From the rollings hills of Pennsylvania Dutch country to the rolling Irish Hills of Michigan for this week’s FireKepeers Casino 400. The two tracks have one similarity, speed. Pocono allows drivers to top 200 mph down the long front straightaway, but Michigan keeps them there the entire lap. With almost shifting or getting out of the throttle required, it’s a set your sail and drive type track.

At two miles in length for one lap, it’s of equal distance to Auto Club Speedway and the same D-shaped Oval as well. Similar tracks also include Texas Motor Speedway as well for it’s charting topping speed despite being a 1.5-mile track. Like most longer tracks, Michigan has relatively few cautions per race and you have to go all the way back to August of 2006 before you see 10 or more cautions occurring in the race. The last two races, including the stage cautions, had five and three incident cautions respectively and the fewest laps completed in last June’s race, of any car in the 37-car field, was 190 of the 200 laps and in the August race a year ago, 35 of the 39 cars completed at least 196 of 200 laps. So laps completed isn’t a major factor this week.

The track has banked turns of 18 degrees and the front stretch is tilted at 12 degrees as well. While the banking isn’t as steep as others on the schedule, the wide sweeping design of them gives the driver plenty of time to get into each of the turns to carry momentum well through them. That being said, it make it hard to pass at the track with only three drivers in the field at +6 or better in Position Differential. And if you look at the races a year ago, only four drivers led a lap in the June race and five led one in the August race with Kyle Larson, Brad Keselowski, and Martin Truex Jr. leading the majority of those.

Also keep in mind that in five of the last nine races at Michigan, the pole-sitter has won the race and in the seven races before that stretch it didn’t happen once. Michigan is also known as a track that repeat winners are common, in the 97 races that have happened at the track, just 37 different winners have occurred and since the repave happened in early 2012, three drivers have won multiple races out of the 12 total. Kyle Larson, Joey Logano, and Greg Biffle have all won more than once here in that span. Lastly, the leader with 20 laps to go has NOT won the race 15 of the last 20 times, meaning late passes for the lead are common (i.e. Larson in August 2017 passing with two to go).

Track Data

Last Four Races at Michigan International Speedway

    Avg. Avg. Avg.   Top Top Top Top Laps
Driver Races Start Run Pos. Finish Wins 5s 10s 15s 20s Led
Kyle Larson 4 7.3 5.5 1.5 3 4 4 4 4 140
Joey Logano 4 2.8 7.8 10.5 1 2 3 3 3 162
Chase Elliott 4 7.5 6.3 3.5 0 3 4 4 4 66
Kevin Harvick 4 11.8 9.3 9.3 0 2 2 4 4 33
Brad Keselowski 4 11.5 7.8 10 0 2 2 2 4 131
Jamie McMurray 4 9.3 13.8 7.8 0 1 4 4 4 0
Martin Truex Jr 4 7.8 8.3 10 0 1 2 3 4 136
Denny Hamlin 4 5.5 8.3 15.5 0 1 2 2 3 16
Ryan Newman 4 15 15.5 11.8 0 1 1 3 4 2
Ryan Blaney 4 7.5 10.8 15.3 0 1 1 2 3 0
Erik Jones 2 11 11.5 8 0 1 1 2 2 5
Jimmie Johnson 4 13.3 13 12.8 0 0 2 2 4 41
Kyle Busch 4 8.8 17.3 19 0 0 2 2 3 54
Austin Dillon 4 15 16 14.5 0 0 2 2 3 1
Kurt Busch 4 16.5 15.8 11.3 0 0 1 4 4 0
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 4 19 18.3 20.5 0 0 1 1 2 0
Chris Buescher 4 21.8 26.5 24.3 0 0 1 1 2 0
Matt Kenseth 4 11.3 11.5 15.5 0 0 0 3 3 8
Kasey Kahne 4 18.3 17.3 21.5 0 0 0 2 2 0
AJ Allmendinger 4 24.8 24.5 22.8 0 0 0 1 3 0
Aric Almirola 3 26.7 22.7 21 0 0 0 1 1 0
Paul Menard 4 28 21 23 0 0 0 0 2 1
Darrell Wallace Jr 1 26 21 19 0 0 0 0 1 0
Ty Dillon 3 30.3 24.7 21.7 0 0 0 0 1 0
Daniel Suarez 2 18 19 30.5 0 0 0 0 0 3
Michael McDowell 3 27.7 28 27 0 0 0 0 0 0
David Ragan 4 31 30.3 27.5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clint Bowyer 4 18.8 20 28 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alex Bowman 1 6 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
Matt DiBenedetto 4 30 31.8 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
Landon Cassill 4 32.3 31 30.3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Corey LaJoie 2 33 32 30.5 0 0 0 0 0 0
BJ McLeod 1 39 38 36 0 0 0 0 0 0
D.J. Kennington 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Garrett Smithley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gray Gaulding 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ross Chastain 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Timmy Hill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
William Byron 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

