CS:GO DFS Playbook: Flashpoint 3 – 5.27.2021 (3-Match)
Mousesports (Ranked 13th in World) @ G2 (Ranked 4th in World)
Betting Odds: G2 -135/Mousesports +105
Map Odds: 2.5 Over -105/Under -125
*This is a best of three upper-bracket final match for Flashpoint 3 Event.
*Mousesports For Event: frozen 1.31 Rating, ropz 1.28, acoR 1.25, dexer 1.23, Bymas 1.13.
*Mousesports For Last Month (37 Maps): ropz 1.19 Rating, frozen 1.18, acoR 1.13, Bymas 1.09, Bymas 1.05.
*G2 For Event: NiKo 1.27 Rating, huNter 1.16, AmaNEk 1.15, nexa 1.03, JaCkz 0.95.
*G2 For Last Month (33 Maps): NiKo 1.21 Rating, huNter 1.12, AmaNEk 1.01, nexa 0.98, JaCkz 0.94.
H2H DATA:
*These two teams have faced-off four times so far in 2021 with G2 winning the last three in a row, with the last two by the 2-0 sweep.
*Top Performers For G2 (9 Maps): huNter +25 K-D Diff, 1.16 K-D, 1.13 Rating. NiKo +5 K-D Diff, 1.03 K-D, 1.09 Rating.
*Top Performers For Mousesports (9 Maps): ropz +21 K-D Diff, 1.14 K-D, 1.08 Rating. acoR +4 K-D Diff, 1.03 K-D, 1.01 Rating. frozen +3 K-D Diff, 1.02 K-D, 1.05 Rating.
MAPS:
*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Overpass for G2 and Inferno for Mousesports. I think we see Mirage for G2 and Nuke for Mouse.
*G2 on Mirage (15 Maps): huNter 1.20 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.13 IMP, 87.5 ADR. NiKo 1.12, AmaNEk 1.02, nexa 1.00, JaCkz 0.92. On Nuke (7 Maps): NiKo 1.26 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.50 IMP, 91.2 ADR. huNter 1.13, AmaNEk 1.11, nexa 0.97, JaCkz 0.90.
*Mousesports on Nuke (11 Maps): frozen 1.24 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.40 IMP, 86.8 ADR. ropz 1.17, dexter 1.04, acoR 1.03, Bymas 1.01. On Mirage (12 Maps): frozen 1.23 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.16 IMP, 85.8 ADR. ropz 1.15, acoR 1.12, Bymas 1.05, dexter 0.81.
Analysis: G2 has had mouse’s number for quite a minute now and I really don’t see this being much of a different result. Both teams are on winning streaks as of late with Mousesports sweeping their last four matches consecutively and G2 winning their last three-straight by a 2-1 result. I just feel like G2 is the better overall team here and although this could go three maps, I have G2 winning 2-0 or 2-1.
Complexity (Ranked 11th in World) @ Sprout (Ranked 30th in World)
Betting Odds: Complexity -215/Sprout+160
Map Odds: 2.5 Over -101/Under -130
*This is a best of three 9th-12th place decider consolidation final match for Flashpoint 3.
*Complexity For Event: blameF 1.14 Rating, k0nfig 1.09, jks 1.03, poizon 0.99, RUSH 0.88.
*Complexity For Last Month (28 Maps): blameF 1.19 Rating, k0nfig 1.15, jks 1.05, poizon 0.93, RUSH 0.88.
*Sprout For Event: faveN 1.14 Rating, slaxz 1.02, kressy 0.98, denis 0.97, Spiidi 0.95.
*Sprout For Last Month (46 Maps): faveN 1.20 Rating, slaxz 1.05, kressy 1.00, Spiidi 0.95, denis 0.94.
H2H DATA:
*These two teams have played once so far in 2021 in the qualifier for this Event. Complexity won in a 2-1 result with a 16-10 win on Vertigo and a 16-6 win on Mirage. Sprout won Dust2 by a 19-16 OT margin.
*Top Performers For Sprout (3 Maps): faveN +15 K-D Diff, 1.26 Rating, 87.1 ADR.
