The second two-mile track of the season is up next this Sunday in the form of Michigan International Speedway set in the Irish Hills of Michigan. MIS, as it’s abbreviated, is a sister track of Auto Club Speedway in nearly every way, though this one is slightly more banked in the turns (18 degrees) and Auto Club is (14 degrees).

It’s long been known as the fastest non-plate track on the schedule because it’s layout always for drivers to carry speed solidly through a lap and just keep building on it as the lap continues. This week there will be the 550-horsepower/aero ducts package in place like it has been for six other races not including Talladega this season. Even with the reduced horsepower, the cars should still be faster here than at other tracks that this package has been used at.

There are 400 laps to Sunday’s race with the stages lasting 60, 60, and 80 laps respectively.

Starting Positions of Winners

Starting Pos.Races WonStarting Pos.Races Won
121131
28152
311172
412181
56193
61202
76243
84251
92271
103281
113321
124  

This is the 100th race at Michigan and of the previous 99, 52 winners have come from the top-four starting spots in the grid. Nine winners have come from P20 or worse in the starting grid though as well showing that pit strategy and passing are possible to launch you up through the field here. The last pole sitter to win was Kyle Larson in 2017.

Track Breakdown

Drivers To Watch This Week

Last Five FireKeepers Casino 400s

  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Joey Logano56.68.251.613555
Kurt Busch513117.85.212355
Kyle Larson512.41011.4112334
Clint Bowyer519.213145.211333
Jimmie Johnson512.815.213.2-0.411225
Kevin Harvick59.47.810.4-103344
Brad Keselowski57.67.470.602445
Chase Elliott3118.34.36.702333
Paul Menard519.817.411.48.402334
Martin Truex Jr59.215.215.2-601234
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Kyle Busch5820.627-1901222
Denny Hamlin512.214.217.8-5.601133
Austin Dillon513.615.619.8-6.200123
Ryan Blaney46.311.318.5-12.200112
Ricky Stenhouse Jr520.622.623.6-300111
Ryan Newman516.615.416.20.400034
Erik Jones2111714-300022
William Byron114913100011
Ty Dillon427.821.519.8800012
Aric Almirola416.520.822.5-600011
Bubba Wallace22722.519800002
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Michael McDowell222.525.524-1.500000
Chris Buescher321.322.726.7-5.400001
Daniel Suarez22121.527-600000
Corey LaJoie2323128.53.500000
Landon Cassill533.631312.600000
Alex Bowman33031.732.3-2.300001
David Ragan528.43132.4-400000
Matt DiBenedetto4333434.3-1.300000
Garrett Smithley1393839000000
Bayley Currey0000000000
Cody Ware0000000000
Daniel Hemric0000000000
Matt Tifft0000000000
Quin Houff0000000000
Ryan Preece0000000000

 

  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. DriverLaps
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceRateRatingComp.
Joey Logano517434.8651386%111.4871
Kurt Busch56813.6193.873%98.9871
Kyle Larson510721.45911.879%104871
Clint Bowyer581.6214.265%86.6871
Jimmie Johnson5438.6479.451%86.2870
Kevin Harvick5175358617.283%113.9870
Brad Keselowski5224.4265.296%105.8871
Chase Elliott33511.7361293%106.6533
Paul Menard540.830.639%79.2871
Martin Truex Jr57214.47314.666%89.2867
  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. DriverLaps
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceRateRatingComp.
Kyle Busch5408397.856%86.4606
Denny Hamlin500132.662%85857
Austin Dillon520.40060%73.9866
Ryan Blaney4153.8317.879%89.9670
Ricky Stenhouse Jr5001023%61.7867
Ryan Newman510.210.253%78.8871
Erik Jones20094.556%78.4333
William Byron10000100%95.5133
Ty Dillon4004123%62.2671
Aric Almirola40020.534%69.3667
Bubba Wallace200003%58.9333
  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. DriverLaps
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceRateRatingComp.
Michael McDowell200000%48.8333
Chris Buescher30020.73%55.3527
Daniel Suarez2000019%62.4332
Corey LaJoie200000%37.3330
Landon Cassill50010.23%40.3862
Alex Bowman300007%42.8386
David Ragan50010.21%43765
Matt DiBenedetto400000%33.5651
Garrett Smithley100000%23.21
Bayley Currey00000000
Cody Ware00000000
Daniel Hemric00000000
Matt Tifft00000000
Quin Houff00000000
Ryan Preece00000000

