Saturday night racing is back at Richmond Raceway this weekend in the form of the second race of the Chase Playoffs. Typically this race has been the last race of the regular season and the last chance for drivers to clinch a playoff spot, but now it may serve as the last best chance to make it to the second round as the Charlotte Roval, a course never used in NASCAR, awaits as the last race of the Round of 16. This shift of the playoff schedule also means that there is an added short track amongst the 10-race stretch with Richmond joining Martinsville to make 40% of the Chase tracks 1-mile or shorter.
Richmond is a .75-mile layout that is pretty much a Tri-Oval with 14-degree banking in the turns and eight degrees of tilt to the front stretch. With the shape and the banking this track runs more like a 1-mile or 1.5-mile track than a typical short track in some respects. It can be a multiple grove track though that can depend on weather and timing of the race and even how much rubber gets put down on the track.
Overall the stats on winners coming from outside the top-10 staring spots are sparse. Of the 123 races run here prior to Saturday night’s affair, 96 of the winners have started 10th or better and 71 of 123 have started P5 or better including 7-of-the-last-8 with the only exception being Kyle Busch in April when he started from the rear but had the fastest car all week. So while the winners have all been highly placed at the start, the rest of the top-10 finishing spots get shifted quite a bit here that six drivers in the field have a PD of +6 or better and several others are in the +5 range.
Apologies for the lateness of getting the breakdown up, I had an issue that led to me having to fully reinstall Excel and redo the tables in this piece. Also as a quick schedule note for next week, the track breakdown piece will be a bit different next week as it is a completely new track that is being raced on for the final race of the first round. The Charlotte Roval (Road Course/Oval) runs partly on the oval and partly on the infield road course. There is no data for how anyone has done on this track, other than the test run earlier in the year, and so I will break down who has good history at road courses overall, but again this isn’t a typical road course either.
Track Breakdown
Last Four Races at Richmond Raceway
Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Laps | |||
Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Led |
Denny Hamlin | 4 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 254 |
Joey Logano | 4 | 8 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 117 |
Kyle Larson | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 73 |
Kyle Busch | 4 | 13.8 | 7.3 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 71 |
Kevin Harvick | 4 | 10.3 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
Brad Keselowski | 4 | 18.8 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 119 |
Kurt Busch | 4 | 5.8 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 101 |
Martin Truex Jr | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | 11.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 512 |
Chase Elliott | 4 | 14.8 | 14 | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Ryan Newman | 4 | 17.3 | 14 | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 4 | 11.5 | 17.3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Jimmie Johnson | 4 | 16 | 16.3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
Jamie McMurray | 4 | 8.3 | 12 | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Daniel Suarez | 3 | 17.7 | 20.3 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Clint Bowyer | 4 | 17.5 | 13.8 | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 45 |
Erik Jones | 3 | 12.3 | 21.3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Aric Almirola | 4 | 24 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Austin Dillon | 4 | 25 | 16.8 | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Michael McDowell | 4 | 26.5 | 27.3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
