(+800) eStar Gaming v Suning (-1800) 

(+290) Bilibili Gaming v FunPlus Phoenix (-450) 

(+250) DRX v Gen.G (-350)

(+140) Afreeca Freecs v liiv SANDBOX (-180) 

Very meaningful games on this slate. Even with all LPL slots filled for playoffs there are still some shifts that can take place. For the LCK there is still movement at the top to be decided. Great games to be played especially to see if FPX continues their free fall or if there is a way for them to salvage their last game and stay in the top six.  

 

Game #1 eStar Gaming v Suning 

Cann’s Pick: Suning 

 

Game #2: Bilibili Gaming v FunPlus Phoenix

Cann’s Pick: FunPlus Phoenix

 

Game #3: DRX v Gen.G

Cann’s Pick: Gen.G

 

Game #4: Afreeca Freecs v liiv SANDBOX 

Cann’s Pick: liiv SANDBOX 

Fantasy Value Breakdown

 

Captain

 

Favorite: huanfeng (SN: $12,300) In the year of the ADC, huanfeng has taken full advantage. His playstyle is far closer to a Teddy or a Viper with a safer in laning phase but does look to make plays later in team fights. I think you can overlook him because his laning phase is so quiet and some of that is his support (ON) tends to be a little more passive but there is a reason he is this expensive. I generally would suggest not spending this much on a captain but he should have a pretty straightforward day at the office against rat who is averaging 48.1 FPPG while huanfeng is averaging 76.6. 

 

Value Pick: Bdd (GEN: $10,800)

 

Top Lane

 

Favorite: bin (SUN: $7,000) Random fact about bin. He has the highest level of team kill share percentage with top laners over 10 games at 22% and a total of 96 kills this split. With his 4.3 KDA and finds advantages in gold (+75) and experience (+48) at 10 minutes which playing into zs means he should be able to make his points today. 

 

Value Pick: Summit (LSB: $6,600) 

 

Jungle

 

Favorite: Beichuan (FPX: $7,600) Forget everything you saw in the V5 series. Beichuan is an elite jungler and you should see him as such. He has almost 77% team kill participation with an average of over 3 kills per game and over 8 assists per game. BLG’s Meteor is a scary but he and BLG have slumped for periods throughout this split and he is coming off of his worst performance with 12.5 points earned in his series against Suning. I like the bounceback here for FPX.

 

Value Pick: Dread (AF: $6,400) 

 

Mid Lane

 

Favorite: Doinb (FPX: $7,400) With a 4.8 KDA, Doinb has been very consistent this split. He has decent kill numbers (105) and even better assist numbers (253). While he only earned 38 points against V5, he did drop 114 against TT the game before. I think the V5 game was an outlier and FPX should be back in the swing of things in this game and moving into the playoffs. 

 

Value Pick: SOLKA (DRX: $6,000)   

 

ADC

 

Favorite: Ruler (GEN: $7,600) This is a slam dunk. I do think DRX is pretty good, but it is clear that they cannot really put it together against the top of the league. BAO does have more kills (164) than Ruler (152) but he also has more deaths (96)  than Ruler (68). I think top to bottom Gen.G plays a more consistent game and relies less on individuals like DRX does. 

 

Value Pick: Prince (LSB: $7,400) 

 

Support

 

Favorite: Crisp (FPX: $5,600) You can feel pretty secure with this pick. Crisp (even in rougher games) has always been a consistent performer. He has 332 assists and a team kill participation of 67.6% and a first blood participation rate of 30%. He will get Lwx through laning phase but then also help control team fights later in the game. Pray for him to get Rell, he will take over the match then.  

 

Value Pick: Mark (BLG: $4,200) 

 

Team

 

Favorite: Suning ($5,800) This is the safe pick on the day. Looking at the whole body of work for eStar it is easy to see that they are just not coming together as 5 members. We see players like rat and irma have stand out games but you never see them hit their stride at the same time. Suning has struggled for a period but they look to be in form at the right time moving into playoffs.  

 

Value Pick: Afreeca Freecs ($4,600)

 

Cann’s Example Lineup

DraftKings Classic 

$50,000 Salary Cap

 

Captain (x1.5): Bdd ($10,800)

Alternate: Clid ($9,900)

Top: Rascal ($6,400)

Jungle: Beichuan ($7,600)

Alternate: Clid ($6,600)
Mid: FATE ($7,600)

ADC: Ruler ($7,600)

Alternate: BAO ($6,600)

Support: Life ($5,000)

Team: liiv SANDBOX ($4,800)