Top-20 Drivers Over Last 10 Races at Michigan

  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Kyle Larson1014.71313.21.534568
Kevin Harvick1076.47.5-0.517799
Joey Logano105.78.48.3-2.614999
Kurt Busch1014.311.311.92.412489
Clint Bowyer1018.115.919.2-1.111455
Jimmie Johnson1014.515.516.7-2.211448
Brad Keselowski109.47.77.42048810
Chase Elliott610.79.55.35.403666
Martin Truex Jr1014.114.915.1-103468
Paul Menard1019.416.514.15.303458
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Denny Hamlin109.811.813.4-3.602578
Austin Dillon1011.914.215.2-3.302457
Kyle Busch109.419.521.7-12.302456
Ryan Blaney88.911.415.3-6.402345
Ryan Newman1015.314.813.61.701279
Erik Jones48.51411-2.501144
Aric Almirola9202018.71.300145
Ricky Stenhouse Jr1019.621.422.2-2.600124
Chris Buescher621.324.523.5-2.200113
Ty Dillon628.523.5235.500012

 

  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. Driver
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceDriverRating
Kyle Larson101501510410.472%97
Kevin Harvick1033133.121721.789%119.6
Joey Logano1028528.510910.987%107.8
Kurt Busch10717.1272.772%93.6
Clint Bowyer1090.9272.758%82.4
Jimmie Johnson1011411.4949.449%84.8
Brad Keselowski1014314.3828.293%106.9
Chase Elliott666117712.8386%104.5
Martin Truex Jr1016116.118218.265%90.6
Paul Menard1040.480.849%79.5
  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. Driver
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceDriverRating
Denny Hamlin10292.9323.277%91.4
Austin Dillon10272.730363%81.9
Kyle Busch10868.6989.855%84.3
Ryan Blaney8151.88455.6373%92.7
Ryan Newman10282.830.356%81.2
Erik Jones451.2520561%87
Aric Almirola930.3340.4432%71.1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr100040.425%63.4
Chris Buescher60030.58%55.3
Ty Dillon60040.6715%57.3

Top-20 Drivers at Similar Races (Auto Club, Kansas, Michigan)

  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Kevin Harvick207.25.46.70.5412151919
Brad Keselowski209.89.68.51.338151719
Kyle Larson201611.814.11.937101214
Martin Truex Jr2011.18.683.129131720
Jimmie Johnson2017.515.316.60.9236714
Chase Elliott1715.311.59.65.717131415
Kyle Busch197.511.212.2-4.717131416
Joey Logano2010.110.212.4-2.316131515
Kurt Busch1911.410.68.82.616121619
Clint Bowyer2019.516181.51461012
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTop
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520
Denny Hamlin206.911.716-9.10571215
Ryan Blaney1912.81115.8-3.00571012
Erik Jones121213.312.3-0.30351010
Austin Dillon2014.216.215.2-1.00261116
Ryan Newman2012.515.618.7-6.20141012
Paul Menard2018.519.419.5-1.0013713
Alex Bowman1217.820.719.3-1.501348
Aric Almirola1919.818.917.22.60051213
Chris Buescher1722.622.620.91.700448
Ricky Stenhouse Jr2014.718.519.4-4.7002713

