We hope you’ve been enjoying your time over on Thrive Fantasy and you’ve been able to take home some money. Prop games can definitely be tough, especially when you’re dealing with a season like we are experiencing right now. Games being postponed don’t help as players are continuously thrown off their routine and tend to underperform. So don’t let it discourage you. Get right back on that horse and keep fighting.

It seemed to take Week 12 forever to finish, but now that it’s out of the way and the schedule is settled, lets lock in to the upcoming games. NFL Week 13 is looking like it could be a fun week, so let’s add to it with some more money won in prop game contests!

If you missed the introductory piece and are not familiar with Thrive Fantasy or their prop games, you should take a quick look at my introductory piece from last week for a real quick tutorial. It’s not complicated at all, but just in case you’re new to the space, it’s always good to brush up.

Now that you’re up to speed, let’s take a deeper dive into the contests this week. To keep it simple, we will again focus on the NFL $5 Rush. They have 20 props which I will list for you below with my thoughts on each one and you just need to pick 10 you like. Again, it helps to take some chances sometimes so you can maximize your points for the contests.

Remember, go to fantasyalarm.com./thrive to register and as an added incentive, Thrive Fantasy has graciously offered to immediately match your first deposit up to $250 if you use the promo code ALARM.

Jump in the $5 Rush to play against me or find another contest that may suit your preferences more. Either way, let’s make some money, #FANation. It’s right there for the taking!

Ryan Tannehill – 240.5 passing yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

The Titans have been leaning heavily on Derrick Henry lately which has left Tannehill on the under for this prop five of the last six games. But with the game’s over/under of 53.5, highest on the slate, it would see that Vegas expects this game to become a bit of a shoot-out. We’ve seen heavy ground games inspire a lot of play-action and this could be one of those games. Take the OVER.

Nick Chubb – 87.5 rushing yards

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

He hasn’t rushed for fewer than 114 yards since returning from the IR and it’s difficult to imagine the Titans, who are allowing 115.5 rushing yards per game this season, holding him down in this game. Take the OVER.

Justin Jefferson – 85.5 receiving yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

It’s a run-first offense and Adam Thielen is returning to the lineup this week. The Vikings aren’t going to need to pass heavily in this one to beat the Jags, so take the UNDER.

Allen Robinson – 5.5 receptions

  • Over = 105 pts
  • Under = 95 pts

He’s hit the over in each of his last four games and has been held to the under just four time all season. The return of Mitchell Trubisky means more targets for Robinson and this should be a cake-walk match-up for him against the Lions who just lost Desmond Trufant , their top cover-corner. Take the OVER.

Matthew Stafford – 20.5 completions

  • Over = 80 pts
  • Under = 120 pts

We’d like the over a little more if Kenny Golladay were actually returning this week, but that fact is still not yet known. Even so, Stafford has hit the over in five of his last six games and the Lions are expected to be playing this game from behind. Take the OVER.

Deshaun Watson – 1.5 passing touchdowns

  • Over = 90 pts
  • Under = 110 pts

The Colts defense is back to full health and Watson just lost his top target in Will Fuller . But, he’s also hit the over on this prop in all but three games. Tough call, but I’m going to maintain my belief that this Colts defense can contain the best of offenses when healthy. Take the UNDER.

Derek Carr – 0.5 interceptions

  • Over = 75 pts
  • Under = 125 pts

The Jets are the slump-busters of the NFL and if there’s a defense Carr can shred without concern, it’s them. I also like the heavy points total for the under, something you need if you’re going to win this contest. Take the UNDER.

Todd Gurley – 0.5 rushing touchdowns

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

He missed his first game of the season last week and while we’re still waiting for the injury report here on Friday, we can note that he was downgraded to no practice Thursday after a limited session on Wednesday. There’s a good chance he either sits completely or is on a very limited snap count against the Saints. I’ll lean on the UNDER.