 

  Fast Top 15 Laps Avg. High Low Pos Laps Led High to Low to
Driver Laps Rate Comp. Rating Rating Rating Diff Pts./Race Avg Rating Avg Rating
Kyle Larson 75 98% 802 123.3 140.5 104.3 5.80 8.75 17.2 19
Joey Logano 58 88% 800 107.9 149.2 85.5 -7.70 10.13 41.3 22.4
Chase Elliott 73 96% 802 113.9 126.5 98.4 4.00 4.13 12.6 15.5
Kevin Harvick 39 79% 802 103.6 123.9 86.9 2.50 2.06 20.3 16.7
Brad Keselowski 48 92% 802 104.4 117.5 86 1.50 8.19 13.1 18.4
Jamie McMurray 3 72% 802 86.4 89.1 80 1.50 0.00 2.7 6.4
Martin Truex Jr 137 82% 801 107.6 126.4 84.9 -2.20 8.50 18.8 22.7
Denny Hamlin 21 95% 790 96.5 108.6 87.1 -10.00 1.00 12.1 9.4
Ryan Newman 1 47% 802 77.7 96.8 64.8 3.20 0.13 19.1 12.9
Ryan Blaney 11 78% 802 90.5 108.8 81 -7.80 0.00 18.3 9.5
Erik Jones 18 78% 402 98.4 115.8 81 3.00 0.63 17.4 17.4
Jimmie Johnson 28 62% 802 86.3 119 64.3 0.50 2.56 32.7 22
Kyle Busch 58 56% 653 86.2 121.7 62.8 -10.20 3.38 35.5 23.4
Austin Dillon 2 49% 801 73.5 93.3 43.3 0.50 0.06 19.8 30.2
Kurt Busch 1 52% 802 78.8 81.3 74.2 5.20 0.00 2.5 4.6
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 1 35% 799 67.6 78.2 51 -1.50 0.00 10.6 16.6
Chris Buescher 3 7% 789 52.3 72.6 29.4 -2.50 0.00 20.3 22.9
Matt Kenseth 32 78% 802 89.2 106.7 70.2 -4.20 0.50 17.5 19
Kasey Kahne 5 47% 738 74.1 93 63.9 -3.20 0.00 18.9 10.2
AJ Allmendinger 3 12% 664 58.1 77 45.5 2.00 0.00 18.9 12.6
Aric Almirola 0 11% 600 57.5 70.5 47.7 5.70 0.00 13 9.8
Paul Menard 1 24% 796 62.8 75.6 51.1 5.00 0.06 12.8 11.7
Darrell Wallace Jr 0 4% 200 60.3 60.3 60.3 7.00 0.00 0 0
Ty Dillon 0 5% 602 53.3 56.5 51.5 8.60 0.00 3.2 1.8
Daniel Suarez 5 33% 338 71 78.9 63.1 -12.50 0.38 7.9 7.9
Michael McDowell 0 1% 595 45.9 49.8 39.5 0.70 0.00 3.9 6.4
David Ragan 1 1% 793 41.9 45 39.8 3.50 0.00 3.1 2.1
Clint Bowyer 6 39% 762 66.4 86.8 50.7 -9.20 0.00 20.4 15.7
Alex Bowman 5 18% 195 70 70 70 -24.00 0.00 0 0
Matt DiBenedetto 0 0% 779 37.2 40.9 34.3 0.00 0.00 3.7 2.9
Landon Cassill 0 1% 770 37.8 46.5 29.4 2.00 0.00 8.7 8.4
Corey LaJoie 0 0% 396 37.7 39.2 36.2 2.50 0.00 1.5 1.5
BJ McLeod 0 0% 178 24.8 24.8 24.8 3.00 0.00 0 0
D.J. Kennington 0 0% 0 0 0 0 0.00   0 0
Garrett Smithley 0 0% 0 0 0 0 0.00   0 0
Gray Gaulding 0 0% 0 0 0 0 0.00   0 0
Ross Chastain 0 0% 0 0 0 0 0.00   0 0
Timmy Hill 0 0% 0 0 0 0 0.00   0 0
William Byron 0 0% 0 0 0 0 0.00   0 0