  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. Driver
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceDriverRating
Kevin Harvick20141370.773536.892%124.2
Brad Keselowski2029114.627313.788%102
Kyle Larson2039819.925212.674%96.3
Martin Truex Jr205802949824.985%108
Jimmie Johnson20200101698.552%81.8
Chase Elliott171599.420111.877%96.6
Kyle Busch1933817.831816.777%99.4
Joey Logano2038819.422511.380%98.3
Kurt Busch191789.4723.876%95.8
Clint Bowyer20251.3834.258%78.5
  LapsLaps LedFastestFast LapsTop-15Avg. Driver
Driver#Led/RaceLaps/RaceDriverRating
Denny Hamlin20753.8100577%87.9
Ryan Blaney1920510.819110.174%91.9
Erik Jones1270.6615.168%86.1
Austin Dillon20311.6351.855%77.6
Ryan Newman20341.7613.159%78.9
Paul Menard2040.2281.433%69.1
Alex Bowman12635.360536%71.3
Aric Almirola19392.1351.841%72
Chris Buescher17100.6140.815%59.8
Ricky Stenhouse Jr20231.2422.138%71.2

Team Averages at Michigan

 Avg.  TopTop
DriverFinishRacesWins510
Team Penske10.210037
Chip Ganassi Racing11.58235
Stewart-Haas Racing12.5616246
Joe Gibbs Racing14.3116036
Wood Brothers Racing15.254011
Richard Childress Racing16.410023
Hendrick Motorsports16.9416016

Momentum

Driver

Driver Momentum
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTopLapsFastestLapsAvg. Driver
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520LedLapsComp.Rating
Martin Truex Jr519.613.215.24.422224259170134999.3
Chase Elliott513.67.23.610155552791031419113.7
Kyle Busch511.48.210.80.6124441641521416109.1
Brad Keselowski58.68.69.4-0.812245160691416102.8
Alex Bowman59.495.63.80345595811419102.8
Joey Logano5131276024555334141892.9
Erik Jones513.615.614.2-0.602334434104185.4
Clint Bowyer55.214.614.4-9.2023331427141084.7
Kevin Harvick58.413.817.4-901233119123124194.9
Kyle Larson5161118.8-2.8012223642133289.4
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTopLapsFastestLapsAvg. Driver
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520LedLapsComp.Rating
Daniel Hemric515.618.816.4-0.8011231014141068.6
Ricky Stenhouse Jr513.414.821.2-7.8011222714139080.2
Ryan Preece526.825.4224.80111106135154
William Byron56.411.213.4-7003346535141890.7
Aric Almirola511.412.611.6-0.2002452720141888.8
Kurt Busch514.813.812.8200244723141481.3
Jimmie Johnson513.616.616-2.400234413140875
Chris Buescher5251816.68.400233106140974.6
Daniel Suarez515.815.812.63.2001453044141876.4
Brendan Gaughn12923821001115718867.7
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTopLapsFastestLapsAvg. Driver
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520LedLapsComp.Rating
Tyler Reddick12116912001110127178.1
Ryan Newman520.218.2164.200114015141570.4
Denny Hamlin513.618.819.2-5.6001132234130770.9
Ryan Blaney513.412.417.4-400044633141184.8
Corey LaJoie528.626.4226.60002205131852.6
Paul Menard515.216.217.8-2.600014014141672.4
David Ragan524.22424.2000011315140556.2
Austin Dillon59.219.624.2-150001308119966.4
Ty Dillon525.42323.420000175140957.4
Michael McDowell525.227.426.4-1.20000115123246.8
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTopLapsFastestLapsAvg. Driver
Driver#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520LedLapsComp.Rating
Parker Kligerman234.52826.58000000858248.5
Bubba Wallace523.428.428.2-4.80000001122847.1
Matt Tifft526.429.628.6-2.20000112119440.9
Matt DiBenedetto522.42328.6-6.200002118104756.5
Reed Sorenson53532.229.25.80000106135236.2
Ross Chastain532.83029.43.400000106113740.7
Bayley Currey33031.731-1000000066735.8
Quin Houff433.833.331.82000000098431.9
Justin Haley13822326000000818068.5
BJ McLeod23533332000000249135.7
JJ Yeley13735343000000011028.2
Landon Cassill532.83434-1.20000001106633.1
Joey Gase24036.5355000000159227.6
Stanton Barrett13933354000000113232.3
Cody Ware434.835.835-0.2000000286330.1
Timmy Hill13939390000000225726.5