DeVante Parker – 0.5 receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 115 pts
  • Under = 85 pts

If Ryan Fitzpatrick is under center, this is a lock for the over. If it’s Tua Tagovailoa at the helm, I’m slightly less bullish. Still, we’ve seen Tua throw to parker in the end zone in recent weeks and he’s easily the Dolphins best receiving weapon. Take the OVER.

Kyler Murray – 290.5 passing + rushing yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

There’s no question that Murray has been a shell of himself over these last two weeks. He injured his shoulder during the Week 10 match-up against the Bills and hasn’t been the same, throwing less and avoiding the run as much as possible. He’s doing a good job toughing it out, but now has to contend with the Rams, whose defense has been rock-solid this season. Until he can prove he’s back to his old self, take the UNDER.

Kenyan Drake – 76.5 rushing + receiving yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

While you would expect the team to do more running with Murray banged-up, I’m going to double-down on my concerns for the Cardinals and say that the Rams defense is just too much for them. After all, the Cardinals have only won one game in their last four and to win that one, they needed all the luck in the world on a Hail Mary. Take the UNDER.

Cooper Kupp – 70.5 receiving yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

Love this match-up for Kupp against Cardinals slot-corner Byron Murphy. The strength of this Arizona secondary is the outside coverage. Over the middle, they lack. Kupp should have no issues beating Murphy in coverage and this is where Jared Goff will lean. Take the OVER.

DK Metcalf – 5.5 receptions

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

After his 10-catch performance last week, everyone is going to float to the over, but Metcalf has been on the under for this prop seven times out of 11 games. With the fact that the Seahawks have been going back to their run-first ways, I’m going to go against the grain and take the UNDER.

Carson Wentz – 2.5 passing touchdowns + interceptions

  • Over = 85 pts
  • Under = 115 pts

The funny thing is that people are more concerned with the interceptions than the touchdowns when trying to figure out this prop. For me, it’s easy. The Packers are going to go up big, Wentz is going to struggle in his efforts to bring them back, he’ll throw two picks and likely fumble the ball away and the Eagles will replace him with Jalen Hurts. Take the UNDER.

Aaron Rodgers – 23.5 completions

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

He’s hit the over in four of his last five games and it’s tough to see him falling short this week. Davante Adams is going to have a field day with this Eagles secondary and Rodgers is going to bring them out to a comfortable lead before turning the game over to the ground attack. It will be close, but I’ll lean on the OVER.

Aaron Jones – 0.5 rushing touchdowns + receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 90 pts
  • Under = 110 pts

Well, Davante Adams isn’t going to be the only one to score a touchdown in this game, is he? I’ll bank on Jones finding his way into the end zone at some point Sunday. Take the OVER.

Melvin Gordon – 52.5 rushing + receiving yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

As bad as the Chiefs defense is against the run, it’s difficult to imagine, the Broncos staying with the ground game when they’re down three scores in the first half. Gordon is the pass-catching back so he’ll certainly help make things interesting, but he just doesn’t look good right now. Take the UNDER.

Cam Newton – 214.5 passing yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

Not only is Newton still banged-up, but the Chargers have allowed just 175 passing yards per game over their last three. Cam doesn’t have much in the way of receiving weapons and Bill Belichick schemes heavily for the run. Take the UNDER.

Austin Ekeler – 55.5 rushing yards

  • Over = 115 pts
  • Under = 85 pts

The Patriots run defense has been super-soft and while Ekeler is usually relied on more frequently for his pass-catching, he should be able to eke out 53 or more yards on the ground. Take the OVER.

Travis Kelce – 0.5 receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 105 pts
  • Under = 95 pts

All Kelce needs to do is get into the end zone once against Denver who ranks 17th in DVOA against the tight end position? OK. Sounds good to me. Take the OVER.

One more note: Thrive Fantasy understands the situation with COVID-19 can cause games to be postponed. As a result, they will ask you to choose two ICE (In Case of Emergency) props before you submit your entry just to keep you covered. They will be labeled as such so don’t worry about any confusion. Your 10 are your 10 should all games play.

Good luck and I’ll see you all in the money!