Welcome to the DFS Playbook for NFL Week 16!

Let's start this off right now with this: put Alvin Kamara 's six-touchdown game out of your mind. I've already received at least a half-dozen emails asking who on Sunday can post a Kamara-like day. Just stop. You're dreaming. Maybe it's the holidays and you're feeling the pangs of a tight fiscal budget or you think you went to church and prayed for a Christmas miracle or whatever. Kamara set an NFL record that had been intact since 1929, so if you think someone else is going to blow up to that level, you're nuts. I get it. What an amazing end to 2020 it would be if you could just take down that big GPP. That type of thinking is only going to siphon money out of your pocket and put it in the hands of the DFS sites. You're chasing here and you need to be smarter than that. I'm not try to piss in your Cheerios or pop your balloon. I'm trying to keep it real with you all and make sure you are staying on the proper path. Winning at DFS takes patience and hard work. Don't think you're suddenly going to bust out some crazy, big win becuase you're getting desperate with the season ending soon. Stick to the plan and keep grinding.

As for this week's main slate, we are going to focus the majority of our attention on players who have something to play for, whether it's a playoff spot for their team or a personal record. A player with an incentive is a hungry player and that's where we want to focus most of our attention. Are there match-ups where the stakes may not be that high but could still smash? Of course. And we'll try to highlight those as well.  

As always, for those who may be joining us late, here is your three-step process to lead you up to going through your favorite Playbook plays:

Step 1: Check out the DFS Position Coaches

QB Coach -- James "Babyface" Grande (@The_Real_Grande)

RB Coach -- Justin Vreeland (@JustinVreeland)

WR Coach -- Colby Conway (@colbyrconway)

TE Coach -- Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco)

D/ST Coach -- Dan Malin (@RealDANlanta)

Step 2: Check out the rest of the relevant DFS content

In addition to the positional coaching pieces, you also have things like the DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a list of players I am looking at throughout the week. We have the NFL DFS Podcast with Jon Impemba (@jimpemba777), who also does the Contrarian Corner video and special guest Babyface Grande this week, you can check out the DFS Bargains from Jen Piacenti (@jenpiacenti). Our Master of Tools, Matt Selz (@theselzman), supplies you data junkies with the Weekly Match-Up Report and everyone should also be reading the Weekly Game Previews and WR/CB Match-Up Report from Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance).

Step 3: Make your own list of players

It's real easy to just sit and wait for the Playbook, but as you are doing your research throughout the week, it is important to make notes and list the players who interest you the most. Maybe they end up in the Playbook and maybe they don't. If they're there, then great, it should mean we are honing in on the same things that make him a strong play. If not, maybe you're onto something else that someone overlooked. We aren't perfect and if you uncover something different, maybe you're right. I would be careful of routine groupthink and hype from beat writers, but often times someone will tell me something they saw about their local team that I missed and I am always looking to investigate more if its there. If you do, then say something in the chat. Talk it out and see what the rest of the #FAmily thinks.That's why the chat is there, isn't it?

With those three steps complete and discussions are in progress, you are ready to look at the Playbook players, make comparisons and finalize your list for lineups, so let's get to it.

UPDATE (12/26 -- 6pm ET)

We have learned that the all the Browns wide receivers -- Jarvis Landry , Rashard Higgins , Donovan Peoples-Jones and Khadarel Hodge -- have been placed on the reserve/COVID list and will not play in Week 16. Landry has been removed from the Playbook. We will wait to hear about Baker Mayfield , Austin Hooper and any other skill players before we remove them too.

UPDATE (12/27 -- 6:30am ET)

Keenan Allen is expected to be OUT for this week, according to Adam Schefter -- see below for the pivot

KEY:
     
  Inactive
(Max 3)
                          
Pos Player MatchupOpponent Rank RTDailyBreakDownWeather
QB P. MahomesKC@JAC
Sun 1:00
31st $UPGRADE
QB L. JacksonBAL@MIA
Sun 1:00
6th $UPGRADE
QB D. WatsonHOU@NO
Mon 7:10
2nd $UPGRADE
QBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
QBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
QBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
QBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
RB N. ChubbTEN@CLE
Sun 1:00
15th $UPGRADE
RB D. MontgomeryGB@CHI
Thu 8:20
19th $UPGRADE
RB M. SandersWAS@PHI
Sun 1:00
13th $UPGRADE
RBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
RBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
RBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
RBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
RBUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WR T. HillKC@JAC
Sun 1:00
31st $UPGRADE
WR A. RobinsonGB@CHI
Thu 8:20
14th $UPGRADE
WR C. KuppLA@CAR
Sun 1:00
27th $UPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
WR M. WilliamsIND@LAC
Sun 4:05
4th $UPGRADE
WRUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
TE T. KelceKC@JAC
Sun 1:00
31st $UPGRADE
TE M. AndrewsBAL@MIA
Sun 1:00
6th $UPGRADE
TE L. ThomasWAS@PHI
Sun 1:00
20th $UPGRADE
TEUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
TEUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
TEUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
TEUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
DST C. BearsGB@CHI
Thu 8:20
7th $UPGRADE
DST I. ColtsIND@LAC
Sun 4:05
2nd $UPGRADE
DST L. RamsLA@CAR
Sun 1:00
15th $UPGRADE
DSTUPGRADEBothUPGRADE
DSTUPGRADEBothUPGRADE