| Driver | DK$ | FD $ | Qual | DK 5x | DK 6x | Comments |
| Aric Almirola | $8,500 | $10,500 | 1 | 42.5 | 51.0 | The pole sitter hasn't finished worse than P10 in the last five races and leading 33 laps while finishing P6 would get him nearly 6x |
| Denny Hamlin | $10,400 | $13,400 | 2 | 52.0 | 62.4 | He's topped 50 DK points in 4 of the last 9 points races and will need laps led to hit that again on Sunday while not dropping too far back |
| Chase Elliott | $9,100 | $12,700 | 3 | 45.5 | 54.6 | Elliott has one top-five and no top-10s in 6 races here. He'll need a top-five or top-10 with dominator pts & more the further back he falls |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,500 | $12,000 | 4 | 47.5 | 57.0 | He's been just about at or over the 5x value 5 of the last 9 points races. New Hampshire has been a spotty track for him though |
| Kyle Busch | $9,300 | $12,600 | 5 | 46.5 | 55.8 | Busch has 6 top-10s in the last 8 races here including a couple of wins. He's hit value each of the last three races hitting 6.5x at Kansas |
| Clint Bowyer | $7,200 | $9,400 | 6 | 36.0 | 43.2 | Bowyer is excited about the race starting spot for once but he hasn't finished top-10 here since 2017. If he finishes P6 or P7 he hits value |
| Kevin Harvick | $11,600 | $14,200 | 7 | 58.0 | 69.6 | Harvick has won three of the last five races at NHMS. The price is steep but a P3 and his normal 13 dominator pts here hit value |
| Alex Bowman | $8,100 | $9,800 | 8 | 40.5 | 48.6 | Bowman hit value just 3 times in the last 9 points races, two of those he started P8. He'll need to finish better than P8 & get fastest laps |
| Joey Logano | $9,800 | $11,000 | 9 | 49.0 | 58.8 | Logano hasn't adjusted well to no practice. Outside of Martinsville, he's hit value just once since (Texas). Finishing P2 would hit value |
| Kurt Busch | $7,700 | $10,000 | 10 | 38.5 | 46.2 | Busch has settled into this price range for a while now & has broken 40 pts once in the last 10 races, 55 at Kentucky w/ 28 fastest laps |
| Martin Truex Jr | $10,700 | $12,200 | 11 | 53.5 | 64.2 | He's done well at NHMS with 3 top-5s in the last 4 races. The last 4 races this year have been wild swings for MTJ. Expect an upswing |
| Ryan Blaney | $11,100 | $11,600 | 12 | 55.5 | 66.6 | 5x might be tough for Blaney to hit this week given the price tag. If he repeats his P4 finish, that's 48 points so he'd need dominator pts |
| Tyler Reddick | $7,500 | $8,200 | 13 | 37.5 | 45.0 | The last four times he's started this high he's finished worse three times. He'll need a P9 to hit 5x safely. He ran P4 and P25 in Xfinity |
| Cole Custer | $6,700 | $7,700 | 14 | 33.5 | 40.2 | Custer has been better when starting further back but he really only needs to move up a few spots to hit value. |
| Bubba Wallace | $6,500 | $6,300 | 15 | 32.5 | 39.0 | Wallace is fading a tad of late. He needs a P13 to hit value which he's done 2x in the last 10 races (none in the last 8). Unlikely he hits |
| William Byron | $7,900 | $8,500 | 16 | 39.5 | 47.4 | In six of the last nine points races Byron has finished better than where he's started and notched a couple top-10s. He'll need P10 for 5x |
| Erik Jones | $8,900 | $10,300 | 17 | 44.5 | 53.4 | Jones has been hit and miss this season but the speed has been there two races in a row now with two top-6s. He'll nee a P8 for 5x |
| Michael McDowell | $6,300 | $6,000 | 18 | 31.5 | 37.8 | His average finish here is 23.0 and starting P18 doesn't bode well for the value. McDowell needs to finished P15 to hit 5x |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $8,300 | $8,700 | 19 | 41.5 | 49.8 | Matty D has been good at shorter tracks over the last year & this fits that bill. He has a top-five here & the 21-car has three top-17s |