*Laps Comp. is out of 802 total laps run in the last four races at Michigan

Top-15 Drivers over the last 10 races at Michigan

    Avg. Avg. Avg.   Top Top Top Top Laps
Driver Races Start Run Pos. Finish Wins 5s 10s 15s 20s Led
Kyle Larson 8 13 11.8 10.9 3 4 5 6 7 149
Joey Logano 10 5 7.2 7.6 2 5 9 9 9 356
Matt Kenseth 10 11.7 12.2 14 1 2 3 8 8 159
Kurt Busch 10 13.4 14 14.8 1 2 3 7 8 89
Jimmie Johnson 10 12.6 16 18.7 1 1 4 4 7 122
Kevin Harvick 10 9.9 7.5 7.6 0 7 7 9 9 174
Martin Truex Jr 10 14.7 14.5 13.8 0 4 5 6 8 136
Brad Keselowski 10 9.9 7.6 9 0 3 6 8 10 160
Paul Menard 10 18.9 15.9 13.8 0 3 4 6 8 1
Chase Elliott 4 7.5 6.3 3.5 0 3 4 4 4 66
Denny Hamlin 10 10.6 14.5 16.4 0 2 4 5 7 25
Jamie McMurray 10 15.7 15.6 13.5 0 1 5 7 8 25
Clint Bowyer 10 19.1 18.1 19.1 0 1 5 5 5 1
Austin Dillon 10 13.2 16.2 15.9 0 1 3 5 7 22
Kyle Busch 10 10.8 20.6 24.5 0 1 3 4 5 64

 

  Fast Top 15 Laps Avg. High Low Pos. Laps Led Rating
Driver Laps Rate Comp. Rating Rating Rating Diff. Pts/Race Range
Kyle Larson 95 76% 1434 101.1 140.5 53.6 2.10 4.66 86.9
Joey Logano 132 89% 1938 113.2 149.2 85.5 -2.60 8.90 63.7
Matt Kenseth 124 75% 1910 96 148.8 40.3 -2.30 3.98 108.5
Kurt Busch 49 63% 1928 88.4 122.8 59.1 -1.40 2.23 63.7
Jimmie Johnson 131 54% 1782 87.3 130.7 57.5 -6.10 3.05 73.2
Kevin Harvick 155 87% 1939 113 135.1 86.9 2.30 4.35 48.2
Martin Truex Jr 182 65% 1912 92.5 126.4 33.2 0.90 3.40 93.2
Brad Keselowski 80 95% 1940 105 117.5 86 0.90 4.00 31.5
Paul Menard 9 54% 1934 82.1 105.9 51.1 5.10 0.03 54.8
Chase Elliott 73 96% 802 113.9 126.5 98.4 4.00 4.13 28.1
Denny Hamlin 29 63% 1925 85 108.6 54.6 -5.80 0.63 54
Jamie McMurray 13 56% 1936 82.5 100.6 55.5 2.20 0.63 45.1
Clint Bowyer 16 47% 1864 77.6 92 50.7 0.00 0.03 41.3
Austin Dillon 29 52% 1934 78.9 112.3 43.3 -2.70 0.55 69
Kyle Busch 63 53% 1630 78.6 121.7 35.7 -13.70 1.60 86

*Laps Comp. is out of 1,940 total laps run over the last 10 races at Michigan

Top-15 Drivers at Similar Tracks (last 18 races combined)

