CS:GO DFS Playbook: REPUBLEAGUE TIPOS Season 1 – 5.6.2021 (2-Match)

SKADE (Ranked 20th in World) @ Endpoint (Ranked 27th in World)

Betting Odds: SKADE -160/Endpoint +125

Map Odds: 2.5 over +110/Under -145

*This is a best of three Swiss round 4 for teams with a 2-1 record with the winner advancing to playoffs.

*SKADE For Event: dennyslaw 1.37 Rating, oxygen 1.11, Rainwaker 1.09, Duplicate 1.06, SHiPZ 0.99.

*SKADE For the Last Month of Play (87 Maps): dennyslaw 1.19 Rating, SHiPZ 1.13, Rainwaker 1.08, Duplicate 1.04, oxygen 1.04.

*Endpoint For Event: Surreal 1.33 Rating, Thomas 1.29, mezii 1.29, CRUC1AL 1.03, MiGHTYMAX 0.99.

*Endpoint For the Last Month of Play (45 Maps): mezii 1.24 Rating, Thomas 1.07, CRUC1AL 1.05, MiGHTYMAX 0.97, Surreal 0.95.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played a best of three and best of one so far in 2021 with Endpoint sweeping the best of three in their most recent meeting and SKADE winning the best of one on Train with a score of 16-5.

*Top Performers for SKADE (3 Maps): oxygeN +28 K-D Diff, 1.64 K-D, 1.30 Rating. dennyslaw +6 K-D Diff, 1.13 K-D, 1.04 Rating. SHiPZ +8 K-D Diff, 1.14 K-D, 1.16 Rating.

*Top Performers for Endpoint (3 Maps): mezii +22 K-D Diff, 1.73 K-D, 1.44 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Nuke for Endpoint and Vertigo for SKADE. I think we see Overpass for SKADE and Inferno for Endpoint.

*SKADE on Overpass (30 Maps): dennyslaw 1.30 Rating, 0.87 KPR, 1.42 IMP, 84.5 ADR. SHiPZ 1.19, oxygen 1.15, Rainwaker 1.11, Duplicate 1.06. On Inferno (31 Maps): SHiPZ 1.19 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.18 IMP, 83.4 ADR. Rainwaker 1.17, dennyslaw 1.15, Dupliate 1.15, oxygen 1.08.

*Endpoint on Inferno (17 Maps): mezii 1.12 Rating, 0.69 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 75.9 ADR. CRUC1AL 1.08, Thomas 1.08, MiGHTYMAX 0.91, Surreal 0.90. On Overpass (14 Maps): Thomas 1.32 Rating, 0.81 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 89.4 ADR. mezii 1.31, MiGHTYMAX 1.07, Surreal 1.04, CRUC1AL 0.99.

Analysis: Both of these teams are fresh off a loss in their last match, but SKADE was on a 6-match winning streak before the loss to EPG Family. Endpoint had won three-straight prior to the loss. I believe SKADE gets back on track here and wins this match. It very well could go three maps, but I wouldn’t be shocked in SKADE went 2-0 either.

 

Copenhagen Flames (Ranked 46th in World) @ Anonymo (Ranked 43rd in World)

Betting Odds: Anonymo -280/Copenhagen Flames +200

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +125/Under -165

*NOTE – Copenhagen Flames have not yet listed who will be their fifth player for this match. IT WILL BE A STAND-IN.

*This is a best of three Swiss round 4 for teams with 1-2 record. The losing team is eliminated from Event.

*Copenhagen Flames For Event: jabbi 1.01 Rating, AcilioN 0.97, nicoodoz 0.93, Nodios 0.90.

*Copenhagen Flames For the Last Month of Play (36 Maps): nicoodoz 1.05 Rating, AcilioN 1.04, Nodios 1.02, jabbi 0.97.

*Anonymo For Event: KEi 1.32 Rating, Kylar 1.02, Snax 1.01, innocent 0.93, mynio 0.85.

*Anonymo For the Last Month of Play (46 Maps): KEi 1.15 Rating, Kylar 1.05, Snax 1.04, innocent 1.01, mynio 0.97.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Dust2 for Anonymo and Train for Copenhagen Flames. I think we see Nuke for Anonymo and Overpass for Copenhagen Flames.

*Copenhagen Flames on Overpass (29 Maps): Nodios 1.16 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.08 IMP, 81.5 ADR. jabbi 1.12, AcilioN 1.06, nicoodoz 1.05. On Nuke (18 Maps): AcilioN 1.04 Rating, 0.63 KPR, 1.11 IMP, 74.3 ADR. jabbi 1.03, Nodios 1.02, nicoodoz 1.01.

*Anonymo on Nuke (24 Maps): KEi 1.18 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.30 IMP, 84.1 ADR. Snax 1.12, innocent 1.08, Kylar 1.03, mynio 1.01. On Overpass (12 Maps): Kylar 1.05 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.01 IMP, 77.7 ADR. KEi 0.99, innocent 0.95, Snax 0.93, mynio 0.81.

Analysis: I could potentially see an instance where the Flames win Overpass, as Anon don’t really look all that good on that map, but I don’t think we can ignore the price the books are laying on Anon here. Also, it factors in that the Flames are without their core member and will be using a stand-in. I am taking Anon here obviously.

 

*TOP STACKS: SKADE, Anonymo

*TOP CPT PLAYS: dennyslaw, SHiPZ, KEi, Kylar, Nodios, mezii

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: oxygeN, rainwaker, Duplicate, innocent, CRUC1AL, Thomas, AcilioN