*Top Performers For Complexity (3 Maps): k0nfig +41 K-D Diff, 1.66 Rating, 105.9 ADR. blameF +24 K-D Diff, 1.38 Rating, 89.7 ADR.
MAPS:
*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Train for Complexity and Overpass for Sprout. I think we see Dust2 for Sprout and Mirage for Complexity again.
*Complexity on Mirage (20 Maps): blameF 1.29 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 86.5 ADR. k0nfig 1.19, poizon 1.10, jks 1.03, RUSH 0.85. On Dust2 (8 Maps): blameF 1.18 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.09 IMP, 85.9 ADR. k0nfig 1.18, poizon 1.06, jks 0.94, RUSH 0.87.
*Sprout on Dust2 (28 Maps): slaxz 1.21 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 78.2 ADR. faveN 1.20, kressy 1.07, Spiidi 1.06, denis 1.06. On Mirage (15 Maps): faveN 1.27 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.33 IMP, 92.1 ADR. slaxz 1.03, kressy 0.98, denis 0.91, Spiidi 0.89.
Analysis: I think this match will be a good one and should go three maps with each team likely winning their map pick. Complexity showed signs of life against Anonymo on Wednesday, so I think they are in this Event still and will likely try to place the highest as possible now. Sprout also played well on Wednesday but was out-lasted in a hell of a three-map affair against a well-playing FPX team. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Sprout get some revenge here with a 2-1 win.
Heroic (Ranked 3rd in World) @ NiP (Ranked 14th in Word)
Betting Odds: Heroic -250/NiP +185
Map Odds: 2.5 over +105/Under -140
*This is a best of three lower-bracket final match for Flashpoint 3.
*Heroic For Event: TeSeS 1.17 Rating, cadiaN 1.14, sjuush 1.13, stavn 1.11, refrezh 1.03.
*Heroic For Last Month (19 Maps): TeSeS 1.20 Rating, sjuush 1.14, cadiaN 1.13, stavn 1.13, refrezh 1.09.
*NiP For Event: REZ 1.13 Rating, device 1.10, Plopski 1.09, hampus 1.02, ztr 0.87.
*NiP For Last Month (11 Maps): See above.
H2H DATA:
*These two squads played once in 2021 back at the ESL Pro League with Heroic sweeping 2-0.
*Top Performers For Heroic (2 Maps): TeSeS +20 K-D Diff, 1.48 Rating, 96.3 ADR. cadiaN +15 K-D Diff, 1.31 Rating, 78.4 ADR.
*Top Performers for NiP (2 Maps): hampus +5 K-D Diff, 1.05 Rating, 77.4 ADR. (device was not on team yet)
MAPS:
*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Dust2 for Heroic and Vertigo for NiP. I think we see Nuke for Heroic and Overpass for NiP.
*NiP on Overpass (4 Maps): device 1.41 Rating, 0.91 KPR, 1.47 IMP, 99.4 ADR. hampus 1.27, Plopski 1.14, REZ 1.10, ztr 1.04. On Nuke (5 Maps): REZ 1.19 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 89.6 ADR. hampus 1.12, device 1.10, Plopski 0.94, ztr 0.80.
*Heroic On Nuke (12 Maps): TeSeS 1.24 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.12 IMP, 83.5 ADR. cadiaN 1.18, refrezh 1.14, stavn 1.13, sjuush 1.11. On Overpass (5 Maps): TeSeS 1.33 Rating, 0.86 KPR, 1.62 IMP, 95.0 ADR. cadiaN 1.11, sjuush 1.09, stavn 1.06, refrezh 1.03.
Analysis: Heroic is the best team in the World, so I said it again here. I think they win this match also. Could even be a 2-0 sweep.
*TOP STACKS: Heroic, G2, Complexity
*TOP CPT PLAYS: NiKo, huNter, blameF, k0nfig, device, TeSeS, cadiaN, frozen
*TOP FLEX PLAYS: ropz, faveN, slaxz, AmaNEk, poizon, sjuush, stavn, refrezh, Plopski, REZ