CBB DFS Playbook & Example Lineups: February 8 (Early)
Dan Servodidio brings you the top plays to build your lineups around for today's early slate of games!
Highest Scoring Teams:
(by Implied Points & Spreads per KenPom)
Florida State -- 80 Points (-14 vs. Miami FL) **DK ONLY**
Auburn -- 79 Points (-4 vs. LSU)
Dayton -- 79 Points (-16 vs. Saint Louis)
Georgetown -- 77 Points (-5 vs. DePaul) **FD ONLY**
LSU -- 75 Points (+4 vs. Auburn)
Michigan State -- 72 Points (-2 vs. Michigan)
West Virginia -- 72 Points (-5 vs. Oklahoma)
DePaul -- 72 Points (+5 vs. Georgetown) **FD ONLY**
Villanova -- 71 Points (-2 vs. Seton Hall)
Michigan -- 70 Points (+2 vs. Michigan State)
Seton Hall -- 69 Points (+2 vs. Villanova)
Kansas -- 69 Points (-10 vs. TCU)
Florida -- 69 Points (-3 vs. Mississippi)
Myles Powell - Seton Hall ($8,700 DK / $7,900 FD)
If you’ve paid attention to college basketball at all this season, you know about Myles Powell. The senior is one of the best pure scorers in the country and his explosive offensive game is the main reason why Seton Hall is generating Final Four buzz lately. Powell is coming a scoring outburst on Wednesday vs. Georgetown when he had 34 points on a whopping 24 shot attempts for 50 DK points. Although that performance is usually the DFS ceiling for him, Powell has proven multiple times this year that he can put up 35-45 DK points in any given game and on a consistent basis. Today’s matchup is definitely a tough one on the road against Villanova, but we can count on Powell getting his shots up as his 38% shots share and 33% usage rate are both second in the Big East so far.
Cassius Winston - Michigan State ($8,100 DK / $7,600 FD)
It’s been an up-and-down season for Michigan State’s senior point guard, but Cassius Winston is playing a lot better recently and he’s seem to have hit his offensive stride that made him one of the most consistent DFS plays from last year. Winston has now put up at least 36 DK points in three of the last four games and he’s scored 23 and 25 actual points in back-to-back outings. His DFS floor is usually pretty safe because of his high usage (32%), shots share (33%) and assist rate (40%) on offense - all three marks are among the top two in the Big Ten. Plus, when Winston faced Michigan earlier this season he dropped a whopping 50 DK points thanks to his 32 points scored and nine assists. Today is yet another opportunity to “buy low” on Winston as his current price tags are notably cheaper than what he’s usually priced at and the DFS production he’s capable of - something he’s proven over the last four games.
Marcus Garrett - Kansas ($6,800 DK / $6,900 FD)
While Devon Dotson and Udoka Azubuike receive all the national praise for Kansas’ dominant play this season, it’s Marcus Garrett who does all the little things to help the team win - and it’s resulted in him being very productive for DFS. The junior combo guard has now put up at least 29 DK points in four straight games and in six of the last seven as his stat-stuffing ability helps him be valuable despite not being a high-volume scorer. In this recent seven-game stretch, Garrett is averaging 11 points, 5.1 assists, 5.6 rebounds and two blocks/steals per outing. His production in every stat category has kept his DFS value pretty safe and his role as the backup point guard when Dotson is off the floor is underrated right now. Garrett’s 30% assist rate during conference play actually leads the team and is the third-best in the Big 12. His salaries on both sites are fair for what he’s been doing and he represents a solid cash game play today.
Javonte Perkins - Saint Louis ($5,400 DK / $5,300 FD)
Not many people will target the Saint Louis players on today’s slate because of the tough matchup vs. Dayton - but one affordable option from the team is Javonte Perkins. The junior wing is honestly not priced right today for what his DFS value and offensive role has been lately. During conference play, Perkins leads the Billikens in shots share (30%) and usage rate (27%) and he’s averaging 20.6 real points per game over the last six games. One of those recent games was against Dayton in mid-January - and Perkins calmly scored 25 points on 17 shot attempts en route to 33 DK points. Against Atlantic 10 competition, the Saint Louis offense clearly revolves around Perkins’ ability to be aggressive offensively and forcing defenses to respect his scoring despite Jordan Goodwin and Hasahn French being threats as well. He’s 5x-ed his current price tag in four of the last six games and could be a nice contrarian option at guard today.
