(-1400) Rare Atom v LGD (+700)

(-800) Invictus Gaming v ThunderTalk Gaming (+475)

 

This slate is superior chalky but don’t overlook the importance of these matches. For both LGD and TT they are looking to right the ship in the last few weeks of play to have a better showing in the Summer Split. For IG, it is do or die. Coming back from the break they were one of the top teams in the league and now they are at 6-7 and on the bubble for missing the playoffs. Rare Atom is on fire as of late and are only one game out of first for the league looking to finish strong. Let’s dive in and break down this match.  

 

Game #1 Rare Atom v LGD

Cann’s Pick: Rare Atom

 

Game #2: Invictus Gaming v ThunderTalk Gaming

Cann’s Pick: Invictus Gaming

Fantasy Value Breakdown

Captain

 

Favorite: FoFo (RA: $11,400) FoFo has the 6th most kills among LPL mid laners at 93 and very realistically can crest 100 in this series. His lane opponent (Uniboy) has 5 less kills than he has deaths (60-65) and has a 2.6 KDA compared to FoFo’s 6.1 KDA. Probably the safest play on the slate, even with the resurgent play of iBoy as of late.

 

Value Pick: Puff (IG: $11,400)

 

Top Lane

 

Favorite: Cube (RA: $6,600) It may be a shock that TheShy wasn’t the pick here (or even in the value spot) but his hot and then cold performances do not make for great DFS play. Cube has two more kills than TheShy (71 v 69) but also has about 30 less deaths. Cube also has a first blood participation rate of almost 25% which is really high for top laners. Love this pick into LGD’s Cult who has only 37 kills and 67 deaths (still less than TheShy though).

 

Value Pick: Chelizi (TT: $5,800) 

 

Jungle

 

Favorite: XUN (IG: $7,200) It is hard to not bring up the fact that IG has taken a bit of a nosedive since their upset win over EDG losing 3 of the next 4 series and 2 of those series being 0-2 losses. That being said, you cannot take away the fact that XUN is a baller and still the kill leader for junglers in the LPL with 132 and the next closest is at 107. He has one of the highest team kill share percentages at 32.4% and a 73% team kill participation. Even when things are not breaking IG’s way, XUN is still usually a decent pick.   

 

Value Pick: Leyan (RA: $7,000) 

 

Mid Lane

 

Favorite: Rookie (IG: $7,400) Rookie is hamstrung by some of the really inconsistent play by his teammates. That is part of the reason why you see Puff and Lucas now playing but it still sometimes doesn’t matter. He has 80 kills and a 4.4 KDA through their 29 games this split. He crushes lane which is seen through having the highest gold differentials at 10 min among mid laners (+283) and also posts a respectable +129 experience differential as well. While there is an outside chance that TT keeps this series close, Twila is going to have a hard time keeping it close if IG performs to the level they should be performing. 

 

Value Pick: Twila (TT: $6,600)   

 

ADC

 

Favorite: iBoy ($7,800) iBoy has really changed the narrative surrounding him. Seen as the second coming of LPL bot laners (which the LPL has been known for since the beginning of international play) but had started the split most people doubted he would ever reach the potential that people had once thought. He is now at a 4.3 KDA with 114 kills and 156 assists in their 29 games and has lead Rare Atom to nine straight series wins and only dropping 2 games in that stretch. This team has hit their stride at a dangerous time with the split starting to wane and playoffs around the corner. It is time to start respecting iBoy again. 

 

Value Pick: SamD (TT: $7,000) 

 

Support

 

Favorite: Hang (RA: $5,800) While Hang is not the most impressive support in the LPL, he is definitely worth the bot/support stack for this slate. LGD has the lowest performing supports (Chance, Peace) in the LPL and Hang is obviously supporting the hottest ADC in the league right now in iBoy. The struggles from the beginning of the split are slowly being overwritten and the bot lane has a lot to do with it. 

 

Value Pick: Lucas (IG: $5,400) 

 

Team

 

Favorite: Rare Atom ($5,400) Widest margin of odds by Bolvada for good reason. LGD may be the weakest team they will have faced in their last 10 series and Rare Atom has won 9 of them. Decent price as well for this pick too. They have the fourth best mid/late game rating in the LPL and are averaging a gold lead at 15 minutes of 683 which is 6th best in the league. 

 

Value Pick: Invictus Gaming ($5,200)


 

Cann’s Example Lineup

DraftKings Classic 

$50,000 Salary Cap

 

Captain (x1.5): Cube ($9,900)

Alternate: SamD ($10,500)

Top: TheShy ($6,400)

Jungle: Leyan ($7,000)

Alternate: XUN ($7,200)
Mid: Rookie ($7,400)

ADC: iBoy ($7,800)

Alternate: Puff ($7,600)

Support: Lucas ($5,400)

Team: Rare Atom ($5,400)