Team

Team Momentum
  Avg.RunAvg.Pos. TopTopTopTopLapsFastest
Team#StartPos.FinishDiff.W5101520LedLaps
Joe Gibbs Racing2014.61414.9-0.336101015449390
Hendrick Motorsports2010.8119.71.118141618443232
Team Penske1511.71111.30.41461314219136
Stewart-Haas Racing2010.214.214-3.80381416190214
Chip Ganassi Racing1015.412.415.8-0.4014664365
JTG Daugherty Racing1025.921.719.36.6013441012
Roush Fenway Racing1016.816.518.6-1.8012362729
Richard Childress Racing1012.419.220.3-7.9011361022
Front Row Motorsports1525.32726.4-1.100013522

DraftKings Scoring Averages at FireKeepers Casino 400s

Driver20182017201620152014Last 2 AvgLast 5 AvgDK Seas. Avg.
Kyle Busch4060-25.5-32-2350.003.9067.78
Brad Keselowski392556.5384832.0041.3052.81
Kevin Harvick68.7527.56512.2576.2548.1349.9548.46
Martin Truex Jr2674.530.551.5-1450.2533.7053.1
Chase Elliott4051.574.25  45.7555.2551.47
Joey Logano364510648.2546.7540.5056.4052.56
Kyle Larson15.2585.548.7532.2545.550.3845.4534.26
Kurt Busch5735417330.546.0047.3043.93
Ryan Blaney52.75116.52 26.8818.0636.19
Denny Hamlin30.544.5-1635.51537.5021.9038.57
Clint Bowyer64-3325642.530.5038.3035.03
Driver20182017201620152014Last 2 AvgLast 5 AvgDK Seas. Avg.
Alex Bowman33  -10533.009.3335.64
Erik Jones2236.5   29.2529.2531.26
Aric Almirola29 2226-1429.0015.7535.63
Jimmie Johnson243734.51677.7530.5037.8531.71
Daniel Suarez616   11.0011.0036.97
William Byron32    32.0032.0027.94
Ryan Newman113328.2531.53822.0028.3532.29
Ricky Stenhouse Jr-749-1.5272021.0017.5025.69
Chris Buescher14-427  5.0012.3327.81
Paul Menard50.253040.25454240.1341.5027.88
Ryan Preece       25.38
Driver20182017201620152014Last 2 AvgLast 5 AvgDK Seas. Avg.
Austin Dillon32836113.520.0018.1023.82
Ty Dillon33411740 37.0032.7528.3
Matt DiBenedetto21679 9.008.5022.28
David Ragan-51535.5-815.007.7019.95
Michael McDowell1720   18.5018.5015.17
Daniel Hemric       18.62
Bubba Wallace3432   33.0033.0018.43
Corey LaJoie2216   19.0019.0023.25
Matt Tifft       19.55
Landon Cassill16162211.51316.0015.7015.73
Quin Houff       16.62
Bayley Currey       15.31
Garrett Smithley5    5.005.0011.5
Cody Ware       11.88

