Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 9 *Updated*
Dan Malin examines the ownership percentages and recent trends to bring you his top waiver wire adds heading into Week Nine of the fantasy football season!
Today is a big day for the NFL with the trade deadline, but more importantly it’s a big day for our country. I’m an idiot and didn’t request an absentee ballot so I’ll be getting up at 4:00am ET to wait in line to hopefully vote around 7:00am. So because I’m anticipating a longer day between voting and work, I’m still going to jump in the NFL Seasonal Chat from 4:00-6:00pm ET and again from 8:00pm-10:00pm ET. Now for some of you West coast members of the FANation, or just subscribers who can’t make it to the chat, I’ve created a new option to help with waivers. If you have any questions throughout Tuesday regarding waivers, shoot an email to firstname.lastname@example.org and I’ll be checking that email throughout the day at work. You can also follow me on Twitter (@RealDANlanta) but I don’t check that nearly as much as my email through the workday. So, if you typically miss me in the NFL Seasonal Chat, don’t hesitate to hit me up in the new email. I’ll help with waivers tomorrow and throughout the week I’ll also lend a hand with your start/sit questions as well as DFS advice as well. But for right now, we’re in the midst of a pretty good week on waivers, so let’s break down the best additions for this week!
Derek Carr (LV) Some fantasy managers might be turned off by Carr after last week’s disappointing performance. But keep in mind they were a couple wind gusts away from playing that game in the middle of a tornado. The conditions were far from ideal and this week he’ll be in the beautiful locale of Southern California in that world class SoFi Stadium. The Chargers traded away All-Pro defensive back Desmond King and I do believe this will be one of the higher scoring games on the slate. I’m looking for Carr to bounce back with multiple touchdowns this week. The Chargers are allowing about 20-22 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks so we cannot be afraid to stream Carr this week. FAAB Bid: 10-12%
Teddy Bridgewater (CAR) I’m sure this will elicit some groans from those of you with eyeballs, but this is basically the last time we really need to get usage from Bridgewater. They’re playing the Chiefs. They’ll be chasing points. The Queen City Kitties are (probably) getting Christian McCaffrey back since he’s been back at practice for over a week now. Bridgewater has been a dud the last three games and Mike Davis hasn’t performed well. With McCaffrey back, Bridgewater can check down to the team’s franchise player and maybe the defense accounting for McCaffrey will open things up for D.J. Moore , Robbie Anderson, and Curtis Samuel . You just have to get the bitter taste out of your mouth if you’ve played him lately and roll with him one more time into a great matchup. FAAB Bid: 7%
Nick Mullens (SF) Mullens is the starting quarterback for San Francisco going forward so that warrants a little consideration as a streamer in deeper leagues or maybe two-quarterback leagues. He normally falls on varying ends of the spectrum of a respectable 16-to-18-point performance in fantasy… Or he’s a trainwreck. This week could go poorly for him against the Packers on a short week, but he’s surprised us a couple times before. The Packers have allowed multiple touchdown passes to five-of-seven opposing quarterbacks this year. FAAB Bid: 6%
Zack Moss (BUF) In yesterday’s Hot Takes article I noted that Devin Singletary could possibly be dropped. And while sometimes I’ll really reach for a take with that article, there is legitimately a part of me that believes Singletary is droppable. It will be very difficult for him to find the end zone. On Sunday, Singletary didn’t get a single carry inside the ten-yard line. Moss had six touches from inside the ten and both his touchdown runs came from that part of the field as well. He’s two inches taller and 20 pounds heavier than Singletary so he’s built better for third down runs and goal line work. Josh Allen scored on the ground as well so it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Singletary is scoring. He may still have some appeal in PPR formats, but Buffalo needs to be getting into shootouts with their opponent if that is to happen for Singletary. Moss is the must-add of the week. FAAB Bid: 23%
J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards (BAL) Similar to D’Andre Swift, J.K. Dobbins saw a nice little breakout game following Baltimore’s bye week. Unlike Swift, he didn’t find the end zone but it was still a very impressive showing for the rookie who had an easier path with Mark Ingram inactive. He totaled over 100 rushing yards with double-digit carries and flashed some explosiveness when the ball was in his hands. Going forward, Dobbins and Edwards will likely be in a timeshare. So in deeper leagues, if he’s available, Gus Edwards is worth rostering as well, but at this point he may only be an option in 12-team leagues. After looking at some ownership numbers, Edwards is actually fairly available and he's a touchdown candidate on a weekly basis if they're on the goal line. But Dobbins is available in about 50% of ESPN leagues after frustrated owners started dropping him. Grab Dobbins for some much needed depth and talent. The schedule is tough in the immediate future, but it opens up nicely with some friendly matchups aside from the Colts and Steelers. FAAB Bid: 18% (for Dobbins) 10-12% (for Edwards)