William Byron | 1 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Alex Bowman | 1 | 11 | 22 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Ty Dillon | 3 | 29 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Chris Buescher | 4 | 24.3 | 25.8 | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
AJ Allmendinger | 4 | 23.3 | 29.8 | 27.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 4 | 27.3 | 27.8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
David Ragan | 4 | 23.8 | 25.8 | 28.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Ryan Blaney | 4 | 12.3 | 21.5 | 28.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Matt Kenseth | 3 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 |
Regan Smith | 1 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Jeffrey Earnhardt | 3 | 37.3 | 35.7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Alon Day | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cole Custer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Joey Gase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bubba Wallace | 1 | 18 | 23 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ross Chastain | 1 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Paul Menard | 4 | 25.5 | 24.3 | 29.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Corey LaJoie | 2 | 33.5 | 32 | 30.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Landon Cassill | 4 | 31.5 | 33.3 | 32.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Timmy Hill | 1 | 37 | 35 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BJ McLeod | 1 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fast | Top 15 | Laps | Avg. | High | Low | Pos | Laps Led | High to | Low to | |
Driver | Laps | Rate | Comp. | Rating | Rating | Rating | Diff | Pts./Race | Avg Rating | Avg Rating |
Denny Hamlin | 120 | 89% | 1613 | 111 | 137.8 | 87.5 | 2.80 | 15.88 | 26.8 | 23.5 |
Joey Logano | 36 | 93% | 1613 | 107.8 | 124 | 96.1 | 3.70 | 7.31 | 16.2 | 11.7 |
Kyle Larson | 55 | 86% | 1613 | 103.7 | 125.8 | 86.5 | 1.30 | 4.56 | 22.1 | 17.2 |
Kyle Busch | 59 | 94% | 1613 | 104.3 | 118.8 | 86 | 5.00 | 4.44 | 14.5 | 18.3 |
Kevin Harvick | 73 | 87% | 1613 | 102.9 | 121.9 | 88.7 | 2.80 | 1.19 | 19 | 14.2 |
Brad Keselowski | 162 | 91% | 1613 | 107.8 | 130.7 | 91.3 | 12.50 | 7.44 | 22.9 | 16.5 |
Kurt Busch | 49 | 82% | 1613 | 100.8 | 116.2 | 78.1 | -2.00 | 6.31 | 15.4 | 22.7 |
Martin Truex Jr | 210 | 97% | 1612 | 119.2 | 134.9 | 102.8 | -8.00 | 32.00 | 15.7 | 16.4 |
Chase Elliott | 10 | 66% | 1613 | 83.5 | 101.2 | 64.8 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 17.7 | 18.7 |
Ryan Newman | 13 | 70% | 1574 | 78.8 | 94.7 | 66.6 | -1.50 | 1.81 | 15.9 | 12.2 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 47 | 33% | 1613 | 75.1 | 88.6 | 66.7 | -4.50 | 0.00 | 13.5 | 8.4 |
Jimmie Johnson | 11 | 50% | 1613 | 80.1 | 84.5 | 74.6 | 7.00 | 0.00 | 4.4 | 5.5 |
Jamie McMurray | 19 | 69% | 1613 | 88.6 | 102.6 | 72.5 | -3.20 | 0.00 | 14 | 16.1 |
Daniel Suarez | 19 | 33% | 1206 | 72.4 | 79.6 | 61.6 | 8.00 | 0.00 | 7.2 | 10.8 |
Clint Bowyer | 38 | 59% | 1612 | 82 | 114.3 | 47.4 | 0.00 | 2.81 | 32.3 | 34.6 |
Erik Jones | 16 | 39% | 810 | 65.4 | 104.9 | 24.2 | -6.70 | 0.00 | 39.5 | 41.2 |
Aric Almirola | 34 | 42% | 1613 | 75.5 | 92.7 | 61.9 | 9.00 | 0.00 | 17.2 | 13.6 |
Austin Dillon | 1 | 42% | 1612 | 71.1 | 83.7 | 61 | 7.70 | 0.00 | 12.6 | 10.1 |
Michael McDowell | 22 | 1% | 1610 | 51.9 | 60.7 | 40.3 | 4.50 | 0.00 | 8.8 | 11.6 |
William Byron | 3 | 89% | 402 | 91.3 | 91.3 | 91.3 | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Alex Bowman | 8 | 13% | 402 | 65.2 | 65.2 | 65.2 | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Ty Dillon | 5 | 19% | 1205 | 55.7 | 68.7 | 46.5 | 6.30 | 0.00 | 13 | 9.2 |