FanDuel Scoring Average at FireKeepers Casino 400s

Driver20182017201620152014Last 2 AvgLast 5 AvgFD Seas. Avg.
Kyle Busch49.856.5-9.3-10.34.453.1518.2267.72
Brad Keselowski46.343.263.547.959.944.7552.1661.69
Kevin Harvick59.245.56818.565.852.3551.4057.70
Martin Truex Jr35.859.24554.813.147.5041.5861.19
Chase Elliott47.36467.5  55.6559.6063.05
Joey Logano46.36076.853.554.953.1558.3065.21
Kyle Larson25.472.660.13855.249.0050.2649.20
Kurt Busch54.950.554.568.947.152.7055.1862.09
Ryan Blaney48.326.53821.2 37.4033.5052.52
Denny Hamlin41.357.512.344.831.849.4037.5457.59
Clint Bowyer62.623.543.555.853.543.0547.7854.94
Driver20182017201620152014Last 2 AvgLast 5 AvgFD Seas. Avg.
Alex Bowman40.8  2.918.440.8020.7054.58
Erik Jones35.848.5   42.1542.1550.36
Aric Almirola40.8 3734.716.240.8032.1853.52
Jimmie Johnson34.352.545.430.269.943.4046.4654.70
Daniel Suarez20.235   27.6027.6056.01
William Byron41.8    41.8041.8050.99
Ryan Newman26.84847.639.350.537.4042.4454.87
Ricky Stenhouse Jr14.359.523.433.735.336.9033.2450.68
Chris Buescher27.318.442  22.8529.2351.54
Paul Menard54.64350.151.357.548.8051.3052.04
Ryan Preece       48.41
Driver20182017201620152014Last 2 AvgLast 5 AvgFD Seas. Avg.
Austin Dillon41.329.45328.225.435.3535.4647.78
Ty Dillon38.349.535.544.8 43.9042.0351.76
Matt DiBenedetto15.132.92417.6 24.0022.4044.65
David Ragan131.845.511.120.116.4021.9045.61
Michael McDowell28.337.5   32.9032.9038.43
Daniel Hemric       44.04
Bubba Wallace39.845.5   42.6542.6542.31
Corey LaJoie29.831.7   30.7530.7544.83
Matt Tifft       42.01
Landon Cassill24.230.637.522.727.727.4028.5436.96
Quin Houff       39.79
Bayley Currey       39.75
Garrett Smithley2.1    2.102.1032.90
Cody Ware       27.27

Weekly Rankings (1=Best, 40=Worst)

Race History, Michigan History, Track Type History columns are ranked on average finish in those spans. DK and FD average columns are ranked from highest scoring to lowest scoring in those spans.

DriverDK$FD $Race HistoryDK Avg L2FD Avg L2DK Avg L5FD Avg L5Michigan HistoryTrack Type History
Kyle Busch$11,800$15,50023323029186
Brad Keselowski$11,200$13,000313107423
Kevin Harvick$10,700$14,0005453531
Martin Truex Jr$10,400$14,50012291015112
Chase Elliott$10,000$12,5001612115
Joey Logano$9,700$13,5002721248
Kyle Larson$9,500$12,0006175779
Kurt Busch$9,300$10,7004544364
Ryan Blaney$9,100$11,00015191920181311
Denny Hamlin$8,900$11,50014961616812
DriverDK$FD $Race HistoryDK Avg L2FD Avg L2DK Avg L5FD Avg L5Michigan HistoryTrack Type History
Clint Bowyer$8,700$10,800101513881615
Alex Bowman$8,500$10,50027111726282518
Erik Jones$8,300$10,000101715141257
Aric Almirola$8,100$9,50019181722211514
Jimmie Johnson$7,900$9,70091512991413
Daniel Suarez$7,700$9,30023262525252322
William Byron$7,600$8,8008131613142227
Ryan Newman$7,500$8,0001320191511916
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,300$8,50020212121191919
Chris Buescher$7,200$7,30022282824232121
DriverDK$FD $Race HistoryDK Avg L2FD Avg L2DK Avg L5FD Avg L5Michigan HistoryTrack Type History
Paul Menard$7,100$7,500688661020
Ryan Preece$6,900$5,50040313131314031
Austin Dillon$6,800$8,30017222219171210
Ty Dillon$6,700$6,50017101112132023
Matt DiBenedetto$6,500$6,00029272727262729
David Ragan$6,300$5,50028282928272526
Michael McDowell$6,200$5,00021242318202428
Daniel Hemric$6,000$7,00040313131314017
Bubba Wallace$5,800$4,50016111411101725
Corey LaJoie$5,700$4,50025232417222930
Matt Tifft$5,500$4,00040313131314024
Landon Cassill$5,300$3,00026252623242832
Quin Houff$5,200$2,50040313131314034
Bayley Currey$5,100$2,50040313131314033
Garrett Smithley$5,000$2,50030283029303035
Cody Ware$4,900$2,00040313131314036