Cam Akers (LAR) Welcome back to the good graces of the fantasy football community, Mr. Akers! May I take your coat? I’m the president of the “Darrell Henderson is the guy in Los Angeles” fan club but there’s nothing I can do if the guy gets hurt. The Rams are heading into their bye week so that’s good news for Henderson as it gives him an extra week to rest up. And I’m not doctor, but a thigh injury doesn’t seem nearly as bad as an ankle or hamstring injury. But once Henderson left, we saw Akers and Malcolm Brown split the workload and while Akers didn’t look as good as Henderson, we have to acknowledge potential volume. If Henderson does miss the Rams’ Week 10 contest against Seattle, we could see a breakout game for Akers similar to D’Andre Swift and J.K. Dobbins. FAAB Bid: 12-13%
DeeJay Dallas (SEA) It’s likely that either Chris Carson or Carlos Hyde could return this week but in the event they don’t Dallas needs to be rostered against a Bills defense that is allowing about 135 rushing yards per game. Dallas also caught all five of his targets so while it may be the system that’s catering to him, he’s going to make the most of the opportunity. He’s a RB2 this week if Carson and Hyde have to miss another week. FAAB Bid: 10-12%
Jamycal Hasty (SF) Like clockwork, the 49ers are dealing with another injured running back. Coleman came back for about a cup of coffee and now he’s hurt once again. With the 49ers slated to play Green Bay on Thursday that means the San Francisco backfield will likely revolve around Hasty and Jerick McKinnon . McKinnon’s looked bad and apparently his legs are tired so I’m of the mindset Hasty gets most of the work on the ground for San Francisco. They’ll likely approach it with a run-heavy game plan but they may have to ditch that if the Packers get too big of a lead. Hasty’s a pretty good play to get at least a dozen touches against a Green Bay defense that can’t stop the run and never was that more evident than on Sunday against Dalvin Cook . FAAB Bid: 10%
Matt Breida (MIA) A VERY late addition to the waiver wire following the Myles Gaskin news. Gaskin is now out for three weeks and Breida can be added as a short-term play assuming he claims the Gaskin role. He's likely available in a vast majority of leagues and is an obvious grab given the need for running back depth. I don't know if I want to play him this week unless desperate. FAAB Bid: 7-8%
Damien Harris (NE) A week after I said there aren’t any Patriots I’d want to own in fantasy, here I am recommending a running back. It’s that kind of year. And while I won’t make any bids on Harris, he’s a talented running back that has a bright future. However, he’s mostly a play in non-PPR formats because he doesn’t get much use in the passing game. But he’s capable of double-digit carries and now has two 100-yard performances on the ground. The Patriots play the Jets next Monday night so given the landscape of the running back position and injuries at the position, you might be looking at Harris as a flex option. FAAB Bid: 7%
Jordan Wilkins (IND) I don’t love Wilkins as much as I do some of the other names above him, but I understand the need to go after him following the news that Jonathan Taylor is dealing with a mild ankle issue. As a Taylor owner, this is disheartening because the schedule is so great going forward. But he’s had some mental lapses where he’s just run into his own offensive line while not reading the play in front of him. Nyheim Hines could be worth a look as well in PPR formats. He caught two touchdowns on Sunday, but Wilkins saw 20 carries and found the end zone also. If Taylor is healthy he’s probably still the guy and should still get double-digit touches. If he does have to miss any time, Wilkins is my preferred target over Hines. FAAB Bid: 6%
Tyler Ervin and Dexter Williams (GB) Ervin and Williams are late additions to the article following the news that Jamaal Williams and A.J. Dillon will be unavailable for Thursday's game against San Francisco. There's still the outside chance that Aaron Jones plays but it depends on how his calf is holding up. Even if he doesn't practice before Thursday's game he's still a must-start if he's active. For Ervin and Williams? Keep the bid light. If your running back group has been stripped to the bone then you can make a run at either of these guys. I'm not high on either but if you subscribe to the theory that the running back position is grounded more in opportunity than talent, then you probably feel better about them than I do. I would easily prefer going after Gus Edwards than these two though. FAAB Bid: 5-6%
