The hype and unpredictability of last week’s Roval race has paced but that doesn’t mean the track gets easier this week. The nickname for the track should give away its danger as it’s known as the Monster Mile. Dover is a 1-mile track that is entirely concrete for the racing surface and a pretty steeply banked one at that.
Miles the Monster stands outside the entrance to the track in the outskirts of downtown Dover, Delaware and in his outstretched hand sits a car about to be crushed, which is fitting given the 24-degree turns and nine-degree straights that are unyielding in their difficultly lap-after-lap. The track is fairly narrow which also leads to congestion and tricky passing attempts that can cause chaos throughout the race.
Those that know how to navigate it however can make it look easy at times with seven drivers averaging over a 100 average driver rating in the last five races here and all but one of those has led more than 100 laps in that span as well. Position differential can be a fickle thing at this track with just four drivers achieving a mark better than +6.0 in the last five races. Only two drivers have at least four top-fives in that span and only one has five top-10s. There have been five different drivers to win in the last five races here which all lends more credence to the thoughts of unpredictability at the mid-Atlantic track.
This race is the first one in the Round of 12 after Jimmie Johnson, Austin Dillon, Denny Hamlin, and Erik Jones were all eliminated last week after a hectic last few laps that saw multiple incidents and Kyle Larson driving a car ready for the car compacter to the finish line. Spots 4-12 in the standings are separated by just -25 points and 5-12 are 15 points apart making this race another important separation chance with the cream getting a chance to raise to the top.
Track Breakdown
Last Five Races at Dover International Speedway
| Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Laps | |||
| Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Led |
| Martin Truex Jr | 5 | 3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 387 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 5 | 15.8 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 106 |
| Matt Kenseth | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | 7.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 48 |
| Kyle Busch | 5 | 2.6 | 8.4 | 16.8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 151 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 7.2 | 12.6 | 15.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 318 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 11.2 | 8.2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 138 |
| Kyle Larson | 5 | 8.8 | 12.4 | 8.8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 463 |
| Kurt Busch | 5 | 9.6 | 15.6 | 16.4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 9.4 | 11.6 | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 203 |
| Daniel Suarez | 3 | 5 | 9.7 | 5.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Clint Bowyer | 5 | 22.6 | 19.4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 40 |
| Ryan Newman | 3 | 13.8 | 17.4 | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| Jamie McMurray | 5 | 21 | 15.8 | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 15.6 | 18.8 | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 17.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Austin Dillon | 5 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 3 | 11.8 | 19.8 | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| Erik Jones | 3 | 9.3 | 13.3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Aric Almirola | 4 | 17.3 | 20.5 | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ty Dillon | 1 | 27.5 | 24.5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| William Byron | 1 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Paul Menard | 3 | 22.6 | 24.6 | 25.