CS:GO DFS 2-Match BLAST Premier Fall 2020 FINALS

Vitality (Ranked 1st in World) @ Mousesports (Ranked 8th in World):

Betting Odds: Vitality -195/Mouse +145

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -100/Under -130

*This is an upper bracket quarter-final best of three match for this Event.

*Vitality comes in hot fresh off a Grand Final win over IEM Beijing-Haidian 2020 for the Europe region in a 3-2 result. The win extends their winning streak to four matches in a row, as well with wins over Complexity, Heroic, and MAD Lions to boot. Mouse lost in a Grand Final of their own in their most recent match to Astralis in a 1-3 result in the DreamHack Masters Winter 2020 Event for the Europe region. Mouse were on a four-match winning streak before being dealt the Grand Final loss.

*Over the Last Month of Play for Vitality (14 Maps): ZywOo 1.26 Rating, shox 1.19, RpK 1.12, apEX 1.03, misutaaa 0.96. (*Important Note: Nivera HAS subbed in for misutaaa on Dust2, and shox on Inferno recently)

*Over the Last Month of Play for Mouse (30 Maps): ropz 1.21 Rating, frozen 1.13, Bymas 1.09, chrisJ 0.97, Karrigan 0.94

*These two teams have faced-off twice so far in 2020, with both teams splitting a 2-0 sweep apiece. Vitality was the winner in their most recent match in October during the DreamHack Open Fall 2020 Event, while Mousesports bested them 2-0 in the ESL Pro League Season 12 Europe back in September.

*Top Players for Vitality vs Mouse (4 Maps): shox (+16 K-D Diff), zywOo (+13 K-D Diff)

*Top Players for Mouse vs Vitality (4 Maps): ropz (+10 K-D Diff), frozen +11 K-D Diff)

MAPS:

*The two first ban maps that we should see for this match include Train for Vitality and Overpass for Mouse. The two likely first maps chosen for this match include Nuke for Mouse Dust2 for Vitality (Nivera likely plays this map in this event).

*Vitality on Dust2 (11 Maps): ZywOo 1.23 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.27 IMP, 81.5 ADR. apEX 1.14, shox 1.04, misutaaa 1.02, RpK 0.97. On Nuke (14 Maps): ZywOo 1.23 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 79.2 ADR. Shox 1.10, misutaaa 0.96, RpK 0.90, apEX 0.89

*Mouse on Nuke (21 Maps): ropz 1.23 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 88.3 ADR. Frozen 1.09, chrisJ 0.98, Bymas 0.96, Karrigan 0.93. On Dust2 (12 Maps): ropz 1.12 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.10 IMP, 78.2 ADR. Frozen 1.03, Bymas 0.91, Karrigan 0.83, chrisJ 0.81.

 

NaVi (Ranked 4th in World) vs Astralis (Ranked 2nd in World)

Betting Odds: Astralis -160/NaVi +125

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -120

*This is an upper bracket quarter-final match for the Event

*As mentioned above, Astralis is fresh off a 3-1 Grand Final win over Mouse in their most recent match, and have won five-straight matches, the four prior to the Grand Final were ALL 2-0 sweeps over FURIA, Gambit Youngsters, G2, and Liquid (Feel those flame emojis?) NaVi are fresh off a Grand Final loss to Vitality, so they will likely be looking for a bounce-back here in this one.

*Over the Last Month of Play for Astralis (22 Maps): device 1.32 Rating, dupreeh 1.12, Magisk 1.06, Xyp9x 1.05, gla1ve 0.99.

*Over the last Month of Play for NaVi (18 Maps): s1mple 1.30 rating, electronic 1.15, Perfecto 1.06, flamie 1.00, Boombl4 0.92.

*These two teams have played four times so far in 2020 with Navi winning the most recent meeting in a 2-0 fashion in the IEM Beijing-Haidain 2020 Europe Event. Astralis has only one win over NaVi in the last four matches played – the ESL Pro League Season 12 Europe Grand Final win for that event.

*Top Players for NaVi vs Astralis (14 Maps): s1mple +103 K-D Diff, 1.48 K-D, 1.34 Rating. Electronic +52 K-D Diff, 1.23 K-D, 1.25 Rating. Flamie +10 K-D Diff, 1.05 K-D, 1.02 Rating.

*Top Players for Astralis vs NaVi (14 Maps): device +8 K-D Diff, 1.03 K-D, 1.04 Rating. That’s the end.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should be Vertigo for NaVi, and Mirage for Astralis. The two likely first map choices will be Dust2 for NaVi and Inferno for Astralis.

*Astralis on Inferno (18 Maps): device 1.24 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 89.2 ADR. Dupreeh 1.14, Magisk 1.13, Xyp9x 1.07, gla1ve 0.97. On Dust2 (14 Maps): dupreeh 1.19 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.26 IMP, 82.0 ADR. Device 1.14, Xyp9x 1.06, Magisk 0.98, gla1ve 0.97.

*NaVi on Dust2 (9 Maps): s1mple 1.38 Rating, 0.92 KPR, 1.49 IMP, 94.4 ADR. Electronic 1.00, Perfecto 0.99, flamie 0.88, Boombl4 0.87. On Inferno (10 Maps): s1mple 1.22 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.26 IMP, 79.8 ADR. Electronic 1.12, Perfecto 1.00, Boombl4 0.96, flamie 0.95.

 

*Top Stacks: Vitality, NaVi

*Top Plays: ZywOo, s1mple, ropz, dupreeh

*Top Values: electronic, shox, RpK, frozen, Magisk, Bymas, Nivera