Christian Kirk (ARI) I’ll keep this brief because I’ve talked him up before. But Christian Kirk is still available in about half of ESPN’s league and he might be emerging as the number-two option in Arizona’s passing attack. Prior to the team’s bye he had four touchdowns in his last two games and they have a schedule on the horizon that could call for more passing. If he’s available, he might be my favorite receiver to grab this week. FAAB Bid: 12-13%
Allen Lazard (GB) Lazard has been inching closer and closer to returning, but alas, it didn’t come to fruition in Week 8. With a short week of prep for Week 9, it’s possible he is active for Thursday’s game against San Francisco but no guarantee. I still believe he’s worth stashing because he’s getting closer to coming back. He was emerging as the number-two pass catching option behind Davante Adams prior to the injury. The Packers have also been looking into acquiring Brandin Cooks or Will Fuller from Houston. Lazard’s obviously hoping this isn’t the case and if the Packers don’t make the move, he has an opportunity to show them they already had another reliable pass catcher. FAAB Bid: 12%
Mike Williams (LAC) Aside from Ezekiel Elliott , Kenyan Drake , Lamar Jackson , Mark Andrews , and a few others, Mike Williams is a pretty frustrating player to have on your fantasy team. He has three games this year with at least eight targets but four or fewer targets in the other three games. He has the ability to be a fantastic wideout in this league. He has elite size and can win the jump ball battle. Staying healthy has been a challenge. He’ll have good weeks and bad weeks, but amidst the bye week gauntlet right now, the Chargers have some great matchups coming up so he could be in play to fill in for some of your regular receivers. FAAB Bid: 12%
Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) With Kenny Golladay likely to miss some time with a hip injury, Marvin Jones becomes a solid add if he’s available in your leagues. He caught a pair of touchdowns on Sunday and saw seven targets. With Golladay sidelined he could be in line for at least eight on a weekly basis. Detroit has a really good matchup next week against Minnesota. The Vikings are allowing 287 passing yards per game (third-most in the league) so it makes too much sense to grab him if he’s sitting on waivers. FAAB Bid: 10-11%
Corey Davis (TEN) I was hoping it wouldn’t come to this, but I won’t lie to myself anymore; Corey Davis is having a good season. Despite missing two games he has 39 targets in five games with 29 total catches including touchdowns in back-to-back games. He’s seen double-digit targets in his last two games so he is definitely worth picking up off waivers. However, you may not be starting him right away. Over Tennessee’s next four games they’ll face the Bears, Colts, Ravens, and then the Colts again. You may not be looking at Davis as a guy you want to play in the fantasy playoffs but the schedule lines up well for him. Let’s take it one week at a time because for now he’s depth for your receivers. FAAB Bid: 10%
Curtis Samuel (CAR) I hate the usage because it’s not necessarily something we can predict, but they’re finding ways to get the ball in his hands. He’s touched the ball at least five times in every game this season for Carolina. He has 19 carries through seven games and he has a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games. Again, we can’t always expect that but he’s productive when he has the ball in his hands. He also caught his first touchdown of the season last week and you have to think they’ll find ways to get the ball in his hands next week against the Chiefs. FAAB Bid: 8-9%
Russell Gage (ATL) We’re going back to giving Russell Gage an opportunity in deeper leagues. With Calvin Ridley possibly missing a game or two, Gage stands to benefit. We saw him emerge with 19 targets through the team’s first two games but with Julio and Ridley both healthy he’s been an afterthought. Now that Ridley has gone down we can expect Gage to get a little more work especially next week against a pretty terrible Denver defense. I wouldn’t spend too much on him because I like the above options much more and it’s possible Ridley comes back in Week 11 following Atlanta’s bye. FAAB Bid: 3-5%
Dallas Goedert (PHI) You may not have liked Goedert’s production but coming back from an ankle injury he played a vast majority of the team’s offensive snaps and ran a good amount of routes as well. Carson Wentz was just terrible Sunday night against one of the worst defenses in the league. If you lost George Kittle for the season you should be targeting Goedert as a replacement. With Zach Ertz still sidelined with his own ankle injury we’re looking at Goedert as a potential top ten tight end rest of season. The trouble you might have is that you’ll need to pick up a pair of tight ends to replace Kittle because Goedert and the Eagles are on bye this week. FAAB Bid: 14-20% based on need