    Avg. Avg. Avg.   Top Top Top Top Laps
Driver Races Start Run Pos. Finish Wins 5s 10s 15s 20s Led
Kyle Larson 17 12.6 12 14.5 4 8 8 11 12 331
Kyle Busch 17 10.3 11.8 12.5 4 7 10 12 14 423
Jimmie Johnson 18 15.2 13.9 14.7 3 4 8 10 13 194
Joey Logano 18 9.1 10.1 9.9 1 10 15 15 15 440
Kevin Harvick 18 7.1 9.6 10.8 1 9 11 15 15 502
Martin Truex Jr 18 9.6 9.1 10.9 1 7 12 13 15 724
Brad Keselowski 18 8 10.1 11 1 7 11 12 15 492
Kurt Busch 18 12.9 13.9 11.5 1 4 10 14 16 113
Matt Kenseth 15 10.1 9.3 13.5 1 4 6 10 12 280
Chase Elliott 12 15.3 8.5 6.9 0 5 10 11 12 80
Denny Hamlin 17 7.6 12.4 16.2 0 4 7 10 11 160
Jamie McMurray 18 15.8 14 11.3 0 2 11 12 17 1
Ryan Newman 18 15.4 16.6 15.6 0 2 5 9 14 6
Ryan Blaney 15 9.9 14.7 17.9 0 2 5 8 9 148
Erik Jones 8 13.4 10.5 10.4 0 2 4 7 7 69

 

  Fast Top 15 Laps Avg. High Low Pos Laps Led Rating
Driver Laps Rate Comp. Rating Rating Rating Diff. Pts./Race Range
Kyle Larson 256 75% 3676 97 144.3 29.8 -1.90 4.87 114.5
Kyle Busch 317 75% 3880 101.1 148 62.8 -2.20 6.22 85.2
Jimmie Johnson 194 61% 4152 91.7 127.4 60.6 0.50 2.69 66.8
Joey Logano 214 81% 4246 102.8 149.2 44.1 -0.80 6.11 105.1
Kevin Harvick 416 79% 4313 108.5 144 59.6 -3.70 6.97 84.4
Martin Truex Jr 459 81% 4069 109 150 55.9 -1.30 10.06 94.1
Brad Keselowski 210 82% 4166 100.4 145 77.5 -3.00 6.83 67.5
Kurt Busch 111 64% 4321 88.3 135.4 36 1.40 1.57 99.4
Matt Kenseth 220 82% 3439 100.1 148.8 65.3 -3.40 4.67 83.5
Chase Elliott 150 89% 3036 101.5 126.5 67.7 8.40 1.67 58.8
Denny Hamlin 103 76% 3918 91.1 116.7 45.1 -8.60 2.35 71.6
Jamie McMurray 19 64% 4322 83.7 105.4 64.4 4.50 0.01 41
Ryan Newman 25 44% 4288 74.9 96.8 51.7 -0.20 0.08 45.1
Ryan Blaney 119 64% 3385 84.9 121.8 30.8 -8.00 2.47 91
Erik Jones 40 80% 2139 94.4 115.8 58.3 3.00 2.16 57.5

*Laps Comp. is out of 4,325 total laps run at the last six races at Auto Club, Michigan, and Texas each

Momentum

This will update each week with the most recent race making the fifth race. Therefore it will be a rolling total of just how hot a driver has been over that stretch.

    Avg. Avg. Avg.   Top Top Top Top Pos Avg.
Driver Races Start Run Pos. Finish Wins 5s 10s 15s 20s Diff. Rating
Kevin Harvick 5 9 10 10 2 4 4 4 4 -1 115.8
Martin Truex Jr 5 6.4 10.4 7 1 4 4 4 4 -0.6 104.5
Kyle Busch 5 6.4 7 12.4 1 2 3 4 4 -6 113.6
Joey Logano 5 9 11.2 9.6 1 2 3 4 4 -0.6 96.4
Kyle Larson 5 13.8 12.4 12.6 0 2 4 4 4 1.2 100.7
Kurt Busch 5 8.2 11.4 8.4 0 2 4 4 5 -0.2 93.9
Brad Keselowski 5 9 11 12.4 0 2 3 4 4 -3.4 99.5
Denny Hamlin 5 6.6 10 12.8 0 2 3 4 4 -6.2 94.1
Jimmie Johnson 5 19.2 12.6 10.6 0 1 3 4 5 8.6 90.6
Chase Elliott 5 12.2 11.4 9.6 0 1 2 5 5 2.6 90.3
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 5 12.8 16.2 11 0 1 2 5 5 1.8 76.5
Daniel Suarez 5 12.6 17.4 16 0 1 2 3 3 -3.4 75.9
Clint Bowyer 5 18 13 16 0 1 1 3 4 2 86.2
Aric Almirola 5 20 12.4 9.4 0 0 3 5 5 10.6 87.7
Ryan Blaney 5 9.6 9.4 21 0 0 2 2 3 -11.4 95.2

