP, 88.3 ADR. Mezii 1.14, Xeppaa 1.15 (8 Maps), Alex 0.90, floppy 0.98. On Inferno (10 Maps): Xeppaa 1.14 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.09 Rating, 80.2 ADR. Es3tag 1.13, floppy 1.06, mezii 1.03, ALEX 0.94.

Analysis: I am not going to lie here, I think that MIBR likely has the biggest edge in this match of any match I’ve wrote up in this Event so far. I think we saw Cloud9 struggle on secondary maps just like they did on the first map against NiP without getting Nuke. I think MIBR is a better overall team here, and I think they win this match as the dogs.

 

Mousesports (Ranked 11th in World) @ FURIA (Ranked 9th in World)

Betting Odds: N/A

Map Odds: N/A

*This is a best of three quarter-final match for the CS_Summit 7 Event.

*Mouse For Event: frozen 1.39 Rating, Karrigan 1.37, ropz 1.07, Bymas 1.04, acoR 1.00.

*FURIA For Event: yuurih 1.13 Rating, arT 1.07, VINI 1.04, KSCERATO 1.00, honda 0.92.

*Mouse Over the Last Three Months of Play: acoR 1.16 Rating, ropz 1.16, frozen 1.14, Bymas 1.06, Karrigan 0.95.

*FURIA Over the Last Three Months of Play: yuurih 1.15 Rating, KSCERATO 1.10, arT 0.98, VINI 0.98, honda 0.90.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have not played a match since 2019 and these teams were pretty much completely different.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Dust2 for FURIA and Overpass for Mouse. The first two maps that these have been going with lately are Nuke and Inferno.

*Mouse on Nuke (9 Maps): acoR (6 Maps) – 1.34 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.37 IMP, 83.9 ADR. Ropz 1.14, frozen 1.10, Bymas 0.94, Karrigan 0.83. On Inferno (5 Maps): ropz 1.18 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.10 IMP, 80.9 ADR. Bymas 1.18, acoR 1.16, frozen 1.14, Karrigan 0.96.

*FURIA on Inferno (16 Maps): yuurih 1.20 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.19 IMP, 80.9 ADR. VINI 1.13, KSCERATO 1.10, arT 0.98, honda 0.88. On Nuke (14 Maps): KSCERATO 1.06 Rating, 0.64 KPR, 1.01 IMP, 75.9 ADR. arT 1.00, yuurih 0.99, VINI 0.88, honda 0.84.

Analysis: I think this is finally where the road ends for FURIA. They have clawed and fought there way to some very close wins in this Event against some teams I thought they were decently better than. Mouse is not a team that is going to allow them to come-back like they have, and I honestly think Mouse is the much better team here, and the maps actually are in their favor. Like Mouse quite a bit here.

 

*TOP STACKS: Mousesports, MIBR, Dignitas

*TOP CONTRARIAN STACKS: MIBR, Dignitas

*TOP CPT PLAYS: acoR, frozen, ropz, HEAP, f0rest, chelo, boltz

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: Karrigan, hallzerk, Bymas, shz, yel, yuurih, KSCERATO, Xeppaa, floppy