CS:GO DFS Playbook: FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final – 4.23.2021 (2-Match)

Dignitas (Ranked 25th in World) @ HAVU (Ranked 18th in World)

Betting Odds: HAVU -145/Dignitas +110

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -125/Under -110

*This is a best of three lower-bracket sem-final match for the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final.

*Dignitas For Event (4 Maps): hallzerk 1.35 Rating, f0rest 1.09, Lekr0 0.96, HEAP 0.94, friberg 0.92.

*Dignitas For the Last Month of Play (44 Maps): Lekr0 1.11 Rating, f0rest 1.11, HEAP 1.09, hallzerk 1.05, friberg 0.95.

*HAVU For Event (5 Maps): xseveN 1.19 Rating, ZOREE 0.94, sLowi 0.91, Aerial 0.88, jemi 0.81.

*HAVU For the Last Month of Play (36 Maps): Aerial 1.14 Rating, xseveN 1.05, ZOREE 1.05, sLowi 1.02, jemi 0.85.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played three matches in 2021 so far with HAVU winning two of the three and the most recent match played. All three meetings were decided in two or less maps. These two just met in the Europe Region of this same Event leading up to this match on the 11th of this month.

*HAVU vs Dignitas (6 Maps): ZOREE +19 K-D Diff, 1.18 K-D, 1.10 Rating. Aerial +16 K-D Diff, 1.14 K-D, 1.10 Rating. sLowi +7 K-D Diff, 1.06 K-D, 1.07 Rating.

*Dignitas vs HAVU (6 Maps): f0rest +21 K-D Diff, 1.18 K-D, 1.12 Rating. hallzerk +15 K-D Diff, 1.13 K-D, 1.14 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for HAVU and Mirage for Dignitas. I believe we see Nuke for Dignitas and Dust2 for HAVU.

*Dignitas on Nuke (16 Maps): f0rest 1.21 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.16 IMP, 82.9 ADR. Lekr0 1.18, hallzerk 1.13, HEAP 1.09, friberg 0.95. On Dust2 (15 Maps): f0rest 1.10 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.13 IMP, 80.3 ADR. Lekr0 1.08, hallzerk 1.03, HEAP 0.99, friberg 0.83.

*HAVU on Dust2 (19 Maps): xseveN 1.25 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 88.8 ADR. ZOREE 1.18, sLowi 1.18, Aerial 1.12, jemi 0.97. On Nuke (15 Maps): Aerial 1.43 Rating, 0.94 KPR, 1.60 IMP, 95.4 ADR. ZOREE 1.13, xseveN 1.08, sLowi 1.07, jemi 0.95.

Analysis: Alright, so I am on Dignitas (I play tournaments only) and I will tell you why. One – Everyone and their brother are going to be on HAVU after their win yesterday over Virtus.Pro. Dignitas looked awful against Extra Salt but ran over Evil Geniuses in the first round of this finals bracket. Not to mention he major revenge spot that we get here for Dignitas after they already lost to HAVU in this Event not even two weeks ago. Going with Dignitas, but if you are playing cash – would lean HAVU.

 

 

Complexity (Ranked 9th in World) @ BIG (Ranked 12th in World)

Betting Odds: Complexity -170/BIG +130

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -115/Under -115

*This is a lower-bracket semi-final best of three match for the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Finals.

*Complexity For Event (5 Maps): k0nfig 1.38 Rating, blameF 1.11, poizon 1.07, jks 1.05, RUSH 0.97.

*Complexity For the Last Month of Play (13 Maps): k0nfig 1.13 Rating, blameF 1.08, poizon 1.08, jks 1.02, RUSH 0.95.

*BIG For Event (5 Maps): syrsoN 1.14 Rating, tabseN 1.08, k1to 1.01, tiziaN 0.94, XANTARES 0.91.

*BIG For the Last Month of Play (10 Maps): syrsoN 1.07 Rating, tabseN 1.06, XANTARES 1.01, k1to 0.97, tiziaN 0.87.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams played once in 2021 back at the ESL Pro League Season 13 with BIG sweeping Complexity 2-0 with results of 16-7 on Dust2 and 16-12 on Mirage.

*Top Performers for BIG (2 Maps): k1to +31 K-D Diff, 1.82 Rating, 118.9 ADR. XANTARES +12 K-D Diff, 1.17 Rating, 64.4 ADR. syrsoN +9 K-D Diff, 1.27 Rating, 80.0 ADR.

*Top Performers for Complexity (2 Maps): poizon +5 K-D Diff, 1.06 Rating, 79.3 ADR.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Train for BIG and Vertigo for Complexity. I believe we see Dust2 for BIG and Mirage for Complexity.

*Complexity on Mirage (17 Maps): blameF 1.25 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 81.1 ADR. k0nfig 1.18, poizon 1.15, jks 1.07, RUSH 0.91. On Dust2 (7 Maps): blameF 1.22 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.13 IMP, 85.1 ADR. k0nfig 1.16, poizon 1.11, RUSH 0.97, jks 0.90.

*BIG on Dust2 (10 Maps): syrsoN 1.26 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 85.1 ADR. k1to 1.16, tabseN 1.08, XANTARES 0.99, tiziaN 0.93. On Mirage (7 Maps): tabseN 1.26 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 90.8 ADR. XANTARES 1.25, syrsoN 1.12, k1to 1.11, tiziaN 0.94.

Analysis: This is a revenge spot here as well for Complexity after BIG swept them in the Pro League, but honestly, I am leaning BIG in this one. Mirage is Complexity’s best map, and even though Complexity holds a 71%-57% success rate on it, BIG’s numbers over the last three months on Mirage have been pretty stellar. Complexity are also looking for a bounce-back here, and I believe they are going to carry some pretty heavy ownership today as the biggest favorite on the slate. Once again, I play tournaments, and I am likely going to play BIG with some Complexity sprinkles.

 

*TOP STACKS: BIG, DIG

*TOP CPT PLAYS: syrsoN, tabseN, hallzerk, f0rest, blameF, Aerial

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: Lekr0, xseveN, k0nfig, HEAP, XANTARES, ZOREE, k1to