Top-10 and Bottom-10 Value Drivers

DraftKings

Rank Driver Value Rank Driver Value
1 Kyle Busch 5.91 39 Garrett Smithley 0.00
2 Kevin Harvick 5.71 38 Ryan Newman 2.95
3 D.J. Kennington 5.52 37 Erik Jones 3.24
4 Aric Almirola 4.98 36 Jamie McMurray 3.28
5 Clint Bowyer 4.80 35 Matt Kenseth 3.36
6 AJ Allmendinger 4.69 34 Corey Lajoie 3.58
7 David Ragan 4.56 33 BJ McLeod 3.61
8 Denny Hamlin 4.50 32 Timmy Hill 3.70
9 Joey Logano 4.48 31 Gray Gaulding 3.77
10 Kurt Busch 4.44 30 Austin Dillon 3.78

FanDuel

Rank Driver Value Rank Driver Value
1 Landon Cassill 9.27 38 Garrett Smithley 0.00
2 Ross Chastain 8.53 37 Martin Truex Jr. 4.80
3 Matt DiBenedetto 8.37 36 Brad Keselowski 4.81
4 Gray Gaulding 7.99 35 Kyle Larson 5.04
5 Ty Dillon 7.13 34 Erik Jones 5.18
6 Michael McDowell 7.09 33 Ryan Blaney 5.18
7 Bubba Wallace 6.95 32 Chase Elliott 5.20
8 Timmy Hill 6.85 31 Kevin Harvick 5.21
9 David Ragan 6.74 30 Jamie McMurray 5.25
10 Alex Bowman 6.73 29 Kurt Busch 5.34

Points Changes at Michigan

DraftKings

  17 Race Season DK Pts +/-
Driver Total Avg DK Pts. Season AVG
Kyle Larson 85.50 43.74 41.8
Martin Truex Jr 74.50 43.6 30.9
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 49.00 27.97 21.0
Jamie McMurray 42.50 24.93 17.6
Ty Dillon 41.00 23.69 17.3
Matt Kenseth 40.00 23.88 16.1
Chase Elliott 51.50 36.61 14.9
Erik Jones 39.50 27.19 12.3
Ryan Newman 33.00 22.71 10.3
Darrell Wallace Jr 32.00 23.81 8.2
Paul Menard 30.00 25.77 4.2
Denny Hamlin 44.50 41.41 3.1
Jimmie Johnson 37.00 34.41 2.6
AJ Allmendinger 33.00 30.46 2.5
Joey Logano 45.00 43.93 1.1
Kurt Busch 35.00 35.54 -0.5
Corey LaJoie 16.00 17.88 -1.9
Michael McDowell 20.00 25.52 -5.5
Landon Cassill 16.00 22.83 -6.8
Kasey Kahne 18.00 25.03 -7.0
Matt DiBenedetto 16.00 23.03 -7.0
Kyle Busch 60.00 68.52 -8.5
David Ragan 15.00 26 -11.0
Daniel Suarez 16.00 28 -12.0
Brad Keselowski 25.00 39.48 -14.5
Austin Dillon 8.00 27.94 -19.9
Chris Buescher -4.00 25.15 -29.2
Ryan Blaney 1.00 37.64 -36.6
Kevin Harvick 27.50 68.56 -41.1
Clint Bowyer -3.00 45.62 -48.6
    AVG +/- 15.1

FanDuel

New for this week and going forward is the points changes for FanDuel. It's forumlated based off of FanDuel's scoring and categories and it compares what the driver put up in this race last year and their 2018 season average per race. It gives you an idea of who outperformed, underperformed, or produced about the same point totals at this track.