Jahvon Blair - Georgetown ($4,100 FD Only)
If you’re playing on FanDuel today, the main injury situation to monitor involves the Georgetown backcourt and we could get Jahvon Blair at a value once again. The Hoyas’ best scorer and starting shooting guard, Mac McClung, has missed the last two games with a foot injury and he could be out again today - or at least limited as coach Patrick Ewing said McClung is still “day-to-day.” Blair has started the past two games with McClung out and he would be in line for extended usage and playing time again today. In his two starts, Blair put up 34 and 24 FD points with 40 minutes played in both outings while averaging 20.5 points scored. His current FD salary frankly does not reflect what his production has been over the last two games - and he would be a huge value if McClung is out for a third straight.
Chase Harler - West Virginia ($4,000 DK / $3,700 FD)
Before you lock in Chase Harler as a value play, it’s important to understand how deep the West Virginia rotation is with 9-10 players getting regular playing time every game. The team has so much depth, especially at guard, that it becomes tough to trust any of them for cash. In tournaments, though, Harler could be a solid value with teammate Sean McNeil (illness) expected to be out today. When McNeil sat out on Wednesday, Harler saw an increase in offensive usage and shot volume as he scored 14 points and 19.5 DK points with three made three-pointers. The senior has now put up 13 or more DK points in three straight games while going 7-for-17 from three-point range (41%) over the last three. Harler’s perimeter shooting could help him return value against an Oklahoma defense that allows a ton of points via the three-pointer.
Other Guards to Consider:
Devin Vassell - Florida State ($7,900 DK Only)
Skylar Mays - LSU ($7,500 DK / $6,900 FD)
Immanuel Quickley - Kentucky ($6,600 DK / $6,200 FD)
Trey Landers - Dayton ($6,400 DK / $6,000 FD)
Rocket Watts - Michigan State ($4,300 DK / $4,300 FD)
Alondes Williams - Oklahoma ($4,100 DK / $4,100 FD)
Xavier Tillman - Michigan State ($8,900 DK / $8,300 FD)
The Spartans’ junior big man may not receive as much national attention as other centers and forwards around the country, but he’s been as dominant as anyone recently and it’s reflected in these expensive salaries. Over the last five games, Tillman has put up no less than 36 DK points each time out and he’s constantly stuffing the stat sheet with points, rebounds, blocks, steals and assists while consistently logging 35 minutes. The Michigan State offense (and defense, for that matter) has started to rely more heavily on its two stars in Tillman and Cassius Winston - and it’s resulting in more high-floor DFS performances for both. The price tags are definitely high for Tillman, but he’s been paying that off lately and it shouldn’t stop today. When Michigan State played Michigan earlier this season, Tillman had 52 DK points with his 20 points scored, 10 rebounds and six blocks. The Michigan defense routinely gives up big games to opposing big men and they won’t have an answer for Tillman today.
Obi Toppin - Dayton ($8,600 DK / $8,300 FD)
If you’ve been paying attention to college basketball at all this season, you know about Obi Toppin. Dayton’s best player has played himself into National POY and NBA Draft lottery conversations with his dominant play all year - especially against slightly lesser competition in the Atlantic 10 conference. The sophomore owns one of the highest DFS ceilings of anyone on this slate as he’s always a threat to put up 40-50 DK points with his combination of scoring, rebounding and shot-blocking. Over the last ten outings, Toppin is averaging 38 DK points, 20.8 actual points, eight rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game - and that includes his 37 DK points against Saint Louis a couple weeks ago. He’s always safe for cash games and has tournament upside if he’s eclipsing 40 DK points - something he’s done twice in the last three games.
Nick Richards - Kentucky ($8,000 DK / $6,800 FD)
If you want to slightly pay down at forward, Nick Richards is also in line for another big performance in a favorable matchup today. Outside of a dud effort against Auburn last week, Richards has been very good DFS-wise as the Kentucky offense starts to gel and the rotation tightens around its studs. The 6-foot-11 junior center has put up at least 30 DK points in all but two of the last ten games and he’s exceeded 35 DK points in five of those - including his 27 points, 11 rebounds and 41 DK points against Mississippi State last time out. During SEC play thus far, Richards not only leads the team in rebounding but he also is first among all Wildcats in shots share (24%) and second in usage rate (24%). This is the revamped UK offense with Richards manning the paint and 3-4 guards making plays around him on the perimeter or dishing it down low to him. He gets a nice individual matchup today as Tennessee is one of the worst rebounding teams in the conference with no frontcourt player who can legitimately challenge Richards’ size and skill. On FD, he’s a very good bargain with the price differential that has not yet evened out.