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael McDowell | 5 | 28.8 | 26.3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| AJ Allmendinger | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Chris Buescher | 5 | 22.6 | 24.6 | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| David Ragan | 5 | 30.4 | 27 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ross Chastain | 5 | 33 | 31 | 28.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Landon Cassill | 5 | 31.4 | 29.4 | 28.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Bowman | 1 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| JJ Yeley | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bubba Wallace | 1 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gray Gaulding | 2 | 33.5 | 29.5 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 4 | 30.6 | 31.4 | 31.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | 4 | 38.5 | 35 | 33.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Timmy Hill | 4 | 36 | 35.3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Regan Smith | 5 | 32 | 30 | 34.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey LaJoie | 2 | 37.5 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BJ McLeod | 1 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fast | Top 15 | Laps | Avg. | High | Low | Pos | Laps Led | High to | Low to | |
| Driver | Laps | Rate | Comp. | Rating | Rating | Rating | Diff | Pts./Race | Avg Rating | Avg Rating |
| Martin Truex Jr | 245 | 97% | 2006 | 124.3 | 143.2 | 112.8 | -1.20 | 19.35 | 18.9 | 11.5 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 169 | 91% | 1992 | 104.4 | 121.9 | 75 | 6.80 | 5.30 | 17.5 | 29.4 |
| Matt Kenseth | 49 | 87% | 1606 | 107.6 | 126.6 | 86.9 | -2.00 | 3.00 | 19 | 20.7 |
| Kyle Busch | 157 | 83% | 1830 | 104.2 | 125.1 | 76.8 | -14.20 | 7.55 | 20.9 | 27.4 |
| Kevin Harvick | 251 | 71% | 1958 | 103.9 | 144.3 | 54.1 | -8.60 | 15.90 | 40.4 | 49.8 |
| Chase Elliott | 79 | 95% | 2006 | 104.4 | 129.8 | 91.7 | 6.20 | 6.90 | 25.4 | 12.7 |
| Kyle Larson | 180 | 62% | 2000 | 103 | 141.9 | 58.7 | 0.00 | 23.15 | 38.9 | 44.3 |
| Kurt Busch | 35 | 68% | 1689 | 81.4 | 108.1 | 49.7 | -6.80 | 0.00 | 26.7 | 31.7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 96 | 79% | 1666 | 95.7 | 119.7 | 45.4 | -3.40 | 10.15 | 24 | 50.3 |
| Daniel Suarez | 8 | 95% | 1206 | 96.9 | 105.3 | 91.3 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 8.4 | 5.6 |
| Clint Bowyer | 41 | 40% | 1985 | 76.7 | 108.9 | 49.8 | 7.60 | 2.00 | 32.2 | 26.9 |
| Ryan Newman | 28 | 46% | 1977 | 74.5 | 88.1 | 50.9 | -2.80 | 0.08 | 13.6 | 23.6 |
| Denny Hamlin | 39 | 76% | 1979 | 90.3 | 101.3 | 80 | -5.40 | 0.75 | 11 | 10.3 |
| Jamie McMurray | 11 | 55% | 1792 | 73.7 | 89.2 | 56 | 2.40 | 0.10 | 15.5 | 17.7 |
| Ryan Blaney | 18 | 49% | 1851 | 78 | 100 | 61.7 | -6.20 | 0.00 | 22 | 16.3 |
| Joey Logano | 32 | 70% | 1992 | 83.8 | 107 | 68.6 | 1.60 | 0.15 | 23.2 | 15.2 |
| Austin Dillon | 50 | 40% | 1944 | 70.7 | 93.8 | 53.4 | -2.00 | 0.00 | 23.1 | 17.3 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 14 | 35% | 1659 | 66 | 79.8 | 37.6 | -7.80 | 2.25 | 13.8 | 28.4 |
| Erik Jones | 19 | 62% | 1204 | 83.3 | 96 | 69.1 | -5.70 | 0.00 | 12.7 | 14.2 |
| Aric Almirola | 28 | 23% | 1548 | 66.9 | 78.3 | 57.9 | -3.50 | 0.00 | 11.4 | 9 |
| Ty Dillon | 11 | 9% | 1589 | 55.5 | 76.4 | 42.8 | 4.50 | 6.75 | 20.9 | 12.7 |
| William Byron | 0 | 55% | 399 | 72.5 | 72.5 | 72.5 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Paul Menard | 4 | 4% | 1888 | 56.8 | 68.3 | 49.7 | -2.60 | 0.00 | 11.5 | 7.1 |
| Michael McDowell | 0 | 1% | 1593 | 49.8 | 56.2 | 46.7 | 6.80 | 0.20 | 6.4 | 3.1 |
| AJ Allmendinger | 7 | 9% | 1983 | 58.4 | 62.5 | 53.7 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Chris Buescher | 1 | 2% | 1984 | 53.5 | 60.7 | 44.2 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 7.2 | 9.3 |
| David Ragan | 6 | 3% | 1974 | 46.7 | 58.5 | 40.2 | 5.40 | 0.00 | 11.8 | 6.5 |
| Ross Chastain | 5 | 0% | 1144 | 40.5 | 45.6 | 35.6 | 4.30 | 0.00 | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| Landon Cassill | 0 | 1% | 1824 | 42.4 | 47.8 | 35.4 | 2.60 | 0.00 | 5.4 | 7 |