  17 Race 18 Season FD Pts +/-
Driver Total Avg FD Pts. Season AVG
Kyle Larson 72.6 57.92 14.68
Jamie McMurray 57.5 48.28 9.22
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 59.5 50.41 9.09
Chase Elliott 64 55.10 8.90
Matt Kenseth 49 43.45 5.55
Ty Dillon 49.5 46.37 3.13
Ryan Newman 48 45.95 2.05
Corey LaJoie 31.7 30.11 1.59
Martin Truex Jr 59.2 57.66 1.54
Jimmie Johnson 52.5 53.17 -0.67
Erik Jones 48.5 49.69 -1.19
Denny Hamlin 57.5 59.16 -1.66
Darrell Wallace Jr 45.5 48.66 -3.16
Joey Logano 60 63.64 -3.64
Kurt Busch 50.5 54.96 -4.46
Michael McDowell 37.5 42.53 -5.03
AJ Allmendinger 46.5 52.00 -5.50
Paul Menard 43 49.60 -6.60
Kasey Kahne 37.5 45.13 -7.63
Brad Keselowski 43.2 54.38 -11.18
Kyle Busch 56.5 68.32 -11.82
Matt DiBenedetto 32.9 46.05 -13.15
Daniel Suarez 35 49.45 -14.45
Landon Cassill 30.6 46.37 -15.77
David Ragan 31.8 49.20 -17.40
Kevin Harvick 45.5 65.12 -19.62
Austin Dillon 29.4 51.13 -21.73
Ryan Blaney 26.5 51.78 -25.28
Chris Buescher 18.4 45.74 -27.34
Clint Bowyer 23.5 62.42 -38.92
    AVG+/- 10.40

Drivers To Watch This Week:

Kyle Larson: Larson has DOMINATED this track in the last four with three-straight wins and a fifth place finish in the fourth race. He has led 140 laps in that span and registered 75 fastest laps, both are second in the field in those categories. His 98% top-15 rate and 123.3 average driver rating are both tops in the field as you would expect from a guy that’s won that often. Larson is the fourth-most expensive driver on both sites, which is a great discount for a guy who should be the prohibitive favorite to win once again, and become one of only nine drivers ever to win four-straight races at one track.

Martin Truex Jr: Truex is coming off his second win of the season last week at Pocono and has had a solid history here as well. One top-five, two top-10s, three top-15s, 136 laps led, and 137 fastest laps is what he’s compiled in the last four races at the track. The laps led are third, and fastest laps are best in the field, nearly double that of Larson’s total in second. If he is on the beginning of a roll like he got on last year, it could be another day spent running up front and competing for the win for the 78-team.

Joey Logano: Logano is the only other driver to get a win in the last four races, and also has two wins here since the start of 2012. the 22-car has also led more laps than any other with 162 in the last four and 356 in the last 10, more than double his teammate who has the second most at 160 in the same span. Aside from the wins, Logano has nine top-10s in the last 10 races and is tied for the best average finish, with Kevin Harvick, at 7.6 over that span. The Ford’s love to try and make a statement in Ford’s backyard this week and with him looking better this year than last, Logano could challenge Larson when all is said and done.

Chase Elliott: Elliott has run four races here in his MENCS career, the first three were second place finishes (behind Logano then Larson) and last fall was a P8. Chase has also led 66 laps during his time at the track and recorded 73 fastest laps while spending 96% of his time in the top-15. Elliott also has the second best average driver rating in the last four races as well. All of that points to his consistency at the 2-mile track and why he is one to watch this week as he still tries to lockdown his first ever win in the Cup series.

Brad Keselowski: Like his Penske teammate, Keselowski has been out in front quite a bit here, but doesn’t have the win to show for it. Keselowski has two top-fives, two top-10s, four top-20s, and 131 laps led in the last four races. If you expand that out to the last 10 trips to the track, he has three top-fives, six top-10s, and 160 laps led (second in the field) with 80 fastest laps. Michigan is Keselowski’s home track but one that’s alluded him in the win column so far. When asked in interviews, it’s clear that it’s at the top of his list of tracks to win at and with his recent string of good finishes this season, it could happen…finally.

Jamie McMurray: Jamie Mac is a bit of a sleeper this week despite being in the mid-tier of salaries on both sites. He has finished in the top-10 in each of the last four races, one of only three drivers in the field to do that along with Larson and Elliott. Now he doesn’t have any laps led and only three fastest laps and only a +1.5 PD in that span, however consistent finishes are hard to come by. He is just a points play for the finish and won’t get you many if any dominator points but a solid 40+-point race from his salary shouldn’t be over looked.