The paperclip beckons this Wednesday for another great edition of midweek Cup racing. Martinsville Speedway, the shortest track on the schedule, is just .526 miles in length and is a very flat half-mile with the exception of the 12 degrees of banking in the outer lanes of the turns. This surface is also an interesting one as it’s half asphalt and half concrete depending on where on the track you are and which lane you’re in and that makes the changing grip level a bit different throughout the race as asphalt and concrete take rubber and temp change differently.

Speaking of the tires, Goodyear is putting new tires on the cars this week that haven’t been run anywhere yet, aside from in a tire test under the lights here last July. They are designed to lay down more rubber, thus tire wear, and that means that tires will be a bigger part of the race than they previously have been at Martinsville. Also on the cars this week is the new aero package for 2020 on short tracks that was previously raced at Bristol and Phoenix that has provided some very good races already as the drivers can move around more and having clean air isn’t such a huge part of staying out front. What this also means for DFS is that there should be more spread out laps led totals, as you’ll see in the projections, than we’ve seen in the last few races here which is what we’ve already seen at Phoenix and Bristol.

We’ll do a version of the MCI, which could also stand for the Matt Confidence Index, for Wednesday’s race and we touched on it a bit in the podcast, but playing Cash games will be very tough to win actual money in for Wednesday, especially on DK, with how the pricing is done.

DK Cash: 3/10

FD Cash: 4/10

DK GPP: 8/10

FD GPP: 7/10

The core group of drivers you can use on DK will be highly-owned and thus push the cash line very high making it tough to hit double-ups and on FD the amount of laps and the fact that you can get a very similar build on there too makes the cash lines likely high and tough to make fruitful gains in when playing. There is enough differentiation in GPP builds that it makes the line easier to hit.

*At the end of each driver’s write-up I have included the Super Draft multipliers for them. For their site there is no salary cap, you just select drivers based on multipliers with a champion spot being 50% higher multipliers i.e. a driver that is 1x in the Flex spot is 1.5x in the Champion spot.

Average Points By Starting Spot

This is table shows how the starting spots stack up against each other over the last five races run here regardless of which driver is in that starting spot. It’s not a hard and fast rule to live by as each driver has different histories here, but it can be used to help in close decisions between similar drivers.

 

Starting Avg.     Avg.    
Position DK Pts. Rank Range FD Pts. Rank Range
1 51.40 5 76.75 79.04 9 33.7
2 36.25 10 99.00 70.88 22 59.9
3 123.70 1 196.50 104.16 1 75.7
4 24.25 25 66.50 66.08 26 60.2
5 46.05 7 90.75 82.98 4 44.6
6 47.30 6 59.75 82.06 5 20.1
7 60.60 3 134.00 79.12 8 62.9
8 30.40 20 58.50 74.66 16 31.1
9 26.65 22 165.75 59.22 32 98.5
10 63.25 2 139.75 88.48 2 58.9
Starting Avg.     Avg.    
Position DK Pts. Rank Range FD Pts. Rank Range
11 22.70 28 97.50 64.64 28 70.1
12 20.30 32 44.50 69.04 24 30.7
13 41.90 8 39.00 81.94 6 21.3
14 51.50 4 117.00 84.14 3 49.2
15 35.90 13 25.50 80.30 7 19.5
16 36.20 11 40.00 77.16 12 32.7
17 34.20 17 81.50 76.12 13 51.4
18 25.30 23 33.50 71.40 20 25.4
19 22.60 29 54.50 69.30 23 41.9
20 24.50 24 26.00 71.26 21 19.8
Starting Avg.     Avg.    
Position DK Pts. Rank Range FD Pts. Rank Range
21 32.30 19 37.50 75.98 14 26.1
22 34.60 15 45.50 77.26 11 33.8
23 27.80 21 34.50 71.44 19 24.9
24 23.20 27 56.50 64.98 27 55.8
25 39.20 9 42.50 78.44 10 36.9
26 22.30 30 47.50 66.34 25 39.4
27 10.40 39 32.00 49.88 40 64.4
28 21.30 31 42.00 57.70 33 58.2
29 32.70 18 40.50 72.88 17 24.7
30 14.70 35 20.00 55.76 34 27.4
Starting Avg.     Avg.    
Position DK Pts. Rank Range FD Pts. Rank Range
31 10.20 40 24.00 51.24 38 45.3
32 17.30 34 22.50 62.28 31 17.2
33 36.00 12 99.50 62.80 29 95.8
34 35.60 14 60.50 75.04 15 47.4
35 34.60 15 48.50 71.54 18 34.1
36 23.50 26 41.50 53.88 36 59.2
37 14.50 36 19.00 51.88 37 36.9
38 20.00 33 16.00 62.65 30 12.6
39 14.25 37 5.50 55.40 35 9
40 12.75 38 6.50 50.10 39 18.6

 

(Max 3)
       
 DriverStartMakeCar Fanduel DraftKingsBreakDown
UPGRADEBothUPGRADE
UPGRADEBothUPGRADE
UPGRADEBothUPGRADE
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Ma. TruexToyota19 $11500 $11400UPGRADE
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Br. KeselowskiFord2 $13500 $10800UPGRADE
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Ry. BlaneyFord12 $11000 $9800UPGRADE
Ch. BellToyota95 $8000 $7300UPGRADE
UPGRADEBothUPGRADE
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Ty. DillonChevrolet13 $6000 $6000UPGRADE
UPGRADEBothUPGRADE
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Ch. BuescherFord17 $6700 $7200UPGRADE