| Alex Bowman | 28 | 20% | 397 | 82.3 | 82.3 | 82.3 | -8.00 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Yeley | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Bubba Wallace | 4 | 0% | 396 | 49.9 | 49.9 | 49.9 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gray Gaulding | 0 | 1% | 788 | 37.2 | 40.7 | 33.7 | 6.50 | 0.00 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 12 | 0% | 1691 | 39.5 | 41.9 | 36 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | 0 | 0% | 1486 | 29.4 | 34.1 | 26.2 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| Timmy Hill | 0 | 1% | 823 | 30.8 | 35 | 24.8 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 4.2 | 6 |
| Regan Smith | 8 | 5% | 859 | 41.4 | 52 | 31.1 | -2.70 | 0.00 | ||
| Corey LaJoie | 0 | 0% | 409 | 28.4 | 32.7 | 24 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| BJ McLeod | 0 | 0% | 372 | 26.7 | 26.7 | 26.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Top-15 Drivers Over Last 10 Races at Dover
| Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Laps | |||
| Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Led |
| Jimmie Johnson | 10 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 9.2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 644 |
| Kevin Harvick | 10 | 7.8 | 10.2 | 11.8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 1011 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 10 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 6.6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 518 |
| Matt Kenseth | 9 | 7.1 | 7 | 10.1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 129 |
| Kyle Busch | 10 | 5.4 | 9.1 | 17.9 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 288 |
| Kyle Larson | 9 | 8.7 | 11.2 | 8.1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 463 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 11.2 | 8.2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 138 |
| Brad Keselowski | 10 | 8.5 | 11.9 | 13.3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 310 |
| Clint Bowyer | 10 | 19.1 | 15 | 12.1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 48 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 12.8 | 10.7 | 11.7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| Aric Almirola | 9 | 17.9 | 19.6 | 17.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Kurt Busch | 10 | 12.3 | 14.8 | 18.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Denny Hamlin | 10 | 7 | 11.4 | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 133 |
| Jamie McMurray | 10 | 15.8 | 14.8 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| Ryan Newman | 10 | 12.9 | 16.5 | 16.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| Fast | Top 15 | Laps | Avg. | High | Low | Pos. | Laps Led | Rating | |
| Driver | Laps | Rate | Comp. | Rating | Rating | Rating | Diff. | Pts/Race | Range |
| Jimmie Johnson | 453 | 86% | 3961 | 113 | 148.3 | 72.8 | 2.60 | 16.10 | 75.5 |
| Kevin Harvick | 549 | 77% | 3961 | 111.4 | 149.7 | 54.1 | -4.00 | 25.28 | 95.6 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 323 | 79% | 4010 | 109.8 | 143.2 | 82.7 | 1.20 | 12.95 | 60.5 |
| Matt Kenseth | 140 | 91% | 3552 | 108.4 | 126.6 | 86.9 | -3.00 | 3.58 | 39.7 |
| Kyle Busch | 276 | 84% | 3529 | 105.4 | 125.1 | 76.8 | -12.50 | 7.20 | 48.3 |
| Kyle Larson | 215 | 73% | 3605 | 100.8 | 141.9 | 58.7 | 0.60 | 12.86 | 83.2 |
| Chase Elliott | 79 | 95% | 2006 | 104.4 | 129.8 | 91.7 | 6.20 | 6.90 | 38.1 |
| Brad Keselowski | 197 | 72% | 3625 | 96 | 130 | 45.4 | -4.80 | 7.75 | 84.6 |
| Clint Bowyer | 109 | 59% | 3990 | 86.8 | 108.9 | 49.8 | 7.00 | 1.20 | 59.1 |
| Joey Logano | 60 | 82% | 3997 | 92.7 | 108.3 | 68.6 | 1.10 | 0.08 | 39.7 |
| Aric Almirola | 50 | 33% | 3547 | 72.5 | 91.1 | 56.3 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 34.8 |
| Kurt Busch | 94 | 64% | 3680 | 82 | 108.1 | 49.7 | -6.40 | 0.00 | 58.4 |