Chris Buescher | 12 | 2% | 1608 | 51.9 | 63.7 | 39.7 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 11.8 | 12.2 |
AJ Allmendinger | 29 | 1% | 1543 | 47.5 | 56.1 | 42.2 | -4.20 | 0.00 | 8.6 | 5.3 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 11 | 0% | 1554 | 43 | 56 | 35.2 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 13 | 7.8 |
David Ragan | 3 | 1% | 1563 | 50.1 | 55.7 | 42.6 | -4.50 | 0.00 | 5.6 | 7.5 |
Ryan Blaney | 10 | 37% | 1463 | 59.1 | 72.8 | 34.1 | -16.50 | 0.00 | 13.7 | 25 |
Matt Kenseth | 125 | 78% | 992 | 104.7 | 111.6 | 98.3 | -31.30 | 21.33 | 6.9 | 6.4 |
Regan Smith | 0 | 3% | 397 | 45 | 45 | 45 | -5.00 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
Jeffrey Earnhardt | 0 | 0% | 1190 | 30.7 | 35 | 27 | 5.30 | 0.17 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
Alon Day | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | |
Cole Custer | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | |
Joey Gase | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | |
Bubba Wallace | 0 | 0% | 401 | 50 | 50 | 50 | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Ross Chastain | 0 | 0% | 401 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Paul Menard | 19 | 7% | 1467 | 53.8 | 57.5 | 47.2 | -3.80 | 0.00 | 3.7 | 6.6 |
Corey LaJoie | 16 | 0% | 796 | 38.2 | 41.9 | 34.4 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ||
Landon Cassill | 24 | 1% | 1188 | 38.6 | 60.7 | 25.2 | -1.00 | 0.00 | 22.1 | 13.4 |
Timmy Hill | 0 | 0% | 393 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
BJ McLeod | 17 | 0% | 318 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Top-15 Drivers Over the Last 10 Races at Richmond Raceway
Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Laps | |||
Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Led |
Joey Logano | 10 | 6.6 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 282 |
Brad Keselowski | 10 | 9.7 | 6 | 8.3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 773 |
Kyle Busch | 9 | 13.3 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 158 |
Denny Hamlin | 10 | 10 | 10.9 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 269 |
Kurt Busch | 10 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 520 |
Matt Kenseth | 9 | 6.8 | 11 | 18.4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 650 |
Kyle Larson | 9 | 8.4 | 11.4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 73 |
Kevin Harvick | 10 | 7.9 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 124 |
Jamie McMurray | 10 | 12.9 | 10.9 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
Jimmie Johnson | 10 | 13.5 | 14.6 | 13.1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 44 |
Ryan Newman | 10 | 17.3 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 33 |
Martin Truex Jr | 10 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 512 |
Clint Bowyer | 10 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 117 |
Aric Almirola | 10 | 22.7 | 17.4 | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Chase Elliott | 6 | 16.3 | 15.2 | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Fast | Top 15 | Laps | Avg. | High | Low | Pos. | Laps Led | Rating | |
Driver | Laps | Rate | Comp. | Rating | Rating | Rating | Diff. | Pts/Race | Range |
Joey Logano | 123 | 81% | 4012 | 105 | 126.8 | 67.6 | 0.40 | 7.05 | 59.2 |
Brad Keselowski | 372 | 94% | 4013 | 113.4 | 149.8 | 91.3 | 1.40 | 19.33 | 58.5 |
Kyle Busch | 173 | 92% | 3613 | 104.4 | 125.6 | 85.9 | 5.00 | 4.39 | 39.7 |
Denny Hamlin | 188 | 72% | 4008 | 96.6 | 137.8 | 71.6 | -1.00 | 6.73 | 66.2 |
Kurt Busch | 174 | 79% | 4012 | 105.2 | 148.1 | 68.4 | -1.60 | 13.00 | 79.7 |
Matt Kenseth | 289 | 83% | 3322 | 105 | 149.7 | 72 | -11.60 | 18.06 | 77.7 |
Kyle Larson | 64 | 76% | 3613 | 92.3 | 125.8 | 66.1 | -1.60 | 2.03 | 59.7 |
Kevin Harvick | 269 | 92% | 4012 | 106.7 | 122.8 | 88.7 | 0.10 | 3.10 | 34.1 |
Jamie McMurray | 78 | 75% | 4012 | 93.6 | 114.1 | 64.5 | 2.90 | 0.25 | 49.6 |