Eric Ebron (PIT) Ebron’s been more of a streamer this season, but with Kittle done for the year and considering the general chaos of the tight end position, Ebron just might be a viable long-term option despite all the mouths to feed in Pittsburgh. He’s getting about five-to-seven targets each week with a handful of catches. If he hits paydirt and scores then that’s fantastic. You’ll gladly take that. But he can provide enough of a floor going forward and next week the Steelers face off against the lowly Dallas Cowboys. FAAB Bid: 10-12%
Trey Burton (IND) Call it the Indy Special, but Burton’s strangely getting carries when the Colts get close to the goal line. This week it’s a tough matchup and Philip Rivers does have three tight ends to utilize at his disposal. But Burton has been getting about five targets per game and he’s scored three times in his last two contests. Two of those have come on the ground, but maybe that play is a mainstay in the Colts playbook. It’s clearly worked for them so far. FAAB Bid: 7-8%
Gerald Everett (LAR) Everett isn’t a must-add this week, but he’s worth having on your radar. The Rams are on bye next week but Everett has been getting more work with Tyler Higbee out of the lineup. He saw nine targets on Sunday in Miami (but everyone saw elevated targets) but I just wish he was doing more with his receptions. He caught a touchdown last week against the Bears, but it’s anybody’s guess who will get the touches when the Rams are in the red zone. Cooper Kupp has been getting a lot more work and they love using Robert Woods on jet sweeps. Don’t feel like you need to pick up Everett this week. Burton and Reed will help you more in the short-term. FAAB Bid: 4-5%
Jordan Reed (SF) If looking to replace George Kittle , one could easily just grab his backup. But this comes with a few caveats. For starters, Reed is no stranger to injuries. He probably orders an ice pack as a side dish when dining out. Oddly enough he’s been hurt recently but he’s back to practicing now that he’s been activated off IR. The other concern is the quarterback play. Jimmy Garoppolo wasn’t great by any means but Nick Mullens is a bit of a downgrade despite the occasional big game. Definitely keep the FAAB bid in check. One bad hit and we could be looking at wasted money with Reed. FAAB Bid: 4-5%
Washington Football Team (vs. NYG) We will 100% go back to the well with Washington after they paid off in a big way in season long and DFS a couple weeks ago against Dallas. Washington put up six fantasy points against the Giants just a couple weeks ago, but they’re a little more healthy this time around and the pass rush had six sacks on Dallas two weeks ago and we’ll go back to Washington in this spot. Typically, D/ST’s going against New York are getting at least nine fantasy points but we could see a double-digit day from Washington this week if they can put enough pressure on Daniel Jones.
Green Bay Packers (at SF) I don’t love the Packers this week but knowing what we know about the absences of Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle , this might be a stream-worthy matchup for fantasy managers. The Packers defense isn’t very good by any stretch of the imagination. San Francisco should be able to run the ball on Green Bay and maybe Nick Mullens has a patented three-touchdown performance. That’s certainly a risk, but it’s a short week of prep for both teams and I’ll recommend Green Bay given how decimated the 49ers are.
Arizona Cardinals (vs. MIA) I’m not opposed to using Arizona this week, I mostly wrote them up to put them on everybody’s radar. In Weeks 13-16 they draw the Rams, Giants, Eagles, and 49ers with only the Giants game coming on the road. This is a playoff schedule that looks very tempting from a fantasy perspective as the Cardinals could arguably be used in each game. I’d feel better if they had Chandler Jones , but we’ll still take advantage of the matchups when the time comes. This week at least, they’re in play against Miami. I wasn’t impressed with Miami’s offense. They totaled just 145 yards of offense and won the game because of two defensive touchdowns. But the Cardinals are in play with eight sacks and seven turnovers in their last three games. Also, this team is coming off their bye week and they’ll be well rested.
Houston Texas (at JAX) Both the Jaguars and Texans are coming off their respective bye weeks. Jacksonville is making a change at quarterback with Gardner Minshew a little beat up. With Minshew out, Jake Luton is going to be under center for Jacksonville this week. While I have little reason to love this Houston defense we have to at least like the matchup. Jacksonville will probably lean heavily on the run, but if they fall behind too much maybe they are forced into throwing it more which presents more opportunities for turnovers. This is more of a deep-league grab. The priority this week is Washington.