| Denny Hamlin | 82 | 73% | 3978 | 90.9 | 103 | 75 | -7.20 | 3.33 | 28 |
| Jamie McMurray | 25 | 60% | 3795 | 80.2 | 99.5 | 56 | 0.80 | 0.08 | 43.5 |
| Ryan Newman | 61 | 44% | 3965 | 77.9 | 106.7 | 50.9 | -3.80 | 0.18 | 55.8 |
Top-15 Drivers Over Last 20 Races at Similar Tracks (Dover and Bristol)
| Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Laps | |||
| Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Led |
| Jimmie Johnson | 20 | 12.9 | 10.4 | 8.8 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 769 |
| Kevin Harvick | 20 | 11.6 | 9.6 | 12.2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 1461 |
| Kyle Busch | 19 | 5.5 | 11.4 | 20.3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 1090 |
| Matt Kenseth | 17 | 7.7 | 10 | 13.6 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 556 |
| Joey Logano | 20 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 11.5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 477 |
| Kurt Busch | 20 | 12.6 | 14.1 | 17.5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 191 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 20 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 15.3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 634 |
| Kyle Larson | 19 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 11.6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 1042 |
| Chase Elliott | 11 | 9.5 | 10.6 | 9.2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 266 |
| Clint Bowyer | 20 | 19.1 | 15.6 | 12.2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 173 |
| Denny Hamlin | 20 | 7.6 | 12.6 | 14.1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 252 |
| Brad Keselowski | 20 | 8 | 14.4 | 17.2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 467 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 20 | 17.1 | 19 | 16.1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 27 |
| Aric Almirola | 19 | 21 | 20.3 | 19.6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 2 |
| Ryan Newman | 20 | 14.9 | 15.4 | 14.5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 18 |
| Fast | Top 15 | Laps | Avg. | High | Low | Pos | Laps Led | Rating | |
| Driver | Laps | Rate | Comp. | Rating | Rating | Rating | Diff. | Pts./Race | Range |
| Jimmie Johnson | 675 | 79% | 8972 | 105.4 | 148.3 | 72.8 | 4.10 | 9.61 | 75.5 |
| Kevin Harvick | 1026 | 81% | 8879 | 110.5 | 149.7 | 54.1 | -0.60 | 18.26 | 95.6 |
| Kyle Busch | 655 | 74% | 7462 | 103 | 133.2 | 66.6 | -14.80 | 14.34 | 66.6 |
| Matt Kenseth | 334 | 81% | 7009 | 103.5 | 129.8 | 59.1 | -5.90 | 8.18 | 70.7 |
| Joey Logano | 247 | 77% | 8949 | 97 | 137.8 | 41.6 | -1.30 | 5.96 | 96.2 |
| Kurt Busch | 239 | 65% | 8524 | 85.8 | 113.1 | 49.7 | -4.90 | 2.39 | 63.4 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 509 | 62% | 8861 | 95 | 143.2 | 36.4 | -3.50 | 7.93 | 106.8 |
| Kyle Larson | 585 | 74% | 8432 | 100.8 | 141.9 | 58.7 | 0.10 | 13.71 | 83.2 |
| Chase Elliott | 198 | 81% | 4978 | 97.8 | 130.5 | 37.3 | 0.30 | 6.05 | 93.2 |
| Clint Bowyer | 186 | 56% | 8971 | 83.2 | 121.1 | 35.8 | 6.90 | 2.16 | 85.3 |
| Denny Hamlin | 223 | 71% | 8645 | 91.4 | 120.2 | 48.5 | -6.50 | 3.15 | 71.7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 339 | 66% | 8495 | 87.5 | 130 | 38.6 | -9.20 | 5.84 | 91.4 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 175 | 39% | 8365 | 74.7 | 98.9 | 37.6 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 61.3 |
| Aric Almirola | 111 | 32% | 7975 | 70.3 | 101.9 | 43.1 | 1.40 | 0.03 | 58.8 |
| Ryan Newman | 103 | 54% | 8966 | 80.1 | 106.7 | 50.9 | 0.40 | 0.23 | 55.8 |
Momentum
| Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Pos | Avg. | |||
| Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Diff. | Rating |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 12.8 | 8.2 | 8.6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.2 | 110.1 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 9.8 | 13.4 | 10.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -0.4 | 88.6 |
