CS:GO DFS Playbook: Spring Sweet Spring 1 (5.3.2021 2-Match)

EXTREMUM (Ranked 39th in World) @ AGO (Ranked 28th in World)

Betting Odds: EXTREMUM -160/AGO +125

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +110/Under -145

*This is a best of three playoff round 1 match for the Spring Sweet Spring 1 Event.

*EXTREMUM For Event (6 Maps): jkaem 1.24 Rating, Gratisfaction 1.19, Liazz 1.11, BnTeT 1.06, AZR 1.01.

*EXTREMUM For the Last Month of Play (16 Maps): jkaem 1.13 Rating, BnTeT 1.05, Gratisfaction 1.04, Liazz 0.98, AZR 0.90.

*AGO For Event (7 Maps): rallen 1.20 Rating, snatchie 1.20, F1KU 1.06, Furlan 1.02, reatz 0.93.

*AGO For the Last Month of Play (29 Maps): snatchie 1.15 Rating, rallen 1.11, F1KU 1.09, reatz 0.95, Furlan 0.95.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams played in this same event just a couple of weeks ago with EXTREMUM winning 2-0 with results of 16-13 on Train and 16-13 on Vertigo.

*Top Performers For EXTREMUM (2 Maps): Gratisfaction +11 K-D Diff, 1.29 Rating, 82.4 ADR. Jkaem +10 K-D Diff, 1.36 Rating, 93.9 ADR.

*Top Performers For AGO (2 Maps): rallen +4 K-D Diff, 1.05 Rating, 72.4 ADR. reatz +2 K-D Diff, 1.02 Rating, 74.2 ADR.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Overpass for EXTREMUM and Inferno for AGO. I Think we see EXTREMUM go with Vertigo again and AGO go with Mirage.

*EXTREMUM on Vertigo (11 Maps): Jkaem 1.17 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 87.5 ADR. BnTeT 1.09, Gratisfaction 1.09, Liazz 1.00, AZR 0.84. On Mirage (8 Maps): Jkaem 1.18 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 93.0 ADR. BnTeT 1.04, Gratisfaction 0.93, AZR 0.92, Liazz 0.92.

*AGO on Mirage (18 Maps): snatchie 1.24 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.32 IMP, 81.0 ADR. rallen 1.14, F1KU 1.13, Furlan 0.94, reatz 0.90. On Vertigo (20 Maps): rallen 1.09 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.00 IMP, 81.1 ADR. F1KU 1.07, reatz 1.01, snatchie 1.00, Furlan 0.94.

Analysis: I think that everyone and their brother are going to be on EXTREMUM here and for good reason, they are coming into this one on a three-match win streak (including a 2-0 over this AGO team), but that also gives us the revenge narrative here for AGO, who on paper we can see is really not that far off in terms of World rank, talent, ect from EXTREMUM. Both the maps played in the last meeting were down to the wire with AGO winning 13 rounds a piece, and if they win one of those maps, this match easily is a three-map banger. Think their mistake was by not going with their strength in map selection, and it cost them. Think they likely don’t make that same error again here and can win their map pick. I think we see three maps here and a close finish.

 

K23 (Ranked 42nd in World) @ forZe (Ranked 24th in World)

Betting Odds: K23 -120/forZe -110

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -110/Under -120

*This is a best of three Playoff Round 1 for the Spring Sweet Spring 1 Event.

*K23 For Event (12 Maps): n0rb3r7 1.29 Rating, mou 1.16, fame 1.12, neaLaN 1.03, AdreN 0.91.

*K23 For the Last Month of Play (41 Maps): n0rb3r7 1.32 Rating, mou 1.20, fame 1.19, neaLaN 1.03, AdreN 0.93.

*forZe For Event (13 Maps): FL1T 1.17 Rating, Jerry 1.10, zorte 1.07, KENSI 1.02, almazer 0.94.

*forZe For the Last Month of Play (31 Maps): FL1T 1.21 Rating, zorte 1.07, Jerry 1.04, KENSI 1.02, almazer 0.98.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played once recent in this same Event a couple of weeks ago with K23 winning 2-1 with results of 16-14 on Inferno and 19-16 on Mirage, forZe won Dust2 by a score of 16-14.

*Top Performers for K23 (3 Maps): mou +17 K-D Diff, 1.20 Rating, 84.2 ADR. fame +3 K-D Diff, 1.05 Rating, 73.0 ADR.

*Top Performers for forZe (3 Maps): Jerry +9 K-D Diff, 1.16 Rating, 78.4 ADR. almazer +9 K-D Diff, 1.12 Rating, 78.2 ADR. zorte +8 K-D Diff, 1.09 Rating, 66.7 ADR.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for forZe and Nuke for K23. I think we see Overpass for K23 and Mirage for forZe.

*K23 on Overpass (21 Maps): n0rb3r7 1.30 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.41 IMP, 93.1 ADR. fame 1.17, mou 1.13, neaLaN 0.99, AdreN 0.94. On Mirage (9 Maps): fame 1.19 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.32 IMP, 88.3 ADR. n0rb3r7 1.11, mou 1.05, neaLaN 0.99. AdreN 0.85.

*forZe on Mirage (20 Maps): FL1T 1.37 Rating, 0.87 KPR, 1.44 IMP, 100.0 ADR. zorte 1.14, Jerry 1.08, KENSI 1.06, almazer 1.02. On Overpass (13 Maps): FL1T 1.16 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 88.8 ADR. zorte 1.01, almazer 1.00, KENSI 0.97, Jerry 0.93.

Analysis: This is another really close one here and another revenge spot here for forZe, who we saw rip off some really nice wins Movistar Riders, Virtus.Pro and Complexity just two weeks ago. I think you can stack up this match on both sides, but I think forZe is gonna grab this win 2-1.

 

*TOP STACKS: EXTREMUM (Wil use AGO for some GPP), forZe

*TOP CPT PLAYS: FL1T, Jkaem, n0rb3r7, zorte, snatchie, Gratisfaction, mou

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: BnTeT, fame, rallen, Jerry, KENSI, reatz