Anfernee McLemore - Auburn ($5,200 DK / $4,500 FD)
This Auburn-LSU game is filled with solid DFS plays because of the fast tempo and high score expected on both ends. One affordable option, though, is Auburn’s sixth-man who plays a huge role on offense and defense in the Tigers’ short rotation. Although he comes off the bench, Anfernee McLemore usually plays a ton because he’s a very versatile defender who can also stretch the floor - and he’s needed more often than not with center Austin Wiley always in foul trouble. This matchup today is one in particular where McLemore’s skillset will be needed since LSU has three solid forwards which will force Auburn to go with bigger lineups more. Over the last four games, the 6-foot-7 senior is averaging 24.6 DK points and he’s only a week removed from draining 5-of-10 three-pointers against Ole Miss. That ability to stretch the floor will be key against an LSU defense that allows a ton of opposing points via the three-pointer. We could definitely see McLemore hit 3-5 three’s again today and he would be a solid value - especially on FD with the price differential.
Sandro Mamukelashvili - Seton Hall ($5,200 DK / $3,800 FD)
Seton Hall’s junior big man recently missed 10 games due to a fractured wrist, but he’s been ramping up his minutes in his three games back on the court and we can trust him today after a big game this past week. Mamukelashvili logged only five minutes in his first game back, but then was pretty efficient in the second one with 16 DK points in 16 points. On Wednesday, though, Sandro re-entered the starting rotation and had 30 DK points in 32 minutes with his eight points, 12 rebounds and various other ancillary stats vs. Georgetown. It seems the 6-foot-11 center/forward is back to playing full-time starter minutes and he’s not priced accordingly - especially on FD where he’s basically a free square. Before his injury, Mamukelashvili played a key role on both ends for Seton Hall and was consistently putting up 20-30 DK points as a starter. We should expect that production moving forward - and the Pirates will certainly need his size against Villanova on the road today.
Patrick Williams - Florida State ($4,500 DK Only)
If you’re playing on DraftKings today, one potential value is Patrick Williams - who could start to have a bigger role for Florida State moving forward. The freshman power forward recently missed two games but he’s bounced back with 24 minutes played in each of the last two outings upon his return. He exploded against North Carolina on Monday when he had 31 DK points with his 14 points scored and nine rebounds against a strong UNC frontcourt. Williams now gets to face Miami, who’s one of the worst rebounding teams in the ACC and they get their shots blocked the most in the conference. Meanwhile, Williams blocks shots at the fourth-highest rate among all ACC players and he’s been able to be dominant on the boards when the minutes are there - which they have been in the last two games.
Other Forwards to Consider:
Udoka Azubuike - Kansas ($8,300 DK / $7,400 FD)
Saddiq Bey - Villanova ($7,400 DK / $6,400 FD)
Trendon Watford - LSU ($7,200 DK / $5,900 FD)
Isaac Okoro - Auburn ($6,500 DK / $5,700 FD)
Khadim Sy - Mississippi ($5,000 DK Only)
Uros Plavsic - Tennessee ($4,000 DK / $3,600 FD)
DraftKings Example Lineup:
G: Myles Powell - SHU ($8,700)
G: Cassius Winston - MSU ($8,100)
G: Chase Harler - WV ($4,000)
F: Xavier Tillman - MSU ($8,900)
F: Sandro Mamukelashvili - SHU ($5,200)
F: Anfernee McLemore - AUB ($5,200)
U: Patrick Williams - FSU ($4,500)
U: Javonte Perkins - STL ($5,400)
FanDuel Example Lineup:
G: Myles Powell - SHU ($7,900)
G: Cassius Winston - MSU ($7,600)
G: Jahvon Blair - GTWN ($4,100)
G: Javonte Perkins - SLU ($5,300)
F: Obi Toppin - DAY ($8,300)
F: Nick Richards - UK ($6,800)
F: Sandro Mamukelashvili - SHU ($3,800)
U: Immanuel Quickley - UK ($6,200)