Welcome back to the Fantasy Alarm NBA DFS Value Vault! We have a massive 11-game slate on tap today in the Association and we will need some value in our lineups to get our top-players, so let’s dive in!
DRAFTKINGS:
1.) Lou Williams PG/SG (LAC) $4,400 –
Lou will and should be popular on tonight’s slate with Paul George labeled as “questionable” and Kawhi Leonard could be a potential rest candidate with this being the second-leg of the back-to-back set. With just Kawhi off the floor, Williams sees a usage bump of +2.2% for an overall usage of 24.0%. Also, with BOTH PG and Kawhi off the floor in the event that they both miss tonight, Williams sees a bump of +9.8% up to 32.7% overall. These are likely scenarios that we could encounter for tonight, and Lou is just super cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel, however I put him in the DK list as his 3-point shooting could aid his fantasy out-put on DK. Williams has played 20 or more minutes in all but one game this season, while topping 20 fantasy points in four of the seven games played. If one or both of these guys sit tonight, he gets a generous match up with the Warriors.
2.) Kelly Olynyk PF/C (MIA) $4,400 –
A little bit of revenge narrative here along with Kelly O as the Heat welcome in the Boston Celtics to town. Not just that, but Olynyk has been playing very good basketball as of late. He has been given 28, 29, 29 minutes over his last three games while putting up 33, 24, and 32 DraftKings fantasy points as a result. He has now topped 22 fantasy points in all but one game so far this season and has carried a reputable 17.6% usage rate for his last three games with the extended minutes run. Think he once again has nice value and decent upside at this price against BOS tonight.
3.) De’Andre Hunter SF (ATL) $5,400 –
As long as Hunter stays at this price range he will continue to be a plug-and-play for me and likely everyone else on this site. Hunter continues to play big minutes, and very well so far on the young season. Hunter has rattled of four games-straight of at least 29 or more fantasy points with his last three going for 30+. The minutes are there, and he is an excellent source of points, boards, with both steals and blocks, as well. It helps to mention that the Hornets are allowing the third MOST fantasy points to the SF spot so far on the season.
HONORABLE MENTION – JJ Redick is near min price at $3.2K on DraftKings. He has played 21 and 33 minutes in his last two games, gets a soft match up here against OKC and has been in a major shooting slump, not making more than one basket in his last 6 games total. I think you can throw him in a large-field tournament to pay up for some studs if you are feeling froggy!
FANDUEL:
1.) Tyler Herro SG (MIA) $5,400 –
I like two value SGs here on FanDuel today with Herro being the higher-priced by just $100 more but think both bring nice value to this slate today. Herro is fresh off a 30.8 FanDuel fantasy point performance with seven points, nine rebounds, eight dimes, and a steal against the Thunder in 29 minutes. He has topped 30 fantasy points in three of his last four games, while carrying a modest 19.7% usage rate for that span, as well. He has also played 29 or more minutes every game this season, and we know he is an integral part of this Heat rotation, yet his price leaves so much room for upside here on FanDuel once again.
2.) Eric Bledsoe SG (NOP) $5,300 –
Everyone had forgotten about Mr. Bledsoe and then he came through with a 46-fantasy point effort against TOR two games ago, and then is fresh off a 29 FanDuel outing against a good Indiana team in 34 minutes with 12 points, 11 boards, and five dimes. He has recorded 25.1, 46, and 28.7 FanDuel points over his last three games while seeing 25, 31, and 34 minutes in that span to boot. Tonight, Bledsoe gets a re-match here with the Thunder (who he put up 25.1 FD points against in just 25 minutes on the floor three games ago), and I think it is appropriate to mention that they are allowing the 4th MOST FanDuel fantasy points to opposing SGs on the season currently.
3.) Kelly Oubre SF (GSW) $5,300 –
Oubre has finally gotten over the hump of his shooting woes as he connected for four-of-six from the perimeter and shot 6-for-13 in his most recent game against the Kings in route to a 33.6 FanDuel fantasy point outing with 18 points, three boards, two dimes, two blocked shots and a steal. This is his fourth 30+ FanDuel point outing in his last five games, and I think he can keep it rolling tonight, as I am expecting either Kawhi to sit, or both Kawhi and PG, which could help him avoid their defense here tonight in this game. Oubre is carrying a 20.8% usage rate of his last five games, good for third-highest amongst the starting lineup.