Jimmie Johnson | 95 | 64% | 3981 | 87.4 | 116.5 | 46.8 | 0.40 | 1.10 | 69.7 |
Ryan Newman | 67 | 66% | 3971 | 84.8 | 101.5 | 66.6 | 2.90 | 0.83 | 34.9 |
Martin Truex Jr | 247 | 68% | 4002 | 95.4 | 134.9 | 53.4 | -1.90 | 12.80 | 81.5 |
Clint Bowyer | 93 | 60% | 2004 | 83.2 | 115.5 | 39.3 | -2.80 | 2.93 | 76.2 |
Aric Almirola | 69 | 40% | 4012 | 77.5 | 94.1 | 61.9 | 7.50 | 0.00 | 32.2 |
Chase Elliott | 18 | 55% | 401 | 81.3 | 101.2 | 64.8 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 36.4 |
Top-15 Drivers Over the Last 20 Races on Similar Tracks (New Hampshire and Phoenix)
Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Laps | |||
Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Led |
Kevin Harvick | 21 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 923 |
Matt Kenseth | 18 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 12.7 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 901 |
Kyle Busch | 19 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 1026 |
Joey Logano | 21 | 8.7 | 10 | 9.6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 423 |
Denny Hamlin | 21 | 7.9 | 9.8 | 9.6 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 579 |
Kyle Larson | 21 | 10 | 12.7 | 12.4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 144 |
Kurt Busch | 21 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 11.7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 548 |
Ryan Newman | 21 | 17 | 15.8 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 58 |
Martin Truex Jr | 21 | 9.4 | 9.3 | 11.8 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 1111 |
Brad Keselowski | 21 | 12.3 | 8.7 | 11.1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 309 |
Chase Elliott | 16 | 11.5 | 10.4 | 11.9 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 164 |
Jimmie Johnson | 21 | 11.9 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 102 |
Jamie McMurray | 21 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 13.6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 5 |
Aric Almirola | 21 | 23.4 | 19.5 | 16.6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 42 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 21 | 18.8 | 20.4 | 19.3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
Fast | Top 15 | Laps | Avg. | High | Low | Pos | Laps Led | Rating | |
Driver | Laps | Rate | Comp. | Rating | Rating | Rating | Diff. | Pts./Race | Range |
Kevin Harvick | 766 | 93% | 6869 | 113.7 | 150 | 58.9 | 2.60 | 10.99 | 91.1 |
Matt Kenseth | 538 | 85% | 5747 | 107.7 | 149.7 | 62.2 | -3.90 | 12.51 | 87.5 |
Kyle Busch | 618 | 95% | 6273 | 116.2 | 149.2 | 73.7 | 2.20 | 13.50 | 75.5 |
Joey Logano | 196 | 80% | 6982 | 98.6 | 125.6 | 61.3 | -0.90 | 5.04 | 64.3 |
Denny Hamlin | 371 | 79% | 6984 | 100.9 | 137.8 | 63.7 | -1.70 | 6.89 | 74.1 |
Kyle Larson | 214 | 68% | 6811 | 92 | 125.8 | 63.7 | -2.40 | 1.71 | 62.1 |
Kurt Busch | 257 | 79% | 6867 | 97.2 | 148.1 | 52.8 | -4.10 | 6.52 | 95.3 |
Ryan Newman | 82 | 55% | 6717 | 79.6 | 110.4 | 37.2 | 2.00 | 0.69 | 73.2 |
Martin Truex Jr | 528 | 84% | 6950 | 105.1 | 134.9 | 54.6 | -2.40 | 13.23 | 80.3 |
Brad Keselowski | 450 | 88% | 7009 | 100.2 | 133.1 | 67.2 | 1.20 | 3.68 | 65.9 |
Chase Elliott | 196 | 80% | 5484 | 94.8 | 116.3 | 64.8 | -0.40 | 2.56 | 51.5 |
Jimmie Johnson | 187 | 72% | 6830 | 92.3 | 116.5 | 58.6 | -0.50 | 1.21 | 57.9 |
Jamie McMurray | 107 | 70% | 7018 | 85.9 | 112.1 | 59 | -1.30 | 0.06 | 53.1 |
Aric Almirola | 103 | 30% | 6752 | 72.1 | 111.1 | 36.7 | 6.80 | 0.50 | 74.4 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 92 | 24% | 6834 | 69.1 | 88.6 | 51.2 | -0.50 | 0.13 | 37.4 |
Momentum
Avg. | Avg. | Avg. | Top | Top | Top | Top | Pos | Avg. | |||
Driver | Races | Start | Run Pos. | Finish | Wins | 5s | 10s | 15s | 20s | Diff. | Rating |
Brad Keselowski | 5 | 12.2 | 9 | 4.2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 105.8 |
