Welcome to the Thursday Night Showdown Slate for NFL Week 7!

When the schedule-makers put this one on the calendar there were a lot higher hopes for seeing a good game. But then Saquon Barkley went down, the Giants offensive line still stinks, all the Eagles receivers are hurt and their offensive line is just as bad right now. So goes life in the NFC Least. Doesn’t mean we still can’t play this game for DFS, though. Let’s get at it.

Before we start, please allow me to reiterate that while we all love having a little skin in the game, these showdown slates are basically lottery tickets. Sure, there are times when the chalk hits and everyone shares in the prizes, but more often than not, you need that random, differentiate yourself from the herd dart-throw to hit in order to claim that top prize. As a result, we encourage to play responsibly. Stick to the GPP contests (single-entry preferred), don’t blow your whole bankroll and understand that, unless you are a max-entry player, you should prioritize having fun.

OK, lecture over. Let’s get to tonight’s action.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

Spread: Eagles -4.5

O/U: 45

Betting Facts:

Money line: Eagles -235; Giants +200

Philadelphia is 20-18 against the spread in home games under coach Doug Pederson.

New York is 15-4 against the spread in road games since 2018 and 4-2 against the spread in their last six games against Philadelphia.

Weather:

High 60’s, partly cloudy with 10% chance of precipitation; winds ESE 3 mph

Last 5 Match-Ups:

Eagles lead 5-0

Average margin of victory of all games: 10.4

Last Match-Up: Eagles beat the Giants 34-17 in New York on 12/29/2019

Notable Injuries:

Eagles:

Miles Sanders (knee – out)

Alshon Jeffery (foot – out)

Zach Ertz (ankle – out)

Malik Jackson (quad – out)

Giants:

C.J. Board (concussion – out)

Defensive Rankings (Using DVOA):

Eagles:

vs Pass: 27th  

vs Run: 12th

Giants:

vs Pass: 23rd  

vs Run: 15th

Prop Bets to Watch:

The reason we are listing these here is to help you understand what the Vegas expectations are. If you aren’t routinely amazed by how accurate spreads and totals are, you haven’t been paying attention and you’re missing out on a valuable tool. Take a look at the list below and understand how to utilize for DFS. When you see the over and under have the same money line, that’s Vegas’ way of saying it can go either way. You have the base number and can determine whether you use a player or not based on that. But when there is a different money line on the over and unders (highlighted in green), Vegas is telling you what to expect. A negative money line means they feel it is more likely to happen which can help you make decisions regarding which players to play.

  • Daniel Jones Passing Yards: 232.5 (over & under -112); TD Passes: 1.5 (over +145, under -182)
  • Carson Wentz Passing Yards: 249.5 (over & under -112); TD Passes: 1.5 (over -108, under -115)
  • Devonta Freeman Rushing Yards: 54.5 (over & under -112); Receiving Yards: 20.5 (over +107, under -134)
  • Boston Scott Rushing Yards: 49.5 (over & under -112); Receiving Yards: 22.5 (over & under -112)
  • Corey Clement Rushing Yards: 20.5 (over & under -112); Receiving Yards: 7.5 (over & under -112)
  • Dion Lewis Receiving Yards: 10.5 (over & under -112)
  • Darius Slay ton Receiving Yards: 49.5 (over & under -112)
  • Golden Tate Receiving Yards: 38.5 (over & under -112)
  • Travis Fulgham Receiving Yards: 58.5 (over & under -112)
  • Greg Ward , Jr Receiving Yards: 34.5 (over & under -112)
  • DeSean Jackson Receiving Yards: 34.5 (over & under -112)
  • Evan Engram Receiving Yards: 39.5 (over & under -112)
  • Kaden Smith Receiving Yards: 9.5 (over & under -112)
  • Richard Rodgers Receiving Yards: 30.5 (over & under -112)

MVP/Captain

Carson Wentz , QB PHI – While the overall product hasn’t been what we had hoped in the preseason, Wentz has still managed to post 20-plus fantasy points in five of six games. The aerial work could stand some improvement for sure, but he’s posted a rushing touchdown in four of his last five games and has rushed for at least 35 yards in three of them. With no Miles Sanders we could see an increase in passing yards as well as watch him run in another.

Daniel Jones, WB NYG – He’s a contrarian play to Wentz if you want to keep a quarterback in your top spot. At some point, the passing touchdowns will come and that could be tonight as the Eagles have the sixth-worst coverage rating according to Pro Football Focus. What makes this an interesting choice also is the fact that the strength of the Eagles defense is their pass rush. Jones has rushed for at least 45 yards in three of his last four games and if the Eagles flush him out of the pocket, he should be able to pad those totals.  

Evan Engram , TE NYG – At some point this has to work, right? The Eagles give up the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the tight end position, rank 31st in DVOA coverage against tight end and allow an average of 61.7 receiving yards per game to them. With Darius Slay likely shadowing Darius Slay ton, perhaps this is the time Engram comes through for us.

Mid-Tier

Boston Scott , RB PHI – While the Giants have only given up an average of 106.5 rushing yards per game, they’ve coughed up six rushing touchdowns and rank 28th in DVOA against running back pass-plays. In fact, the opposition is throwing just over seven passes per game to their running backs who are accruing an average of 50.1 yards per game.

Devonta Freeman , RB NYG – The Eagles run defense has been run all over this season and they’ve now allowed an average of 125.5 yards per game and 10 rushing touchdowns on the season. Freeman has also being seeing a handful of targets as well, so with the Eagles ranking 18th against RB pass-plays, it should add to his value.

Travis Fulgham, WR PHI – We haven’t seen anything yet about Fulgham being shadowed by James Bradberry , so don’t expect him to move around too much, especially with DeSean Jackson coming back. When Fulgham is away from Bradberry, the coverage is, by a country mile, softer. He could continue his assault on secondaries this week.

Darius Slayton, WR NYG -- Warrants a look with or without the Darius Slay shadow. 

Dart Throws

DeSean Jackson , WR PHI – You can’t ignore him, right? First game back? Looking to make a splash? Let’s just hope he stays healthy for the entire game and Wentz gets to take some shots downfield.

Richard Rodgers , TE PHI – He’s everyone’s darling this week with Zach Ertz out and Dallas Goedert still on IR. The Giants don’t usually allow much to the tight end position, but with such limitations on weapons, Rodgers should be targeted fairly often.

Graham Gano , K NYG – Save some salary and bank on the Giants not being able to punch it into the green zone all the time. Gano should see ample opportunities in tonight’s game.