CS:GO DFS Playbook: EPIC League CIS 2021 – 5.17.2021 (2-Match)

Spirit (Ranked 12th in World) @ Gambit (Ranked 1st in World)

Betting Odds: Gambit -195/Spirit +150

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -125/Under -105

*This is a best of three match for Swiss round 2 for teams with a 1-0 record for Event.

*Spirit For Event: sdy 1.32 Rating, mir 1.29, chopper 1.28, degster 1.24, magixx 1.04.

*Spirit For Last Month of Play (16 Maps): degster 1.15 Rating, mir 1.14, sdy 1.13, chopper 1.01, magixx 0.99.

*Gambit For Event: Ax1Le 1.25 Rating, sh1ro 1.21, Nafany 1.20, interz 1.10, Hobbit 1.08.

*Gambit For Last Month of Play (20 Maps): sh1ro 1.21 Rating, Hobbit 1.20, Ax1Le 1.18, Nafany 1.04, interz 1.00.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have played three best of three matches so far in 2021 with Gambit winning all three. Two of the three matches did go three-full maps however.

*Top Performers for Gambit (8 Maps): sh1ro +38 K-D Diff, 1.34 K-D, 1.20 Rating. Ax1Le +37 K-D Diff, 1.27 K-D, 1.18 Rating. Hobbit +9 K-D Diff, 1.06 K-D, 1.13 Rating.  

*Top Performers for Spirit (8 Maps): degster +2 K-D Diff, 1.02 K-D, 0.94 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for Spirit and Nuke for Gambit. I think we see Spirit go with Dust2 and Gambit go with Mirage here.

*Gambit on Mirage (11 Maps): sh1ro 1.42 Rating, 0.87 KPR, 1.45 IMP, 85.3 ADR. Ax1Le 1.22, Hobbit 1.08, Nafany 1.06, interz 0.92. On Dust2 (14 Maps): sh1ro 1.26 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.26 IMP, 79.6 ADR. Hobbit 1.18, Ax1Le 1.07, Nafany 1.01, interz 0.98.

*Spirit on Dust2 (8 Maps): mir 1.49 Rating, 0.95 KPR, 1.56 IMP, 97.6 ADR. chopper 1.37, degster 1.25, sdy 1.22, magixx 1.03. On Mirage (7 Maps): mir 1.15 Rating, 0.72 KPR, 1.11 IMP, 77.4 ADR. chopper 1.02, sdy 0.99, degster 0.93, magixx 0.87.

Analysis: Gambit has really had Spirit’s number lately and I don’t exactly see much change here. They have a much better map pool, and they are just the better overall team with a bit more star-power in a few guys. I could easily see it going three maps, but I think Gambit takes it here once again for the fourth win against Spirit in a row for 2021.

 

Trident (Ranked 54th in World) @ Virtus.Pro (Ranked 7th in World)

Betting Odds: V.Pro -1665/Trident +725

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +260/Under -385

*This is a best of three swiss round 2 match for teams with a 1-0 record for Event.

*Trident For Event: Norwi 1.32 Rating, glowiing 1.31, tricky 1.09, clax 0.99, seized 0.92.

*Trident For Last Month (16 Maps): glowiing 1.15 Rating, tricky 1.10, Norwi 1.06, clax 0.98, seized 0.92.

*V.Pro For Event: Jame 1.70 Rating, YEKINDAR 1.50, buster 1.12, Qikert 1.05, SANJI 0.78.

*V.Pro For Last Month (14 Maps): Jame 1.19 Rating, YEKINDAR 1.14, Qikert 1.02, buster 0.87, SANJI 0.86.

H2H DATA:

*These two squads have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for Trident and Nuke for V.Pro. I think we see Inferno for V.Pro and Overpass for Trident as Nuke is their typical first pick but will be banned.

*Trident on Overpass (14 Maps): glowiing 1.35 Rating, 0.90 KPR, 1.47 IMP, 95.6 ADR. tricky 1.16, seized 1.03, Norwi 1.02, clax 1.00. On Inferno (14 Maps): tricky 1.12 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 72.3 ADR. clax 1.00, glowiing 0.94, seized 0.88, Norwi 0.83.

*V.Pro on Inferno (13 Maps): YEKINDAR 1.21 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.44 IMP, 86.0 ADR. Jame 1.15, buster 1.06, SANJI 1.03, Qikert 0.98. On Overpass (9 Maps): Jame 1.38 Rating, 0.85 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 86.6 ADR. YEKINDAR 1.34, buster 1.00, Qikert 0.98, SANJI 0.94.

Analysis: Trident really hasn’t faced much top-tier competition lately and even though they are ranked within the top-60 in the World, V.Pro is quite a damn good team and I just don’t think they have the chops to stand toe-to-toe with them. Overpass is a really good map for a couple of V.Pro players as we can see, and I just don’t think Trident has enough fire-power to steal a map here in a wide map pool for V.Pro. Think we see both favorites sweep the board on this slate.

 

*TOP STACKS: Virtus.Pro, Gambit

*TOP CPT PLAYS: Jame, YEKINDAR, sh1ro, Ax1Le, Hobbit

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: mir, Qikert, sdy, glowiing, tricky, Nafany, buster