| Kyle Busch | 5 | 7 | 9.6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 100 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 11.6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1.8 | 106.5 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -0.2 | 98.7 |
| Kyle Larson | 5 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 10.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3.4 | 114.3 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | 13.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 100.3 |
| Clint Bowyer | 5 | 14.2 | 12 | 15.4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1.2 | 92.2 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 5 | 6.4 | 12.2 | 14.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -7.8 | 104.2 |
| Kurt Busch | 5 | 5.4 | 8.8 | 11.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5.8 | 100.1 |
| Jamie McMurray | 5 | 17.2 | 14.4 | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2.4 | 83.3 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 89.5 |
| Aric Almirola | 5 | 13.2 | 14.4 | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -0.2 | 85 |
| Erik Jones | 5 | 8.2 | 15.8 | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 84.7 |
| Alex Bowman | 5 | 8.8 | 17.8 | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.4 | 75.4 |
Top-10 and Bottom-10 Driver Values
DraftKings
| Rank | Driver | Value | Rank | Driver | Value |
| 1 | Regan Smith | 5.35 | 39 | Timmy Hill | 2.69 |
| 2 | Kevin Harvick | 5.30 | 38 | BJ McLeod | 2.82 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 5.30 | 37 | Gray Gaulding | 3.05 |
| 4 | Clint Bowyer | 4.82 | 36 | Jamie McMurray | 3.06 |
| 5 | Aric Almirola | 4.60 | 35 | Corey Lajoie | 3.18 |
| 6 | Kurt Busch | 4.30 | 34 | Matt Kenseth | 3.28 |
| 7 | Martin Truex Jr | 4.29 | 33 | William Byron | 3.32 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 4.26 | 32 | Paul Menard | 3.37 |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 4.22 | 31 | Ryan Newman | 3.40 |
| 10 | David Ragan | 4.20 | 30 | Erik Jones | 3.44 |
FanDuel
| Rank | Driver | Value | Rank | Driver | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Chastain | 10.06 | 38 | Brad Keselowski | 3.96 |
| 2 | J.J. Yeley | 9.68 | 37 | Martin Truex Jr. | 4.20 |
| 3 | Landon Cassill | 9.56 | 36 | Kevin Harvick | 4.28 |
| 4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt | 9.10 | 35 | Kyle Larson | 4.40 |
| 5 | Matt DiBenedetto | 9.05 | 34 | Kyle Busch | 4.47 |
| 6 | Ty Dillon | 8.55 | 33 | Ryan Blaney | 4.62 |
| 7 | David Ragan | 8.12 | 32 | Kurt Busch | 4.64 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 7.75 | 31 | Chase Elliott | 4.68 |
| 9 | Corey LaJoie | 7.70 | 30 | Clint Bowyer | 4.69 |
| 10 | B.J. McLeod | 7.60 | 29 | Jimmie Johnson | 4.74 |
Points Changes at Dover (October 2017)
DraftKings
| 17 Race | Season | DK Pts +/- | |
| Driver | Total | Avg DK Pts. | Season AVG |
| Chase Elliott | 110 | 37.24 | 72.8 |
| Kyle Larson | 95.25 | 41.19 | 54.1 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 69.75 | 31.88 | 37.9 |
| Jamie McMurray | 55.5 | 22.95 | 32.6 |
| Brad Keselowski | 63.25 | 36.98 | 26.3 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 68.75 | 49.33 | 19.4 |
| Kyle Busch | 75.5 | 62.5 | 13.0 |
| Clint Bowyer | 55.5 | 44.83 | 10.7 |
| Austin Dillon | 37.5 | 28.08 | 9.4 |
| David Ragan | 30 | 23.1 | 6.9 |
| Ty Dillon | 29 | 22.42 | 6.6 |
| Daniel Suarez | 35 | 30.9 | 4.1 |
| Matt Kenseth | 27 | 23.3 | 3.7 |
| Ryan Newman | 30 | 26.51 | 3.5 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 22 | 20.93 | 1.1 |
| Erik Jones | 31 | 29.97 | 1.0 |
| Corey LaJoie | 13 | 15.6 | -2.6 |
| Landon Cassill | 17 | 19.6 | -2.6 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 21 | 23.65 | -2.7 |
| Michael McDowell | 20 | 22.69 | -2.7 |
| BJ McLeod | 8 | 13.27 | -5.3 |
| Joey Logano | 32.5 | 37.9 | -5.4 |
| AJ Allmendinger | 16 | 24.24 | -8.2 |
| Paul Menard | 17 | 25.93 | -8.9 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | 8 | 18.08 | -10.1 |