Kevin Harvick | 5 | 7.6 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 115 |
Kurt Busch | 5 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.4 | 105.9 |
Joey Logano | 5 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 103.7 |
Kyle Larson | 5 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 106.9 |
Ryan Blaney | 5 | 10.8 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2.2 | 98.6 |
Chase Elliott | 5 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 13.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3.2 | 99.6 |
Erik Jones | 5 | 7.8 | 12.8 | 13.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5.8 | 94.1 |
Kyle Busch | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 101.1 |
Denny Hamlin | 5 | 4.4 | 10.6 | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 93.8 |
Clint Bowyer | 5 | 14.4 | 9.4 | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 98.7 |
Martin Truex Jr | 5 | 8 | 15 | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -11.6 | 92 |
Austin Dillon | 5 | 15.4 | 14.2 | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.2 | 80.7 |
Ryan Newman | 5 | 15 | 13.6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 79 |
Aric Almirola | 5 | 11.8 | 14.2 | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4.4 | 88.3 |
Points Changes at Richmond September Race
DraftKings
17 Race | Season | DK Pts +/- | |
Driver | Total | Avg DK Pts. | Season AVG |
Martin Truex Jr | 100.5 | 47.4 | 53.1 |
Ryan Newman | 68 | 26.3 | 41.7 |
Kyle Larson | 77.25 | 41.75 | 35.5 |
Brad Keselowski | 56.75 | 36.01 | 20.7 |
Jimmie Johnson | 49.5 | 31.08 | 18.4 |
Erik Jones | 49.5 | 31.12 | 18.4 |
Daniel Suarez | 47.5 | 30.19 | 17.3 |
Michael McDowell | 40 | 22.82 | 17.2 |
Joey Logano | 54 | 38.16 | 15.8 |
Corey LaJoie | 27 | 15.86 | 11.1 |
Ty Dillon | 32.5 | 22.62 | 9.9 |
Austin Dillon | 33 | 28.29 | 4.7 |
BJ McLeod | 17.5 | 13.27 | 4.2 |
Denny Hamlin | 41 | 36.95 | 4.1 |
Jamie McMurray | 27 | 23.16 | 3.8 |
Kurt Busch | 43 | 39.82 | 3.2 |
Chase Elliott | 35.5 | 36.08 | -0.6 |
David Ragan | 20.5 | 22.52 | -2.0 |
Aric Almirola | 33 | 37.95 | -5.0 |
Paul Menard | 20 | 25.52 | -5.5 |
Jeffrey Earnhardt | 13 | 19.42 | -6.4 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 14 | 22.98 | -9.0 |
AJ Allmendinger | 14.5 | 24.54 | -10.0 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 11.5 | 21.57 | -10.1 |
Matt Kenseth | 11.75 | 24.42 | -12.7 |
Kyle Busch | 48.5 | 61.33 | -12.8 |
Ryan Blaney | 23 | 36.64 | -13.6 |
Chris Buescher | 4.5 | 26.36 | -21.9 |
Landon Cassill | -4 | 20.02 | -24.0 |
Clint Bowyer | 16 | 44.38 | -28.4 |
Kevin Harvick | 27 | 64.04 | -37.0 |
AVG. +/- | 15.4 |
FanDuel
17 Race | 18 Season | FD Pts +/- | |
Driver | Total | Avg FD Pts. | Season AVG |
AJ Allmendinger | 53.2 | 42.12 | 11.08 |
Aric Almirola | 67.4 | 53.50 | 13.90 |
Austin Dillon | 65.3 | 48.67 | 16.63 |
Brad Keselowski | 73.3 | 51.63 | 21.67 |
Chase Elliott | 70.9 | 52.55 | 18.35 |
Chris Buescher | 45 | 45.39 | -0.39 |
Clint Bowyer | 51.8 | 56.69 | -4.89 |
Corey LaJoie | 54 | 29.86 | 24.14 |
Daniel Suarez | 78.9 | 48.12 | 30.78 |
David Ragan | 55.2 | 43.95 | 11.25 |
Denny Hamlin | 74.9 | 53.63 | 21.27 |
Erik Jones | 77.4 | 50.88 | 26.52 |
Jamie McMurray | 65.9 | 44.93 | 20.97 |
Jeffrey Earnhardt | 48 | 36.48 | 11.52 |
Jimmie Johnson | 79.4 | 48.52 | 30.88 |
Joey Logano | 85.4 | 56.50 | 28.90 |
Kevin Harvick | 61.9 | 61.74 | 0.16 |
Kurt Busch | 76.9 | 54.57 | 22.33 |
Kyle Busch | 75.2 | 63.21 | 11.99 |
Kyle Larson | 90.2 | 55.96 | 34.24 |
Landon Cassill | 0.8 | 38.49 | -37.69 |
Martin Truex Jr | 73.6 | 56.02 | 17.58 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 47 | 40.47 | 6.53 |
Matt Kenseth | 19.1 | 40.30 | -21.20 |
Michael McDowell | 71.4 | 39.15 | 32.25 |
Paul Menard | 52.2 | 45.38 | 6.82 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 56.9 | 44.77 | 12.13 |
Ryan Blaney | 61.4 | 50.36 | 11.04 |
Ryan Newman | 90.8 | 47.01 | 43.79 |
Ty Dillon | 64.3 | 42.77 | 21.53 |
AVG. +/- | 19.08 |