| Jimmie Johnson | $8,700 | $9,300 | 20 | 43.5 | 52.2 | Johnson hasn't been able to put a full race together yet but starting P20 for a fourth straight race gives him another shot. He'll need a P10 |
| Matt Kenseth | $7,600 | $8,000 | 21 | 38.0 | 45.6 | Kenseth has been great at New Hampshire in his career and playing him a his great tracks has paid off. He needs just a P13 finish |
| Ryan Newman | $6,600 | $7,400 | 22 | 33.0 | 39.6 | Newman's average finish of 13.3 over the last four races here nearly hits value. If he moves up six spots he'll hit value, a P13 is 6x |
| Austin Dillon | $7,400 | $7,000 | 23 | 37.0 | 44.4 | Dillon has six top-20s in the last 9 points races this but hasn't had the best luck at NHMS. A top-15 is what he needs, that's within reach |
| Chris Buescher | $6,100 | $6,000 | 24 | 30.5 | 36.6 | Buescher has gone backward six of the last nine races this year. The 17-car needs a P18 finish to get to 5x but his track history isn't great |
| Ty Dillon | $5,700 | $5,000 | 25 | 28.5 | 34.2 | His 19.3 avg finish is nearly 5x. HIs PD adds upside. He's been P16 or better in 3 of the last 4 pts. races which hits 6x at his price too |
| James Davison | $4,500 | $3,000 | 26 | 22.5 | 27.0 | Davison has only raced a handful of Cup races and is in typically backmarker equipment. He'll go backward & not finish on the lead lap |
| Garrett Smithley | $4,700 | $3,000 | 27 | 23.5 | 28.2 | With a few guys starting behind him that will pass him and him being in it's unlikely he hits value. He'd need a P23 to hit value. |
| Joey Gase | $4,900 | $3,000 | 28 | 24.5 | 29.4 | Not much reason to play Gase as he will likely drop backward |
| JJ Yeley | $5,200 | $3,500 | 29 | 26.0 | 31.2 | Yeley needs to pick up five to six spots to hit 5x value but needs 10+ spots for 6x. |
| Ryan Preece | $5,600 | $5,500 | 30 | 28.0 | 33.6 | Preece started P28 here last year and finished P21. He's been capable of finishing in the top-20 plenty this year. He's hard to ignore |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $6,800 | $6,800 | 31 | 34.0 | 40.8 | Stenhouse typically goes backward here but he also starts further up. Starting this far back take a shot on him in GPPs as a P20 hits |
| Quin Houff | $4,600 | $3,000 | 32 | 23.0 | 27.6 | Not much of a reason to play Houff at this point even at this price point. |
| Corey Lajoie | $6,200 | $4,000 | 33 | 31.0 | 37.2 | Lajoie has become an interesting PD play the last several races picking up several spots a race. He needs 10 spots of PD to hit 5x. |
| Brennan Poole | $5,000 | $3,500 | 34 | 25.0 | 30.0 | Poole has shown flashes of good finishes but the crash rate is high. He'll need a P27 finish for 5x and P24 for 6x. He's still a GPP play |
| Christopher Bell | $10,100 | $9,000 | 35 | 50.5 | 60.6 | The price is steep because of the PD upside. He's started P32 or worse 9 times in the 13 random draw races.He'll need a P14 or better |
| John H. Nemechek | $7,000 | $6,200 | 36 | 35.0 | 42.0 | Nemechek is starting in the worst spot he could've. That's big PD upside and he'll need a P22 or better finish to hit value |
| Daniel Suarez | $5,900 | $4,500 | 37 | 29.5 | 35.4 | Suarez has finished P28 or better in 8 of the last 9 pts races while starting P37 in every random draw race. He'll need a P25 finish to hit 5x |
| Timmy Hill | $5,400 | $3,000 | 38 | 27.0 | 32.4 | He's only topped 20 points twice in the last 10 races, He's not likely to crack the 20 point barrier again this week either |