| Timmy Hill | -1 | 12.38 | -13.4 |
| Kevin Harvick | 48.5 | 64.18 | -15.7 |
| Ross Chastain | 2.5 | 20.23 | -17.7 |
| Kurt Busch | 20.5 | 39.09 | -18.6 |
| Chris Buescher | 6.5 | 25.63 | -19.1 |
| Ryan Blaney | 10 | 35.9 | -25.9 |
| Aric Almirola | 11 | 38.22 | -27.2 |
| Denny Hamlin | -15 | 36.55 | -51.6 |
| AVG. +/- | 16.5 |
FanDuel
| 17 Race | 18 Season | FD Pts +/- | |
| Driver | Total | Avg FD Pts. | Season AVG |
| Chase Elliott | 100.8 | 53.40 | 47.40 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 88.5 | 49.31 | 39.19 |
| Jamie McMurray | 83.5 | 45.57 | 37.93 |
| Kyle Larson | 91.7 | 55.46 | 36.24 |
| Brad Keselowski | 80.9 | 51.47 | 29.43 |
| Matt Kenseth | 69.5 | 41.24 | 28.26 |
| Clint Bowyer | 84.5 | 57.20 | 27.30 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 83.6 | 56.67 | 26.93 |
| Kyle Busch | 89.5 | 62.60 | 26.90 |
| Daniel Suarez | 74.5 | 48.34 | 26.16 |
| Ryan Newman | 71.4 | 47.71 | 23.69 |
| Austin Dillon | 71.4 | 48.30 | 23.10 |
| Ty Dillon | 65.2 | 42.75 | 22.45 |
| David Ragan | 66.2 | 44.64 | 21.56 |
| Erik Jones | 71 | 50.22 | 20.78 |
| Corey LaJoie | 50.4 | 30.81 | 19.59 |
| Michael McDowell | 58.1 | 39.55 | 18.55 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 62.9 | 44.36 | 18.54 |
| Landon Cassill | 55.4 | 38.23 | 17.17 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 56.8 | 40.74 | 16.06 |
| BJ McLeod | 45.2 | 30.39 | 14.81 |
| Joey Logano | 70.4 | 56.42 | 13.98 |
| AJ Allmendinger | 55 | 42.42 | 12.58 |
| Paul Menard | 57.1 | 44.71 | 12.39 |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | 44.3 | 36.39 | 7.91 |
| Kurt Busch | 60.3 | 54.34 | 5.96 |
| Chris Buescher | 49.4 | 44.97 | 4.43 |
| Ryan Blaney | 54.7 | 50.77 | 3.93 |
| Kevin Harvick | 62.9 | 62.00 | 0.90 |
| Aric Almirola | 53.1 | 53.60 | -0.50 |
| Ross Chastain | 37.8 | 40.24 | -2.44 |
| Denny Hamlin | 31.9 | 53.57 | -21.67 |
| Timmy Hill | 5.4 | 29.39 | -23.99 |
| AVG. +/- | 19.78 |
Salary Changes at Dover
DraftKings
| DK Salary | DK Salary | Price | |
| Driver | AAA 400 | Gander 400 | Difference |
| AJ Allmendinger | 6400 | 6500 | 100 |
| Alex Bowman | 6900 | 7300 | 400 |
| Aric Almirola | 8600 | 8300 | -300 |
| Austin Dillon | 7800 | 6900 | -900 |
| Brad Keselowski | 10400 | 10700 | 300 |
| Bubba Wallace | 5800 | 5900 | 100 |
| Chase Elliott | 9300 | 9900 | 600 |
| Chris Buescher | 5600 | 6300 | 700 |
| Clint Bowyer | 8800 | 9300 | 500 |
| Corey Lajoie | 5000 | 4900 | -100 |
| Daniel Suarez | 7100 | 8000 | 900 |
| David Ragan | 5300 | 5500 | 200 |
| Denny Hamlin | 9900 | 9600 | -300 |
| Erik Jones | 8200 | 8700 | 500 |
| Gray Gaulding | 4600 | 5000 | 400 |
| Jamie McMurray | 7400 | 7500 | 100 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 9000 | 8200 | -800 |
| Joey Logano | 9500 | 8900 | -600 |
| Kevin Harvick | 11000 | 12100 | 1100 |
| Kurt Busch | 8400 | 9100 | 700 |
| Kyle Busch | 11600 | 11800 | 200 |
| Kyle Larson | 10200 | 10200 | 0 |
| Landon Cassill | 5100 | 5200 | 100 |
| Martin Truex Jr | 10800 | 11500 | 700 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 5200 | 5300 | 100 |
| Michael McDowell | 5500 | 5600 | 100 |
| Paul Menard | 6800 | 7700 | 900 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 7600 | 6000 | -1600 |
| Ross Chastain | 4900 | 5400 | 500 |
| Ryan Blaney | 8900 | 8500 | -400 |
| Ryan Newman | 8000 | 7800 | -200 |
| Ty Dillon | 5900 | 5700 | -200 |
| William Byron | 6600 | 6700 | 100 |
FanDuel
| FD Salary | FD Salary | Price | |
| Driver | AAA 400 | Gander 400 | Difference |
| AJ Allmendinger | 7100 | 6500 | -600 |
| Alex Bowman | 9100 | 7800 | -1300 |
| Aric Almirola | 9400 | 9800 | 400 |
| Austin Dillon | 8700 | 8500 | -200 |
| Brad Keselowski | 11300 | 13000 | 1700 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7500 | 6200 | -1300 |
| Chase Elliott | 11500 | 11400 | -100 |
| Chris Buescher | 6600 | 5800 | -800 |
| Clint Bowyer | 10500 | 12200 | 1700 |
| Daniel Suarez | 8300 | 8900 | 600 |
| David Ragan | 5800 | 5500 | -300 |
| Denny Hamlin | 11200 | 10200 | -1000 |
