CS:GO DFS Playbook: Flashpoint 3 – 5.28.2021 (2- Match)

Vitality (Ranked 10th in World) @ DBL PONEY (Ranked 33rd in World)

Betting Odds: Vitality -180/DBL PONEY +140

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -120

*This is a best of three 7th place decider match for Flashpoint 3.

*Vitality For Event: ZywOo 1.14 Rating, apEX 0.98, misutaaa 0.98, shox 0.93, Kyojin 0.79.

*Vitality For Last Month (17 Maps): ZywOo 1.33 Rating, apEX 0.99, misutaaa 0.98, shox 0.97, Kyojin 0.83.

*DBL PONEY For Event: afro 1.11 Rating, NBK 1.02, bodyy 1.02, Lucky 1.02, Djoko 1.02.

*DBL PONEY For Last Month (47 Maps): afro 1.14 Rating, Lucky 1.09, bodyy 1.08, Djoko 1.04, NBK 0.99.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams actually played earlier in this same event with DBL PONEY sweeping them with results of 16-7 on Inferno and 16-5 on Nuke.

*Top Performers For DBL PONEY (2 Maps): Djoko +18 K-D Diff, 1.55 Rating, 106.3 ADR. NBK +11 K-D Diff, 1.39 Rating, 90.7 ADR. afro +11 K-D Diff, 1.36 Rating, 73.2 ADR. bodyy +9 K-D Diff, 1.25 Rating, 76.8 ADR. Lucky +6 K-D Diff, 1.19 Rating, 62.9 ADR.

*Top Performers For Vitality (2 Maps): ZywOo +0 K-D Diff, 1.08 Rating, 83.5 ADR.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Mirage for DBL PONEY and Train for Vitality. I think we see Nuke for DBL PONEY and Dust2 for Vitality.

*Vitality on Dust2 (6 Maps): ZywOo 1.41 Rating, 0.87 KPR, 1.52 IMP, 94.6 ADR. misutaaa 1.00, shox 0.91, apEX 0.91, Kyojin 0.84. On Nuke (9 Maps): ZywOo 1.29 Rating, 0.81 KPR, 1.34 IMP, 85.7 ADR. apEX 1.13, shox 1.05, misutaaa 0.85, Kyojin 0.77.

*DBL PONEY on Nuke (32 Maps): afro 1.19 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 74.8 ADR. Lucky 1.17, Djoko 1.14, NBK 1.06, bodyy 1.04. On Dust2 (22 Maps): afro 1.23 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.26 IMP, 76.9 ADR. Lucky 1.20, NBK 1.14, bodyy 1.14, Djoko 1.12.

Analysis: This is maybe and quite possibly the largest revenge spot in the history of CS:GO as Vitality look to return the favor on DBL PONEY here. Vitality is a slight favorite here and I think that is for a reason. Vitality is fresh off an 0-2 loss to Heroic but had ran a two-match win streak prior to the loss. DBL PONEY have dropped their last three matches in a row. I like Vitality here obviously.

 

G2 (Ranked 4th in World) @ NiP (Ranked 14th in World)

Betting Odds: G2 -145/NiP +110

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -125

*This is a best of three consolidation final match for Flashpoint 3.

*G2 For Event: NiKo 1.27 Rating, huNter 1.12, AmaNEk 1.11, nexa 1.01, JaCkz 0.90.

*G2 For Last Month (29 Maps): NiKo 1.23 Rating, huNter 1.11, AmaNEk 1.01, nexa 0.99, JaCkz 0.95.

*NiP For Event: REZ 1.13 Rating, device 1.11, Plopski 1.06, hampus 1.01, ztr 0.89.

*NiP For Last Month (See Above)

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played twice so far in 2021 with G2 winning both matches, the most recent in this same event in a 3-map affair, and a sweep over NiP in ESL Pro League.

*Top Performers For NiP (5 Maps): REZ +16 K-D Diff, 1.15 K-D, 1.17 Rating.

*Top Performers For G2 (5 Maps): huNter +22 K-D Diff, 1.22 K-D, 1.16 Rating. AmaNEk +17 K-D Diff, 1.18 K-D, 1.13 Rating. nexa +7 K-D Diff, 1.08 K-D, 1.04 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for NiP and Overpass for G2. I think we see Dust2 for G2 and Inferno for NiP.

*NiP on Inferno (10 Maps): REZ 1.14 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 85.1 ADR. Plopski 1.10, device 1.02, hampus 0.92, ztr 0.78. On Dust2 (5 Maps): device 1.14 Rating, 0.69 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 75.5 ADR REZ 1.05, Plopski 1.05, ztr 1.05, hampus 0.84.

*G2 on Dust2 (9 Maps): NiKo 1.10 Rating, 0.65 KPR, 1.10 IMP, 77.7 ADR. huNter 1.05, nexa 0.95, AmaNEk 0.92, JaCkz 0.82. On Inferno (13 Maps): huNter 1.22 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 88.3 ADR. NiKo 1.11, AmaNEk 1.02, nexa 1.00, JaCkz 0.98.

Analysis: I think we do see a bounce-back from G2 here after getting swept by Mousesports on Thursday. G2 didn’t play well at all and think they come ready to play here. I could easily see this match going three maps, but I think we see G2 outlast 2-1 here.

 

*TOP STACKS: Vitality, G2

*TOP CPT PLAYS: ZywOo, NiKo, huNter, device, REZ

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: AmaNEk, nexa, Plopski, shox, afro, apEX