Top-10 and Bottom-10 Value Drivers
DraftKings
Rank | Driver | Value | Rank | Driver | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Regan Smith | 6.89 | 40 | Alon Day | 0.00 |
2 | Kevin Harvick | 5.25 | 39 | BJ McLeod | 2.88 |
3 | Kyle Busch | 5.20 | 38 | Timmy Hill | 2.89 |
4 | Joey Gase | 4.93 | 37 | Jamie McMurray | 3.17 |
5 | Clint Bowyer | 4.88 | 36 | Corey Lajoie | 3.24 |
6 | Kurt Busch | 4.68 | 35 | William Byron | 3.24 |
7 | Aric Almirola | 4.57 | 34 | Ryan Newman | 3.25 |
8 | Joey Logano | 4.39 | 33 | Erik Jones | 3.35 |
9 | Martin Truex Jr | 4.31 | 32 | Bubba Wallace | 3.36 |
10 | David Ragan | 4.17 | 31 | Matt Kenseth | 3.44 |
FanDuel
Rank | Driver | Value | Rank | Driver | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ross Chastain | 10.07 | 37 | Brad Keselowski | 3.69 |
2 | David Ragan | 9.77 | 36 | Denny Hamlin | 4.13 |
3 | Landon Cassill | 9.62 | 35 | Martin Truex Jr. | 4.24 |
4 | Matt DiBenedetto | 8.99 | 34 | Chase Elliott | 4.31 |
5 | Regan Smith | 8.14 | 33 | Joey Logano | 4.45 |
6 | Jeffrey Earnhardt | 8.11 | 32 | Kyle Larson | 4.48 |
7 | Michael McDowell | 7.83 | 31 | Kevin Harvick | 4.54 |
8 | AJ Allmendinger | 7.66 | 30 | Kyle Busch | 4.58 |
9 | Joey Gase | 7.64 | 29 | Jimmie Johnson | 4.62 |
10 | Timmy Hill | 7.49 | 28 | Erik Jones | 4.71 |
Drivers To Watch This Week
Denny Hamlin: Richmond is practically in the backyard of his hometown of Chesterfield Virginia. Being that it’s his home track, it’s not shocking to discover that it’s also his best track on the schedule and in the last four he has a win and four top-fives with 254 laps led, good for third in the field. He comes into this race last in the playoff standings after a crash-filled race last Sunday and likely needs a win to advance to the next round, especially given the track (and potential conditions) for next weekend.
Martin Truex Jr.: Truex, as mentioned in the practice notes, has won a short track race in his career but in the last four races here at Richmond he has led the most laps, 512, by exactly double the total of the next closest driver. He was in position to win in the Spring race here but a bad pit stop late took that shot away from him. A top-five and two top-10s are all he has to show for running up front so much but that could change this weekend if things break his way.
Aric Almirola: Almirola has the second-best position differential here in the last four races at a healthy +9.0 in that span with one top-10 and four top-20s. He is already having a career year this season but in order to safely make the next round of the playoffs he will need a strong showing once again this week to try and avoid the havoc that could happen next week at the Roval. Harvick and Kurt also have good history here on his team to lean on from a notes perspective.
Brad Keselowski: It has been quite a few weeks for the 2-car and Keselowski as he finished the regular season with two straight wins at crown jewel races and then opened the playoffs with a win last week at Vegas, meaning he is the only one safe for the next round at this point. Keselowski has the best PD mark in the last four races at a whopping +12.5 that’s bolstered by two top-fives, and three top-10s with 119 laps led and 162 fastest laps. Logano has actually been a tad better here in the last four races with a win and three top-fives and four top-10s, but Brad’s the one on the heater at the moment. Either Penske driver is good to watch though.
Kyle Larson: Larson’s last win came at this track a year ago in this race, for his only win on a short track in his career. Since then he has been inconsistent with his speed but has still found ways to compete quite often but will need a win if he hopes to advance far into the playoffs. His average finish of P6 in the last four races is actually the third best mark in the field over that span behind Logano and Hamlin and shows he’s consistently in the running here.