| Erik Jones | 9800 | 9400 | -400 |
| Jamie McMurray | 8600 | 8200 | -400 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 12300 | 10400 | -1900 |
| Joey Logano | 11000 | 10800 | -200 |
| Kevin Harvick | 12100 | 14500 | 2400 |
| Kurt Busch | 10200 | 11700 | 1500 |
| Kyle Busch | 12700 | 14000 | 1300 |
| Kyle Larson | 12000 | 12600 | 600 |
| Landon Cassill | 5100 | 4000 | -1100 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | 11800 | 13500 | 1700 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 5600 | 4500 | -1100 |
| Michael McDowell | 6800 | 6000 | -800 |
| Paul Menard | 8000 | 7100 | -900 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 8800 | 7000 | -1800 |
| Ryan Blaney | 10700 | 11000 | 300 |
| Ryan Newman | 9600 | 9000 | -600 |
| Ty Dillon | 6300 | 5000 | -1300 |
| William Byron | 7800 | 7200 | -600 |
Drivers To Watch This Week:
Martin Truex Jr.: Another one of MTJ’s home track’s, Dover has been his playground of late with a win, four top-fives, and five top-10s in the last five races with 387 laps led and 245 fastest laps. In the last 10 races at Dover, Truex has eight top-10s and 518 laps led in addition to the win and four top-fives from the last five. As the third-most expensive driver on both sites, he’s a very intriguing play in both formats.
Kevin Harvick: Harvick is the defending winner at Dover and has two top-10s in the last five races with 318 run out front. He was mostly a non-factor in the Roval race though he did make his way near the front pretty easily and that was just a race he was riding around for after having already clinched a spot in the Round of 12 previously. Harvick comes at a steep price on both sites so he will have to really show off some speed at practice this week.
Chase Elliott: Chase nearly locked down his first win at Dover last Spring and has four top-fives in his only five races here. His average finish of 5.0 is second best in the field and a statement of how consistent he’s been at this track. He was able to make it through the first round with solid performances but he is now in the cluster in the bottom half of the standings and needs to keep up his strong run. He’s less than 10K on DK and less than 12K on FD which are both intriguing price tags for him
Kyle Larson: Larson survived literally by the skin of his teeth last week since there wasn’t really anything more than that left of his race car. Larson has exactly the same average start and finish in the last five races here, at 8.8 with three top-fives, and four top-10s. He also has the most laps run up front with 463 of them in that span and 180 fastest laps. He is known as a driver that loves the outside lane and whipping the car through the corners which is exactly what he does here. If he gets a hold of a win, there’s no reason to think he won’t be propelled into the next round.
Jimmie Johnson: JJ came within inches of winning his first race in nearly two years last week until he took out MTJ and wound up finishing 8th, and ultimately on the wrong side of the tie breaker to remain in the playoffs. Johnson OWNED Dover in the last decade with four wins, six top-fives, and eight top-10s in that span and in the last five he’s got a win, two top-fives, and four top-10s. He is coming off his best weekend in a long time, well except for the crash that is, and with nothing left to run for this year he can race with a sense of freedom. That’s not what you want to see from a guy who knows exactly how to run this race to begin with.
Kyle Busch: Remember back in the spring race when I told you that playing Busch was a bad idea because of his history in that race and his well-below-average finishes? Well that flips this week has his last several Fall races here have been very good to the 18-team. In the last five Spring races he’s finished (from most recent back) 35th, 16th, 30th, 36th, and 42nd, and in the last five Fall races in the same order he’s run P1, P2, P2, P10, and P5. That should tell you to play him this weekend all by itself.